Poindexter
10-08-2014, 04:50 PM
Just a heads up, from now on rather than give out pick 4 plays, which doesn’t serve much purpose, I am just going to review the races labeling horses Must use, should use, could use. Fairly self explanatory, but must use horses obviously I feel should be used on all tickets, should use horse on most tickets, and could use horse are for races I plan on spreading. Also fyi, when I say earned a good figure I am talking my own home grown figures(these are pace adjusted figures) adjusted with the TM variant.
Regarding Saturday, the ticket if played would have cost over $600 and would have hit (it payed $8500-which would have been $6500 had another ticket hit). What I did personally was play the ticket requiring 2 of my 4 top choices to hit (which brought the ticket down to $126, but ultimately led to my getting back squat(only 1 of 4 top choices won). There were other ways I could have played it and brought it down, but you make choices in this game and have to live with the choice you make. Frustrating game sometimes.
Now for Tonight. Good luck.
6th) Must Use(4-7) should use(5-6-9)
4) Sun Dream-Has some past class at Maywood, and looks to be back in good form with a nice effort last out. Give a nice figure for that effort and think he is the horse to beat in here. Also can leave in here, a race that doesn’t appear to have a lot of early speed.
7) Kitty Obrien-Sort of an in an outer. Can get very good at times. Seems like the recent 3 week off stint has helped her. Came back with a nice effort 9/24 and a better effort last week, inheriting the 1st over position from the ½ mile pole when Window Wiper cleared. Kept to task well. Biggest knocks are the 7 hole and a strong tendency this year to run 2nd and not 1st and perhaps a big pace disadvantage.
5) Osage-Wasn’t showing much prior to last, but did put I a storng 1st half 9/24, still earned a pretty dimal rating for that race. Came back with an improved effort, albeit getting a sweet trip. Perhaps heading the right direction and also eligible for another sweet trip in here. Also gets a driver switch.
6) Moon Bay Dancer-was dominting this level in July when very sharp. They stuck her up in class big time and has basically been chasing faster horses. Not sure what impact she will have now back at her proper level. Earning decent figures based off of my figures, earning good figures on the Trackmaster scale. Like others better but think she needs to be included.
9) I don’t Rember- Also looks to be back in good form based after scratching sick and changing barns 9/3. The biggest knock of course is the 9 hole. However, track has been very kind to overland types Saturday and Sunday, so if that continues she has a big look.
7th) Must Use(6) should use(2-5-9)
6 ) Nancys Skyscape- Boy this horse raced nicely on Saturday night earning a huge figure for this level. Was 3rd over, 2nd 3wd far turn around a dead horse and closed very well.
2) Yermanos-sat the dream trip in the same race as the #6 ran okay, but obviously perfect trips do not come everyday. If you cant win when you get one it is hard o win when you don’t.
5) Zall Good-Sort of an interesting longshot. Has speed and has been showing signs of life lately. Name the 9/3 race was a big improvement over previous efforts. I will toss the 9/17 race as he did make the lead and that is the only way this guy will win. Last race was a disguised good effort earning a nice figure, However, everybody in that field earned unusually good figures and they all have come back to regress, so that race was somewhat bogus(Yermanos with a perfect trip regressed about 3 lenghs-Western Slammer and Dots Big boy both disappointed Saturday.
9) Jo Jo Spur, Was in super sharp form in July, now layed off for over two months, with just a qualifier. Stuck in the 9 hole. The x factor.
Must use 1-4-5-7-9-Not much here all 5 of these seem to be much better than the rest of the field. Not a lot of separation figure wise. I think it is a race you have to go 5 deep..
9th) Must use 2-6 should use 4-9 could use 1
2) Western Boudoir-She goes in an out of form all the time. Now it loosk like she is in top form Put in a huge effort last out earning the best figure in the race on my numbers. Has the ability to ¼ move is the driver opts, but not a move this driver likes to make. I do not think she is a particularly good 1st over horse, so depending on how the race goes, I think she might be stuck having to close from a 3 hole trip, which can be difficult.
6) Joyful Game-Looks to be in good form again and looks like the horse to beat. Will likely be on the overland train 2nd or 3rd over.
4)Casino Comp-was stuck 4th over fromm an outside post now moves inward. Earn solid figures each and ever week. Not quite as good as the top 2 but not far off. If she gets the right trip she can be right there.
10) Meet Me Tonight-Interesting. Was going great guns until 9/24. 9/24 she won wire to wire but earned a sort of lackluster figure by her standards and did appear fully extended. Was bet down to 4/5 in here next st a 2 hole trip against these, was blocked until about midtretch, but did not have much when clear. She is not what she was right now and now is stuck in the 10 hole. Still think she will receive a lot of support at the windows and she does have early speed in a race not appear to have much(but sometimes in these races a horse who has never left before is sent out in a 56 ½) Has to be used, but very vulnerable.
1) Ms Sonlongbyebye-Interesting longshot material.-Has speed to sit a 2 hole trip. Last out was shuffled and not really persevered with late. Warren stays on and this horse put in a huge effort for Warren on 9/17(an effort that if repeated could bring home all of the marbles). Has an upset look and will likely go off at 15-1 or higher.
Regarding Saturday, the ticket if played would have cost over $600 and would have hit (it payed $8500-which would have been $6500 had another ticket hit). What I did personally was play the ticket requiring 2 of my 4 top choices to hit (which brought the ticket down to $126, but ultimately led to my getting back squat(only 1 of 4 top choices won). There were other ways I could have played it and brought it down, but you make choices in this game and have to live with the choice you make. Frustrating game sometimes.
Now for Tonight. Good luck.
6th) Must Use(4-7) should use(5-6-9)
4) Sun Dream-Has some past class at Maywood, and looks to be back in good form with a nice effort last out. Give a nice figure for that effort and think he is the horse to beat in here. Also can leave in here, a race that doesn’t appear to have a lot of early speed.
7) Kitty Obrien-Sort of an in an outer. Can get very good at times. Seems like the recent 3 week off stint has helped her. Came back with a nice effort 9/24 and a better effort last week, inheriting the 1st over position from the ½ mile pole when Window Wiper cleared. Kept to task well. Biggest knocks are the 7 hole and a strong tendency this year to run 2nd and not 1st and perhaps a big pace disadvantage.
5) Osage-Wasn’t showing much prior to last, but did put I a storng 1st half 9/24, still earned a pretty dimal rating for that race. Came back with an improved effort, albeit getting a sweet trip. Perhaps heading the right direction and also eligible for another sweet trip in here. Also gets a driver switch.
6) Moon Bay Dancer-was dominting this level in July when very sharp. They stuck her up in class big time and has basically been chasing faster horses. Not sure what impact she will have now back at her proper level. Earning decent figures based off of my figures, earning good figures on the Trackmaster scale. Like others better but think she needs to be included.
9) I don’t Rember- Also looks to be back in good form based after scratching sick and changing barns 9/3. The biggest knock of course is the 9 hole. However, track has been very kind to overland types Saturday and Sunday, so if that continues she has a big look.
7th) Must Use(6) should use(2-5-9)
6 ) Nancys Skyscape- Boy this horse raced nicely on Saturday night earning a huge figure for this level. Was 3rd over, 2nd 3wd far turn around a dead horse and closed very well.
2) Yermanos-sat the dream trip in the same race as the #6 ran okay, but obviously perfect trips do not come everyday. If you cant win when you get one it is hard o win when you don’t.
5) Zall Good-Sort of an interesting longshot. Has speed and has been showing signs of life lately. Name the 9/3 race was a big improvement over previous efforts. I will toss the 9/17 race as he did make the lead and that is the only way this guy will win. Last race was a disguised good effort earning a nice figure, However, everybody in that field earned unusually good figures and they all have come back to regress, so that race was somewhat bogus(Yermanos with a perfect trip regressed about 3 lenghs-Western Slammer and Dots Big boy both disappointed Saturday.
9) Jo Jo Spur, Was in super sharp form in July, now layed off for over two months, with just a qualifier. Stuck in the 9 hole. The x factor.
Must use 1-4-5-7-9-Not much here all 5 of these seem to be much better than the rest of the field. Not a lot of separation figure wise. I think it is a race you have to go 5 deep..
9th) Must use 2-6 should use 4-9 could use 1
2) Western Boudoir-She goes in an out of form all the time. Now it loosk like she is in top form Put in a huge effort last out earning the best figure in the race on my numbers. Has the ability to ¼ move is the driver opts, but not a move this driver likes to make. I do not think she is a particularly good 1st over horse, so depending on how the race goes, I think she might be stuck having to close from a 3 hole trip, which can be difficult.
6) Joyful Game-Looks to be in good form again and looks like the horse to beat. Will likely be on the overland train 2nd or 3rd over.
4)Casino Comp-was stuck 4th over fromm an outside post now moves inward. Earn solid figures each and ever week. Not quite as good as the top 2 but not far off. If she gets the right trip she can be right there.
10) Meet Me Tonight-Interesting. Was going great guns until 9/24. 9/24 she won wire to wire but earned a sort of lackluster figure by her standards and did appear fully extended. Was bet down to 4/5 in here next st a 2 hole trip against these, was blocked until about midtretch, but did not have much when clear. She is not what she was right now and now is stuck in the 10 hole. Still think she will receive a lot of support at the windows and she does have early speed in a race not appear to have much(but sometimes in these races a horse who has never left before is sent out in a 56 ½) Has to be used, but very vulnerable.
1) Ms Sonlongbyebye-Interesting longshot material.-Has speed to sit a 2 hole trip. Last out was shuffled and not really persevered with late. Warren stays on and this horse put in a huge effort for Warren on 9/17(an effort that if repeated could bring home all of the marbles). Has an upset look and will likely go off at 15-1 or higher.