Top Horse Analytics: 11/04/2014 Weekly Statistics

[Augenj]

Welcome to a subset of the weekly statistics produced by Top Horse Analytics. Updated win stats will be posted here weekly for Favorites, Morning Line Favorites, Top Horse, and Conditional Top Horse* for all of the active and paused tracks we analyze.

THA Active Tracks: AQU, CD, GPW-d, SA
THA Paused Tracks: DMR-d
THA Inactive Tracks: BEL, GP, KEE-d, OP, SAR-d, TAM

Active - currently active tracks.
Paused - between meets in a logical year.
Inactive - between logical years.
"-d" indicates a track whose data base is initially derived from another major regional track with a larger data base.

* What is a Conditional Top Horse?
It is the calculated Top Horse (100.0000) joined with conditional factors (filters) such as Race Age 2, Horse Is 3YO in 3UP Race, 2nd Race After 45 Days Off, and many more. Each conditional factor is also paired with its opposite "Not" condition, such as Race Not Age 2, etc. The selected conditional factors for the Top Horse have shown the best persistent (year-to-year) ROI and have occured at least 30 times during the previous logical year.

The following statistics simulate betting $2.00 to win from the start of the current logical year to the present for all active and paused tracks.

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At AQU
Start Of Logical Year - 10/29/2014
Updated Through - 11/02/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At AQU
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 43
Number Of Wins - 16
Win Per Cent - 37.21
Dollars In - 86.00
Dollars Out - 65.30
ROI - 0.7593

M/L Favorites At AQU
Occurs Per Cent - 93.02
Number Of Races - 40 *
Number Of Wins - 13
Win Per Cent - 32.50
Dollars In - 80.00
Dollars Out - 60.40
ROI - 0.7550
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At AQU
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 43
Number Of Wins - 16
Win Per Cent - 37.21
Dollars In - 86.00
Dollars Out - 113.40
Year ROI - 1.3186

Conditional Top Horse At AQU
Occurs Per Cent - 27.91
Number Of Races - 12
Number Of Wins - 5
Win Per Cent - 41.67
Dollars In - 24.00
Dollars Out - 24.80
ROI - 1.0333

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At CD
Start Of Logical Year - 04/26/2014
Updated Through - 11/02/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At CD
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 553
Number Of Wins - 210
Win Per Cent - 37.97
Dollars In - 1106.00
Dollars Out - 958.40
ROI - 0.8665

M/L Favorites At CD
Occurs Per Cent - 97.83
Number Of Races - 541 *
Number Of Wins - 180
Win Per Cent - 33.27
Dollars In - 1082.00
Dollars Out - 848.40
ROI - 0.7841
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At CD
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 553
Number Of Wins - 155
Win Per Cent - 28.03
Dollars In - 1106.00
Dollars Out - 865.20
ROI - 0.7823

Conditional Top Horse At CD
Occurs Per Cent - 18.26
Number Of Races - 101
Number Of Wins - 23
Win Per Cent - 22.77
Dollars In - 202.00
Dollars Out - 165.40
ROI - 0.8188

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At DMR
Start Of Logical Year - 07/17/2014
Updated Through - 09/03/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At DMR
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 326
Number Of Wins - 99
Win Per Cent - 30.37
Dollars In - 652.00
Dollars Out - 534.80
ROI - 0.8202

M/L Favorites At DMR
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 326 *
Number Of Wins - 92
Win Per Cent - 28.22
Dollars In - 652.00
Dollars Out - 540.80
ROI - 0.8294
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At DMR
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 326
Number Of Wins - 75
Win Per Cent - 23.01
Dollars In - 652.00
Dollars Out - 487.20
ROI - 0.7472

Conditional Top Horse At DMR
Occurs Per Cent - 33.13
Number Of Races - 108
Number Of Wins - 37
Win Per Cent - 34.26
Dollars In - 216.00
Dollars Out - 244.20
ROI - 1.1306

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At GPW
Start Of Logical Year - 10/08/2014
Updated Through - 11/03/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At GPW
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 230
Number Of Wins - 73
Win Per Cent - 31.74
Dollars In - 460.00
Dollars Out - 344.10
ROI - 0.7480

M/L Favorites At GPW
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 230 *
Number Of Wins - 57
Win Per Cent - 24.78
Dollars In - 460.00
Dollars Out - 296.30
ROI - 0.6441
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At GPW
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 230
Number Of Wins - 61
Win Per Cent - 26.52
Dollars In - 460.00
Dollars Out - 391.30
ROI - 0.8507

Conditional Top Horse At GPW
Occurs Per Cent - 25.65
Number Of Races - 59
Number Of Wins - 19
Win Per Cent - 32.20
Dollars In - 118.00
Dollars Out - 150.60
ROI - 1.2763

[Augenj]

Weekly Stats For Current Year At SA
Start Of Logical Year - 09/26/2014
Updated Through - 11/02/2014
Totals Based on $2.00 Win Bets

Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 228
Number Of Wins - 74
Win Per Cent - 32.46
Dollars In - 456.00
Dollars Out - 363.40
ROI - 0.7969

M/L Favorites At SA
Occurs Per Cent - 98.25
Number Of Races - 224 *
Number Of Wins - 70
Win Per Cent - 31.25
Dollars In - 448.00
Dollars Out - 371.40
ROI - 0.8290
* Duplicate M/L favorites (resulting from scratched M/L favorite) are not included in race count

Top Horse At SA
Occurs Per Cent - 100.00
Number Of Races - 228
Number Of Wins - 58
Win Per Cent - 25.44
Dollars In - 456.00
Dollars Out - 341.20
ROI - 0.7482

Conditional Top Horse At SA
Occurs Per Cent - 14.47
Number Of Races - 33
Number Of Wins - 10
Win Per Cent - 30.30
Dollars In - 66.00
Dollars Out - 86.00
ROI - 1.3030