Top Horse Analytics: 09/17/2014 BEL

[Augenj]

Race picks will be posted here;
- in order by 1st race start time at each track
- after scratches have been posted at Equibase or track web sites
- usually one hour or more before 1st race start time

Race results will be posted here;
- after race charts have been posted at Equibase
- normally within three hours
- with Top Horse winning payoffs highlighted in red

THA Active Tracks: BEL,CD,GP
THA Inactive Tracks: AQU,DMR,KEE,OP,SA,SAR,TAM

[Augenj]

Race Cancellations (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Race Changes (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Race Results (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)

09/17/14, BEL, Race 1, 1.05 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $80,000
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Pick 3 Races (1-3), Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5) - Double
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Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
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100.0000 :6: Kenzadargent (FR) [3/5] Ortiz. Jr. I / Brown Chad C.
095.2955 :5: Wellingtons Appeal [5-1] Castillo A / Vega Richard
094.5695 :1: Rubindy [4-1] Castellano J / Brown Chad C.
091.7069 :4: Image of Anna [8-1] Rosario J / Violette. Jr. Richard
090.4736 2 Almost an Angel [10-1] Saez G / Dibona Bobby S.
*Scratch* 3 Lotsa Noodles [3-1] No Rider Yet / Rodriguez Rudy R.

09/17/14, BEL, Race 2, 1.36 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $29,000
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) - Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double
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Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1: Invasion Point [5/2] Castellano J / Maker Michael J.
096.5198 :6: Wishandaprayer [6-1] Davis D / Martin Carlos F.
095.5261 :9: Artemus Paperboy [8/5] Velasquez C H / Jacobson David
095.1372 :5: Here's Trance [20-1] Camacho. Jr. S / Younghans William
094.0401 7 Royalty Reigns [5-1] Saez L / Gullo Gary P.
092.5894 10 Casa Cavallo [30-1] Jimenez S / Kelly Patrick J.
091.4421 4 Officer Mahaffy [30-1] Worrie A S / Metivier Richard
090.6842 3 Mach Seven [15-1] Mejias L / Parker Joseph G.
*Scratch* 8 Billy the King [20-1] Rodriguez I O / Chin Peter A.
*Scratch* 2 Ten Year Warranty [12-1] Maragh R / Chin Peter A.

09/17/14, BEL, Race 3, 2.07 ET
Race is off turf and has been calculated as a dirt race
6F [Inner Turf] 1.06.04 CLAIMING. Purse $40,000
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Double
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Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :10: Malibu Queen [4-1] Alvarado J / Araya Rene A.
099.9822 :1: Julie Napp [6/5] No Rider Yet / Schettino Dominick
099.9348 :6: Courageous Karen [10-1] Worrie A S / Shevy Michael J.
099.3398 :8: Mr Rico Is Valid [8-1] No Rider Yet / Gullo Gary P.
*Scratch* 9 Blisstering Strike [12-1] Saez L / Grusmark Karl M.
*Scratch* 7 Kushmee Kat [12-1] Prado E S / Reiff Eugene
*Scratch* 5 Rosemarie [30-1] Rodriguez I O / Chin Peter A.
*Scratch* 4 Saratoga Karaoke [7/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Domino Carl J.
*Scratch* 3 Dattts Da Boss [5/2] Rice T B / Toscano. Jr. John T.
*Scratch* 2 Stage Name [3-1] Lopez P / Reynolds Patrick L.

09/17/14, BEL, Race 4, 2.38 ET
Race is off turf and has been calculated as a dirt race
6F [Turf] 1.06.04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $60,000
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Pick 3 Races (4-6), Pick 6 Races (4-9) - Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :12: The Lewis Dinner [2-1] No Rider Yet / Rodriguez Rudy R.
099.0543 :7: Go Babe [5-1] Castellano J / Englehart Chris J.
095.7732 :10: Shoot the Moon [6-1] Velazquez J R / Dilger Michael
094.9871 :1: Stolen Victory [6-1] Saez L / Contessa Gary C.
094.6949 5 Rhody Rendezvous [20-1] Rice T B / Ferraro James W.
094.1856 9 Hot Like Hepburn [5/2] Velasquez C H / Rice Linda
094.1520 11 Quezon [8-1] No Rider Yet / Ribaudo Robert
092.4851 2 Redbeard [15-1] Lopez P / Orseno Joseph F.
092.2348 8 Light Years Away [20-1] Davis D / Kelly Patrick J.
*Scratch* 6 Brockolini [8-1] Ortiz J L / Morley Thomas
*Scratch* 4 R Y Squadron [2-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Brown Chad C.
*Scratch* 3 Pink Freud Live [12-1] Arroyo A S / Weaver George
*Scratch* 1a Wesdrewmax [6-1] Rodriguez I O / Contessa Gary C.
*Scratch* 14 My Super Nova [6/5] Ortiz. Jr. I / Weaver George
*Scratch* 13 Bernstein Flambe [20-1] No Rider Yet / Schettino Dominick

09/17/14, BEL, Race 5, 3.09 ET
1 1/16M [Dirt] 1.39.02 CLAIMING. Purse $40,000
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7) - Grand Slam Races (5-8), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4: North Ocean [3-1] Franco M / Servis Jason
097.6206 :8: Chairman Now [5-1] Castellano J / Englehart Chris J.
095.6712 :6: Love to Run [4-1] Alvarado J / Kimmel John C.
095.5088 :3: Lure of the South [12-1] Davis D / Brown Bruce R.
093.5745 1 Bedouin Now [8-1] Maragh R / Reiff Eugene
093.3015 5 Rap d'Oro [10-1] Mejias L / Adsit Abigail C.
091.2727 7 Matt and Jesse [20-1] Arroyo A S / Ortiz Paulino O.
*Scratch* 2 M J Plus [5/2] Velasquez C H / Jacobson David

09/17/14, BEL, Race 6, 3.41 ET
Race is off turf and has been calculated as a dirt race
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.39.02 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $50,000
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Pick 3 Races (6-8), Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9) - Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :10: Classic Sense [7/5] Castellano J / Brown Chad C.
095.4131 :4: First Bid [2-1] Velasquez C H / Rice Linda
093.9724 :1a: Killer Crossover [4-1] Velasquez C H / Serpe Philip M.
093.5625 :3: Forever Thing [6-1] Rosario J / Asmussen Steven M.
093.0899 7 Broadway Zen [5-1] Ortiz J L / Romans Dale L.
*Scratch* 9 Pep the Champ [7/2] Franco M / Dutrow Anthony W.
*Scratch* 8 Boss Man [8-1] Alvarado J / Mott William I.
*Scratch* 6 Defining Product [15-1] Saez L / Heffner William
*Scratch* 5 March Reward [3-1] Castellano J / Maker Michael J.
*Scratch* 2 Smokey Brown [10-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Toscano. Jr. John T.
*Scratch* 1 Stableford (GB) [4-1] Lopez P / Serpe Philip M.

09/17/14, BEL, Race 7, 4.13 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $62,000
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Double
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Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4: Verismilitude [6-1] Velazquez J R / Asmussen Steven M.
097.0091 :7: Blithely [7/2] Rosario J / Hennig Mark A.
096.5773 :8: My Girl Madison [3-1] Lopez C C / Belsoeur Yvon
095.0145 :6: Ms. Sylvia A. [6-1] Ortiz. Jr. I / Nevin Michelle
092.7433 2 Skye Saratoga [12-1] Castellano J / Albertrani Thomas
092.4558 1 The Lost Tigress [4-1] Ortiz J L / Baker Charlton
091.0385 1a Very Accomplished [4-1] Davis D / Baker Charlton
089.1573 5 Daddy's Lil Saint [10-1] Lezcano J / Levine Bruce N.
088.2969 9 Manhattan Gin [20-1] Franco M / Brown Bruce R.
087.3236 3 Penella [20-1] Maragh R / Divitto Debra

09/17/14, BEL, Race 8, 4.45 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $62,000
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Double
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :8: Blue Pigeon [5/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Clement Christophe
099.8781 :5: Iced Over [7/2] Velasquez C H / Lauer Michael E.
098.3484 :1: Gridley Here [5-1] Alvarado J / McPeek Kenneth G.
097.5243 :2: Salisbury Knight [10-1] Maragh R / Jerkens James A.
097.1550 9 Adams Note [10-1] Velazquez J R / Dilger Michael
096.9261 3 Charity Reins [4-1] Castellano J / Serpe Philip M.
095.5579 12 Island Therapy [20-1] Saez L / Gullo Gary P.
095.4620 11 All Over Me [20-1] Bravo J / Maker Michael J.
094.9543 10 Balderdash [15-1] Ortiz J L / Feron Kathleen M.
093.9957 6 Trainingforsuccess [20-1] Worrie A S / Friedman Mitchell E.
093.9735 4 Mister Dooley [30-1] Davis D / Davis Robbie G.
091.9789 7 Ausable River [50-1] Rodriguez I O / Araya Rene A.
*Scratch* 15 Sunnysider [12-1] Maragh R / Wilson Michael
*Scratch* 14 Northern Tripp [20-1] Velasquez C H / Ryerson James T.
*Scratch* 13 Jesses Giant Dunk [15-1] Bravo J / Adsit Abigail C.

09/17/14, BEL, Race 9, 5.17 ET
1 1/16M [Inner Turf] 1.39.02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $60,000
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :4: Talladega [9/2] Ortiz. Jr. I / Barker Edward R.
099.1571 :9: Tiger D [2-1] Rosario J / Baker James E.
098.0578 :7: Blue Shark [4-1] Velazquez J R / Dilger Michael
096.4087 :5: Boston Strong [6-1] Maragh R / Terranova. II John P.
094.6759 6 Luv Dakota Skye [12-1] Arroyo A S / Weaver George
094.2935 11 Sole Train [20-1] Ortiz J L / Serpe Philip M.
092.8969 1 Without Fear [30-1] Franco M / Chin Peter A.
089.9940 2 Starago [15-1] Velasquez C H / DiPrima Gregory
*Scratch* 8 Changewilldoyagood [12-1] Alvarado J / Kimmel John C.
*Scratch* 3 Horse With No Name [15-1] Davis D / Levine Bruce N.
*Scratch* 14 Party On [8-1] No Rider Yet / Levine Bruce N.
*Scratch* 13 Vagarious [4-1] Rosario J / Violette. Jr. Richard
*Scratch* 12 Lotza Heat [15-1] Castellano J / DiSanto Glenn B.
*Scratch* 10 Keen's Cupla [15-1] Saez L / Contessa Gary C.

[Augenj]

WPS Takeout at BEL is 16%, Breakage is $0.10

09/17/14, BEL, Race 1, 1.05 ET
100.0000 :6: Kenzadargent (FR) [3/5] 1st - 2.80 2.20 2.10
095.2955 :5: Wellingtons Appeal [5-1]
094.5695 :1: Rubindy [4-1] 2nd - 4.10 2.40
091.7069 :4: Image of Anna [8-1] 3rd - 2.20

09/17/14, BEL, Race 2, 1.36 ET
100.0000 :1: Invasion Point [5/2] 3rd - 2.30
096.5198 :6: Wishandaprayer [6-1]
095.5261 :9: Artemus Paperboy [8/5] 1st -6.40 3.60 2.20
095.1372 :5: Here's Trance [20-1]

09/17/14, BEL, Race 3, 2.07 ET
100.0000 :10: Malibu Queen [4-1] 2nd - 2.40 x.xx
099.9822 :1: Julie Napp [6/5] 1st - 3.20 2.20 x.xx
099.9348 :6: Courageous Karen [10-1] eased
099.3398 :8: Mr Rico Is Valid [8-1] 3rd - x.xx

09/17/14, BEL, Race 4, 2.38 ET
100.0000 :12: The Lewis Dinner [2-1] 2nd - 2.70 2.20
099.0543 :7: Go Babe [5-1] 3rd - 3.60
095.7732 :10: Shoot the Moon [6-1]
094.9871 :1: Stolen Victory [6-1]

09/17/14, BEL, Race 5, 3.09 ET
100.0000 :4: North Ocean [3-1]
097.6206 :8: Chairman Now [5-1] 2nd - 6.40 3.50
095.6712 :6: Love to Run [4-1]
095.5088 :3: Lure of the South [12-1] 4th

09/17/14, BEL, Race 6, 3.41 ET
100.0000 :10: Classic Sense [7/5] 2nd - 2.40 2.10
095.4131 :4: First Bid [2-1] 1st - 19.00 5.20 2.80
093.9724 :1a: Killer Crossover [4-1] 3rd - 2.90
093.5625 :3: Forever Thing [6-1]

09/17/14, BEL, Race 7, 4.13 ET
100.0000 :4: Verismilitude [6-1]
097.0091 :7: Blithely [7/2] 1st - 5.50 3.50 3.00
096.5773 :8: My Girl Madison [3-1] 3rd - 4.60
095.0145 :6: Ms. Sylvia A. [6-1] 2nd - 5.40 5.10

09/17/14, BEL, Race 8, 4.45 ET
100.0000 :8: Blue Pigeon [5/2] 2nd - 3.20 2.40
099.8781 :5: Iced Over [7/2] 3rd - 3.10
098.3484 :1: Gridley Here [5-1]
097.5243 :2: Salisbury Knight [10-1]

09/17/14, BEL, Race 9, 5.17 ET
100.0000 :4: Talladega [9/2] 3rd - 2.40
099.1571 :9: Tiger D [2-1] 1st - 2.70 2.90 2.10 DH
098.0578 :7: Blue Shark [4-1] 4th
096.4087 :5: Boston Strong [6-1] 1st - 3.40 4.00 2.70 DH