View Full Version : Top Horse Analytics: 12/08/2014 Weekly Statistics
Augenj
12-08-2014, 01:08 PM
Welcome to a subset of the weekly statistics produced by Top Horse Analytics. Updated win stats will be posted here weekly for Favorites, Morning Line Favorites, Top Horse, and Conditional Top Horse* for all of the active and paused tracks we analyze.
THA Active Tracks: AQU, GP, TAM
THA Paused Tracks: SA
THA Inactive Tracks: BEL, CD, DMR, GPW, KEE, OP, SAR
Active - currently active tracks
Paused - between meets in a logical year
Inactive - between logical years
* What is a Conditional Top Horse?
It is the calculated Top Horse (100.0000) joined with conditional factors (filters) such as Race Age 2, Horse Is 3YO in 3UP Race, 2nd Race After 45 Days Off, and many more. Each conditional factor is also paired with its opposite "Not" condition, such as Race Not Age 2, etc. The selected conditional factors for the Top Horse have shown the best persistent (year-to-year) ROI and have occured at least 30 times during the previous logical year.
The following statistics simulate betting $2.00 to win from the start of the current logical year to the present for all active and paused tracks.
Augenj
12-08-2014, 01:09 PM
Weekly Stats For Current Year At AQU
Start Of Logical Year: 10/29/2014
Updated Through: 12/07/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets
Favorites At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 279
Number Of Wins: 103
Win Per Cent: 36.92
Dollars In: 558.00
Dollars Out: 466.50
Profit: -91.50
ROI: 0.8360
M/L Favorites At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 97.49
Number Of Races: 272 *
Number Of Wins: 88
Win Per Cent: 32.35
Dollars In: 544.00
Dollars Out: 425.10
Profit: -118.90
ROI: 0.7814
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count
Top Horse At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 279
Number Of Wins: 90
Win Per Cent: 32.26
Dollars In: 558.00
Dollars Out: 520.00
Profit: -38.00
ROI: 0.9319
Top Horse When Favorite At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 56.27
Number Of Races: 157
Number Of Wins: 66
Win Per Cent: 42.04
Dollars In: 314.00
Dollars Out: 265.70
Profit: -48.30
ROI: 0.8462
Top Horse When M/L Favorite At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 65.23
Number Of Races: 182
Number Of Wins: 66
Win Per Cent: 36.26
Dollars In: 364.00
Dollars Out: 288.90
Profit: -75.10
ROI: 0.7937
Conditional Top Horse At AQU
Occurs Per Cent: 49.46
Number Of Races: 138
Number Of Wins: 53
Win Per Cent: 38.41
Dollars In: 276.00
Dollars Out: 343.10
Profit: 67.10
ROI: 1.2431
Augenj
12-08-2014, 01:10 PM
Weekly Stats For Current Year At GP
Start Of Logical Year: 12/06/2014
Updated Through: 12/07/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets
Favorites At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 20
Number Of Wins: 5
Win Per Cent: 25.00
Dollars In: 40.00
Dollars Out: 22.20
Profit: -17.80
ROI: 0.5550
M/L Favorites At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 95.00
Number Of Races: 19 *
Number Of Wins: 4
Win Per Cent: 21.05
Dollars In: 38.00
Dollars Out: 15.80
Profit: -22.20
ROI: 0.4158
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count
Top Horse At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 20
Number Of Wins: 4
Win Per Cent: 20.00
Dollars In: 40.00
Dollars Out: 25.80
Profit: -14.20
ROI: 0.6450
Top Horse When Favorite At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 35.00
Number Of Races: 7
Number Of Wins: 2
Win Per Cent: 28.57
Dollars In: 14.00
Dollars Out: 6.40
Profit: -7.60
ROI: 0.4571
Top Horse When M/L Favorite At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 50.00
Number Of Races: 10
Number Of Wins: 2
Win Per Cent: 20.00
Dollars In: 20.00
Dollars Out: 6.40
Profit: -13.60
ROI: 0.3200
Conditional Top Horse At GP
Occurs Per Cent: 0.00
Number Of Races: 0
Number Of Wins: 0
Win Per Cent: 0.00
Dollars In: 0.00
Dollars Out: 0.00
Profit: 0.00
ROI: 0.0000
Augenj
12-08-2014, 01:11 PM
Weekly Stats For Current Year At SA
Start Of Logical Year: 09/26/2014
Updated Through: 11/02/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets
Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 228
Number Of Wins: 74
Win Per Cent: 32.46
Dollars In: 456.00
Dollars Out: 363.40
Profit: -92.60
ROI: 0.7969
M/L Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 98.25
Number Of Races: 224 *
Number Of Wins: 70
Win Per Cent: 31.25
Dollars In: 448.00
Dollars Out: 371.40
Profit: -76.60
ROI: 0.8290
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count
Top Horse At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 228
Number Of Wins: 57
Win Per Cent: 25.00
Dollars In: 456.00
Dollars Out: 314.60
Profit: -141.40
ROI: 0.6899
Top Horse When Favorite At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 58.33
Number Of Races: 133
Number Of Wins: 45
Win Per Cent: 33.83
Dollars In: 266.00
Dollars Out: 208.00
Profit: -58.00
ROI: 0.7820
Top Horse When M/L Favorite At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 55.70
Number Of Races: 127
Number Of Wins: 47
Win Per Cent: 37.01
Dollars In: 254.00
Dollars Out: 231.60
Profit: -22.40
ROI: 0.9118
Conditional Top Horse At SA
Occurs Per Cent: 7.46
Number Of Races: 17
Number Of Wins: 8
Win Per Cent: 47.06
Dollars In: 34.00
Dollars Out: 52.60
Profit: 18.60
ROI: 1.5471
Augenj
12-08-2014, 01:12 PM
Weekly Stats For Current Year At TAM
Start Of Logical Year: 11/29/2014
Updated Through: 12/06/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets
Favorites At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 38
Number Of Wins: 13
Win Per Cent: 34.21
Dollars In: 76.00
Dollars Out: 66.80
Profit: -9.20
ROI: 0.8789
M/L Favorites At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 38 *
Number Of Wins: 12
Win Per Cent: 31.58
Dollars In: 76.00
Dollars Out: 67.60
Profit: -8.40
ROI: 0.8895
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count
Top Horse At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 100.00
Number Of Races: 38
Number Of Wins: 10
Win Per Cent: 26.32
Dollars In: 76.00
Dollars Out: 65.20
Profit: -10.80
ROI: 0.8579
Top Horse When Favorite At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 44.74
Number Of Races: 17
Number Of Wins: 5
Win Per Cent: 29.41
Dollars In: 34.00
Dollars Out: 21.00
Profit: -13.00
ROI: 0.6176
Top Horse When M/L Favorite At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 44.74
Number Of Races: 17
Number Of Wins: 4
Win Per Cent: 23.53
Dollars In: 34.00
Dollars Out: 14.00
Profit: -20.00
ROI: 0.4118
Conditional Top Horse At TAM
Occurs Per Cent: 23.68
Number Of Races: 9
Number Of Wins: 5
Win Per Cent: 55.56
Dollars In: 18.00
Dollars Out: 35.40
Profit: 17.40
ROI: 1.9667
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