PDA

View Full Version : Changed my mind on Big M ML


mrroyboy
11-12-2014, 01:45 PM
Sorry I changed my mind about doing a morning line for Meadowlands. There are just too many horses to deal with. The favorite is easy and so are the long shots but everything in between is the problem.
Sorry guys. Should have kept my big mouth shut. :(

Ray2000
11-12-2014, 03:02 PM
Call it a 'Senior Moment' roy :)

I've had a few of those myself here with thread starters, ....trying to get something useful going.

Just tired of the posts bad mouthing the game or other members.

mrroyboy
11-12-2014, 03:25 PM
Thanks Ray.

cmp92
11-12-2014, 07:13 PM
Darrin Z has a tough job there. I give him props.

pandy
11-12-2014, 10:00 PM
Darrin Z has a tough job there. I give him props.


It is a tough line to make. Remember that you can also check out my betting line, on my top 4 picks, at www.ustrotting.com

mrroyboy
11-13-2014, 12:55 PM
Always do Pandy. But your odds are more of a fair value line than a morning line. Am I correct?

pandy
11-13-2014, 05:46 PM
Yes, that's correct. It's much better than a morning line, in my opinion.

mrroyboy
11-13-2014, 06:04 PM
I agree.

zico20
11-13-2014, 06:57 PM
It is a tough line to make. Remember that you can also check out my betting line, on my top 4 picks, at www.ustrotting.com

I got a question. What are the chances that the computer that is used to make the ML at these tracks can be done a second time without any restrictions on the computer. That way we can compare the fake ML with the real morning line that the computer actually believes. I guess it would take a new website or something to go to where we can all compare the two. I would like to see if the computer can actually identify 99-1 shots and 1-9 shots with some accuracy.

thanks

mrroyboy
11-13-2014, 07:10 PM
Interesting question. Hard to do I would think.

zico20
11-13-2014, 07:23 PM
Interesting question. Hard to do I would think.

I actually think it would be quite easy for the computer to do it. It already has all the info it needs. All you have to do is remove the restrictions.

tanner12oz
11-13-2014, 08:43 PM
Darrin Z has a tough job there. I give him props.

Darrin is one of the best in the industry imo

mrroyboy
11-14-2014, 01:23 PM
Darrin is one of the best but even he has restrictions. The tracks don't want the ml favorite to be too low because it discourages betting and then you have public relations on the other end. An owner knows his horse should be 20 -1 but you make it 50-1 and he or she might be offended.
This may sound silly but in the real world this is the way the Morning Line works.