Top Horse Analytics: 12/29/2014 Weekly Statistics

[Augenj]

Welcome to a subset of the weekly statistics produced by Top Horse Analytics. Updated win stats will be posted here weekly for Favorites, Morning Line Favorites, Top Horse, and Conditional Top Horse* for all of the active and paused tracks we analyze.

THA Active Tracks: AQU, GP, SA, TAM
THA Paused Tracks:
THA Inactive Tracks: BEL, CD, DMR, GPW, KEE, OP, SAR

Active - currently active tracks
Paused - between meets in a logical year
Inactive - between logical years

* What is a Conditional Top Horse?
It is the calculated Top Horse (100.0000) joined with conditional factors (filters) such as Race Age 2, Horse Is 3YO in 3UP Race, 2nd Race After 45 Days Off, and many more. Each conditional factor is also paired with its opposite "Not" condition, such as Race Not Age 2, etc.

The selected conditional factors for the Top Horse have shown the best persistent (year-to-year) ROI and have occurred at least 30 times during the previous logical year. These numbers reflect the best conditionals which may or may not have been used during the previous week for betting purposes.

The following statistics simulate betting $2.00 to win from the start of the current logical year to the present for all active and paused tracks.

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At AQU
Start Of Logical Year: 10/29/2014
Updated Through: 12/28/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 360
Number Of Wins: 133
Win Per Cent: 36.94
Dollars In: 720.00
Dollars Out: 610.90
Profit: -109.10
ROI: 0.8485

M/L Favorites At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 97.78
Number Of Races: 352 *
Number Of Wins: 111
Win Per Cent: 31.53
Dollars In: 704.00
Dollars Out: 547.60
Profit: -156.40
ROI: 0.7778
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 360
Number Of Wins: 118
Win Per Cent: 32.78
Dollars In: 720.00
Dollars Out: 700.90
Profit: -19.10
ROI: 0.9735

Top Horse When Favorite At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 57.78
Number Of Races: 208
Number Of Wins: 89
Win Per Cent: 42.79
Dollars In: 416.00
Dollars Out: 366.00
Profit: -50.00
ROI: 0.8798

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 70.83
Number Of Races: 255
Number Of Wins: 90
Win Per Cent: 35.29
Dollars In: 510.00
Dollars Out: 409.20
Profit: -100.80
ROI: 0.8024

Conditional Top Horse At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 41.67
Number Of Races: 150
Number Of Wins: 60
Win Per Cent: 40.00
Dollars In: 300.00
Dollars Out: 425.40
Profit: 125.40
ROI: 1.4180

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At GP
Start Of Logical Year: 12/06/2014
Updated Through: 12/28/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 170
Number Of Wins: 53
Win Per Cent: 31.18
Dollars In: 340.00
Dollars Out: 269.60
Profit: -70.40
ROI: 0.7929

M/L Favorites At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 99.41
Number Of Races: 169 *
Number Of Wins: 49
Win Per Cent: 28.99
Dollars In: 338.00
Dollars Out: 256.00
Profit: -82.00
ROI: 0.7574
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 170
Number Of Wins: 37
Win Per Cent: 21.76
Dollars In: 340.00
Dollars Out: 263.40
Profit: -76.60
ROI: 0.7747

Top Horse When Favorite At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 47.65
Number Of Races: 81
Number Of Wins: 24
Win Per Cent: 29.63
Dollars In: 162.00
Dollars Out: 106.60
Profit: -55.40
ROI: 0.6580

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 46.47
Number Of Races: 79
Number Of Wins: 25
Win Per Cent: 31.65
Dollars In: 158.00
Dollars Out: 122.20
Profit: -35.80
ROI: 0.7734

Conditional Top Horse At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 24.12
Number Of Races: 41
Number Of Wins: 15
Win Per Cent: 36.59
Dollars In: 82.00
Dollars Out: 138.60
Profit: 56.60
ROI: 1.6902

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At SA
Start Of Logical Year: 09/26/2014
Updated Through: 12/28/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 255
Number Of Wins: 83
Win Per Cent: 32.55
Dollars In: 510.00
Dollars Out: 406.00
Profit: -104.00
ROI: 0.7961

M/L Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 98.43
Number Of Races: 251 *
Number Of Wins: 77
Win Per Cent: 30.68
Dollars In: 502.00
Dollars Out: 402.60
Profit: -99.40
ROI: 0.8020
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 255
Number Of Wins: 78
Win Per Cent: 30.59
Dollars In: 510.00
Dollars Out: 408.60
Profit: -101.40
ROI: 0.8012

Top Horse When Favorite At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 70.59
Number Of Races: 180
Number Of Wins: 63
Win Per Cent: 35.00
Dollars In: 360.00
Dollars Out: 283.20
Profit: -76.80
ROI: 0.7867

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 94.90
Number Of Races: 242
Number Of Wins: 76
Win Per Cent: 31.40
Dollars In: 484.00
Dollars Out: 395.80
Profit: -88.20
ROI: 0.8178

Conditional Top Horse At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 23.53
Number Of Races: 60
Number Of Wins: 26
Win Per Cent: 43.33
Dollars In: 120.00
Dollars Out: 153.60
Profit: 33.60
ROI: 1.2800

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At TAM
Start Of Logical Year: 11/29/2014
Updated Through: 12/28/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 134
Number Of Wins: 44
Win Per Cent: 32.84
Dollars In: 268.00
Dollars Out: 233.80
Profit: -34.20
ROI: 0.8724

M/L Favorites At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 134 *
Number Of Wins: 39
Win Per Cent: 29.10
Dollars In: 268.00
Dollars Out: 221.00
Profit: -47.00
ROI: 0.8246
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 134
Number Of Wins: 36
Win Per Cent: 26.87
Dollars In: 268.00
Dollars Out: 275.00
Profit: 7.00
ROI: 1.0261

Top Horse When Favorite At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 43.28
Number Of Races: 58
Number Of Wins: 20
Win Per Cent: 34.48
Dollars In: 116.00
Dollars Out: 92.00
Profit: -24.00
ROI: 0.7931

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 42.54
Number Of Races: 57
Number Of Wins: 17
Win Per Cent: 29.82
Dollars In: 114.00
Dollars Out: 74.60
Profit: -39.40
ROI: 0.6544

Conditional Top Horse At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 54.48
Number Of Races: 73
Number Of Wins: 26
Win Per Cent: 35.62
Dollars In: 146.00
Dollars Out: 231.80
Profit: 85.80
ROI: 1.5877