Top Horse Analytics: 12/22/2014 Weekly Statistics

[Augenj]

Welcome to a subset of the weekly statistics produced by Top Horse Analytics. Updated win stats will be posted here weekly for Favorites, Morning Line Favorites, Top Horse, and Conditional Top Horse* for all of the active and paused tracks we analyze.

THA Active Tracks: GP, TAM
THA Paused Tracks: AQU, SA
THA Inactive Tracks: BEL, CD, DMR, GPW, KEE, OP, SAR

Active - currently active tracks
Paused - between meets in a logical year
Inactive - between logical years

* What is a Conditional Top Horse?
It is the calculated Top Horse (100.0000) joined with conditional factors (filters) such as Race Age 2, Horse Is 3YO in 3UP Race, 2nd Race After 45 Days Off, and many more. Each conditional factor is also paired with its opposite "Not" condition, such as Race Not Age 2, etc. The selected conditional factors for the Top Horse have shown the best persistent (year-to-year) ROI and have occurred at least 30 times during the previous logical year. These numbers reflect the best conditionals which may or may not have been used during the previous week.

The following statistics simulate betting $2.00 to win from the start of the current logical year to the present for all active and paused tracks.

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At AQU
Start Of Logical Year: 10/29/2014
Updated Through: 12/15/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 333
Number Of Wins: 124
Win Per Cent: 37.24
Dollars In: 666.00
Dollars Out: 568.60
Profit: -97.40
ROI: 0.8538

M/L Favorites At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 97.60
Number Of Races: 325 *
Number Of Wins: 101
Win Per Cent: 31.08
Dollars In: 650.00
Dollars Out: 480.70
Profit: -169.30
ROI: 0.7395
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 333
Number Of Wins: 101
Win Per Cent: 30.33
Dollars In: 666.00
Dollars Out: 569.00
Profit: -97.00
ROI: 0.8544

Top Horse When Favorite At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 55.86
Number Of Races: 186
Number Of Wins: 75
Win Per Cent: 40.32
Dollars In: 372.00
Dollars Out: 297.20
Profit: -74.80
ROI: 0.7989

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 66.97
Number Of Races: 223
Number Of Wins: 75
Win Per Cent: 33.63
Dollars In: 446.00
Dollars Out: 322.50
Profit: -123.50
ROI: 0.7231

Conditional Top Horse At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 45.35
Number Of Races: 151
Number Of Wins: 54
Win Per Cent: 35.76
Dollars In: 302.00
Dollars Out: 361.20
Profit: 59.20
ROI: 1.1960

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At GP
Start Of Logical Year: 12/06/2014
Updated Through: 12/21/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 130
Number Of Wins: 38
Win Per Cent: 29.23
Dollars In: 260.00
Dollars Out: 185.60
Profit: -74.40
ROI: 0.7138

M/L Favorites At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 99.23
Number Of Races: 129 *
Number Of Wins: 35
Win Per Cent: 27.13
Dollars In: 258.00
Dollars Out: 178.80
Profit: -79.20
ROI: 0.6930
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 130
Number Of Wins: 31
Win Per Cent: 23.85
Dollars In: 260.00
Dollars Out: 225.60
Profit: -34.40
ROI: 0.8677

Top Horse When Favorite At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 48.46
Number Of Races: 63
Number Of Wins: 19
Win Per Cent: 30.16
Dollars In: 126.00
Dollars Out: 81.00
Profit: -45.00
ROI: 0.6429

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 46.15
Number Of Races: 60
Number Of Wins: 19
Win Per Cent: 31.67
Dollars In: 120.00
Dollars Out: 90.60
Profit: -29.40
ROI: 0.7550

Conditional Top Horse At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 41.54
Number Of Races: 54
Number Of Wins: 17
Win Per Cent: 31.48
Dollars In: 108.00
Dollars Out: 150.00
Profit: 42.00
ROI: 1.3889

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At SA
Start Of Logical Year: 09/26/2014
Updated Through: 11/02/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 228
Number Of Wins: 74
Win Per Cent: 32.46
Dollars In: 456.00
Dollars Out: 363.40
Profit: -92.60
ROI: 0.7969

M/L Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 98.25
Number Of Races: 224 *
Number Of Wins: 70
Win Per Cent: 31.25
Dollars In: 448.00
Dollars Out: 371.40
Profit: -76.60
ROI: 0.8290
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 228
Number Of Wins: 57
Win Per Cent: 25.00
Dollars In: 456.00
Dollars Out: 314.60
Profit: -141.40
ROI: 0.6899

Top Horse When Favorite At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 58.33
Number Of Races: 133
Number Of Wins: 45
Win Per Cent: 33.83
Dollars In: 266.00
Dollars Out: 208.00
Profit: -58.00
ROI: 0.7820

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 55.70
Number Of Races: 127
Number Of Wins: 47
Win Per Cent: 37.01
Dollars In: 254.00
Dollars Out: 231.60
Profit: -22.40
ROI: 0.9118

Conditional Top Horse At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 22.81
Number Of Races: 52
Number Of Wins: 17
Win Per Cent: 32.69
Dollars In: 104.00
Dollars Out: 113.80
Profit: 9.80
ROI: 1.0942

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At TAM
Start Of Logical Year: 11/29/2014
Updated Through: 12/21/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 105
Number Of Wins: 35
Win Per Cent: 33.33
Dollars In: 210.00
Dollars Out: 187.60
Profit: -22.40
ROI: 0.8933

M/L Favorites At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 105 *
Number Of Wins: 32
Win Per Cent: 30.48
Dollars In: 210.00
Dollars Out: 179.80
Profit: -30.20
ROI: 0.8562
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 105
Number Of Wins: 29
Win Per Cent: 27.62
Dollars In: 210.00
Dollars Out: 219.60
Profit: 9.60
ROI: 1.0457

Top Horse When Favorite At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 49.52
Number Of Races: 52
Number Of Wins: 18
Win Per Cent: 34.62
Dollars In: 104.00
Dollars Out: 83.80
Profit: -20.20
ROI: 0.8058

Top Horse When M/L Favorite At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 48.57
Number Of Races: 51
Number Of Wins: 15
Win Per Cent: 29.41
Dollars In: 102.00
Dollars Out: 66.40
Profit: -35.60
ROI: 0.6510

Conditional Top Horse At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 43.81
Number Of Races: 46
Number Of Wins: 19
Win Per Cent: 41.30
Dollars In: 92.00
Dollars Out: 159.00
Profit: 67.00
ROI: 1.7283