Aqu Race 1

[upthecreek]

The horse (#1) was 3-1 on the ML and goes off @ 14-1? Did i miss something or was the morning line odds maker right and the public got it wrong?

[Some_One]

a bit of both, the top number (BRIS) for the 1 was 2nd worst, however almost all the other horses either had a long layoff or turf figures. The best two dirt figs were the 1 and 4 and they filled out the exactor.

[outofthebox]

The race was a joke. It was an unpredictable handicapping puzzle where the winner was beaten for maiden 5k in her last dirt race at Finger Lakes. Somehow they managed to fill this race with a 20k price on it.

[Appy]

a bit of both, the top number (BRIS) for the 1 was 2nd worst, however almost all the other horses either had a long layoff or turf figures. The best two dirt figs were the 1 and 4 and they filled out the exactor.

Good eye. (That's Aussie for "nice job")
:blush:

[overthehill]

when i saw the ml of 3-1 and looked at the pps, my first reaction was no way.
There were two horses with limited experience in a higher class and they looked like the most logical players and i think they ended up the betting favorites.

[davew]

The horse (#1) was 3-1 on the ML and goes off @ 14-1? Did i miss something or was the morning line odds maker right and the public got it wrong?


the ML odds makers job is to predict the closing odds, not probability of winning - so they missed this horse in this race