Cherry Picked Exactas

[FocusWiz]

I have spent the last two days tweaking this and I think that I have these picks "tamed" a bit, but my spreadsheet still labels them "crazy" picks since I am somewhat unsure what drives their selection (it is a combination of my selections and some oddly computed interpretation of the wagering probables versus the morning line all multiplied by a couple of odd formulas and then trimmed based on current odds).

Penn National Race #5:

1/2
2/3,1,4,6
3/2
4/6
6/4

[FocusWiz]

I have spent the last two days tweaking this and I think that I have these picks "tamed" a bit, but my spreadsheet still labels them "crazy" picks since I am somewhat unsure what drives their selection (it is a combination of my selections and some oddly computed interpretation of the wagering probables versus the morning line all multiplied by a couple of odd formulas and then trimmed based on current odds).

Penn National Race #5:

1/2
2/3,1,4,6
3/2
4/6
6/4Finished 1-2-6
$16 Wagered. $24.60 Returned. $8.60 Profit.

[FocusWiz]

Charles Town Race 3:

4/3,5
5/4,3
3/4
3/5
3/2

[FocusWiz]

Charles Town Race 3:

4/3,5
5/4,3
3/4
3/5
3/2A bit late on this, but it was a loser anyway.

Finished 4-1-2
$14 Wagered. Nothing Returned

[FocusWiz]

PEN Race 6:

6/4
4/5,6,1,2
5/4
8/5,6
1,2/4

[FocusWiz]

CT Race #4
1/6,5
3/6
6/1,3,5
5/1

[FocusWiz]

PEN Race 6:

6/4
4/5,6,1,2
5/4
8/5,6
1,2/4Finished 1-5-3
$20 Wagered. Nothing Returned

[FocusWiz]

CT Race #4
1/6,5
3/6
6/1,3,5
5/1Finished 1-2-3

Wagered $14.00. Nothing returned

[FocusWiz]

PEN Race #7

6/3
5/1:3
3/4
3/6
3:1/2

[FocusWiz]

CT RACE #5

2/7,4,8
7/8,4,9
8/7
4,6/2
6,4/7

[FocusWiz]

PEN Race #7

6/3
5/1:3
3/4
3/6
3:1/2Finished 5-2-1

Wagered $14.00. Nothing returned

[FocusWiz]

CT RACE #5

2/7,4,8
7/8,4,9
8/7
4,6/2
6,4/7Wagered $22. Another miss. Finished 7-2-8.

[FocusWiz]

Let's try again:

PEN Race #8
1/2
2/1,6,4,7
4/2
6/2

[FocusWiz]

And again at Charles Town:


CT Race #6
3/4,4
8/4
4/3,6,8
6/4

[FocusWiz]

Let's try again:

PEN Race #8
1/2
2/1,6,4,7
4/2
6/2Had the 2/6, the 2/4. the 6/2, and the 4/2

Of course they came in 6-4-2. Another $14.00 loss

[FocusWiz]

And again at Charles Town:


CT Race #6
3/4,4
8/4
4/3,6,8
6/4This seemed to imply to play the 3/4 combination twice.
Finished 3-4-9
So it won once, paying $32.40 so I will count it once. $12.00 Wagered with $20.40 profit.

[FocusWiz]

PEN Race #9

3,5,6,4/1
1/3,4,5,6,7,8

[FocusWiz]

CT Race #7
1/2
2/1,3,7
7/6,3
6/3

[FocusWiz]

PEN Race #9

3,5,6,4/1
1/3,4,5,6,7,8Not sure the entry even ran that race.

$20.00 Wagered. Nothing returned.

[FocusWiz]

CT Race #7
1/2
2/1,3,7
7/6,3
6/3Another miss. Wagered $14.00. Returned nothing.

Two more for the night and then back to the drawing boards.

[FocusWiz]

CT Race #8
4/5
5/2,4,6,3
6/5
2/5

[FocusWiz]

CT Race #8
4/5
5/2,4,6,3
6/5
2/5Finished 5-6-4

$12 Wagered. $34.40 Returned. $22.40 profit.

[FocusWiz]

Last attempt:

CT Race #9:

1/5,7,4,10
2/3,5
3,5/1
3,7/2

[FocusWiz]

Last attempt:

CT Race #9:

1/5,7,4,10
2/3,5
3,5/1
3,7/2missed again. Finished 4-3-5.

Next time.

[ultracapper]

Just shows what a difficult bet the exacta really is. I stay away from it like poison, though the temptation is a constant rub.