turninforhome10
09-12-2014, 02:59 PM
Trying something that while requiring a lot of testing, is showing some good results. Still learning to tweak, but the idea is to use my methods against the betting line to find overlays for WPS tickets against pools with vulnerable favorites and next to find what I call "money sequences" where I can find doubles and pick 3's.
I let all the factors equal one (all things being equal for the first data), then I tune the methods containing the first data looking for relevant factors, then I tune all those secondary methods into a bet method that is run against the morning line. Enough talk. Lets try this.
Bel R6
3 runners rise up here
BELMONT 09-12-2014 RACE 6 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 96
8.0f TURF F&M 3&UP STRTD $5OK/LESS AND Nw 2 3YO 119 LBS;ODR 123 LBS NON-WS 1MI/OVER SNC
STARTER ALW PURSE: $50000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 50
Weighting Factors 1 0
PP Name *bet1 ML SCORE
8 SARAHS BIG DAY *69.76 10.00 3.02
1 COSTENIA 68.10 *1.60 3.19
2 UNTILTHEREWASYOU 66.44 15.00 3.36
9 BOSSANOVA LADY 57.12 12.00 4.29
4 WRAITH 45.80 2.50 5.42
7 FUNKY MUNKY FEVE 44.70 6.00 5.53
11 LADY LUCIANO 44.40 10.00 5.56
5 WINNERS LEGACY 43.39 5.00 5.66
3 LONELY TEARDROPS 42.80 3.50 5.72
10 TRANSPLENDID 36.43 10.00 6.36
6 LEGALLY BAY 31.06 8.00 6.89
The number of past races used is 6
******** THIS RACE MEETS MY CULLING REQUIREMENTS *********
MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING Play):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
8 SARAHS BIG DAY 10.0 ARROYO A. S. BARBARA R.
1 COSTENIA 1.6 CASTELLANO J. PLETCHER T. A.
2 UNTILTHEREWASYOU 15.0 DAVIS D. LEWIS L. L.
9 BOSSANOVA LADY 12.0 SAEZ L. GRUSMARK K. M.
4 WRAITH 2.5 MARAGH R. FRIEDMAN M. E.
7 FUNKY MUNKY FEVER 6.0 ALVARADO J. DONK D. G.
11 LADY LUCIANO 10.0 ROSARIO J. TOSCANO JR. J. T.
5 WINNERS LEGACY 5.0 LEZCANO J. WEAVER G.
3 LONELY TEARDROPS 3.5 ORTIZ J. L. GARGAN D.
10 TRANSPLENDID 10.0 BRAVO J. SERPE P. M.
6 LEGALLY BAY 8.0 COOK J.
Will use the :1: :2: :8: as winner since they are in the range of the top horse 1.0. Horses must be within 1.0 ranking points to the top horse to be considered for win. If the top horse is a false favorite the use the 2nd horses ranking number 1.0 and look for winner. This has been the best way this overthinking OCD, ADD gambler has been able to eliminate objectively.
BEL R7
Custom Method: Play - Play
BELMONT 09-12-2014 RACE 7 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 96
6.5f DIRT MDN FILS 2YO FOALED IN NY AND APPROVED BY THE NY-BRD REGISTRY WGT 120 LBS WGR:
MDN SP WT PURSE: $60000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 23
Weighting Factors 1 0
PP Name *bet1 ML SCORE
2 SWEETPOLLYPUREBR*60.58 *2.00 3.94
5 MAJESTIC JESSICA 57.99 6.00 4.20
3 JANNY LOVE 48.28 8.00 5.17
9 FIRST SERVICE 48.15 4.00 5.18
1 YOURCREDITISGOOD 45.76 6.00 5.42
7 MISS MATZOBALL 45.59 12.00 5.44
8 ALWAYS SARAH 44.34 12.00 5.57
4 SANDRA 38.73 6.00 6.13
6 RHYTHM OF A DANC 26.65 20.00 7.33
The number of past races used is 6
******** THIS RACE MEETS MY CULLING REQUIREMENTS *********
MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING Play):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
2 SWEETPOLLYPUREBRD 2.0 ORTIZ JR. I. RODRIGUEZ R. R.
5 MAJESTIC JESSICA 6.0 CASTELLANO J. BROWN B. R.
3 JANNY LOVE 8.0 VELASQUEZ C. H. RICE L.
9 FIRST SERVICE 4.0 VELAZQUEZ J. R. DILGER M.
1 YOURCREDITISGOOD 6.0 MARAGH R. ORSENO J. F.
7 MISS MATZOBALL 12.0 BRAVO J. LERMAN R. S.
8 ALWAYS SARAH 12.0 DECARLO C. P. RYERSON J. T.
4 SANDRA 6.0 FRANCO M. BUSH T. M.
6 RHYTHM OF A DANCER 20.0 WORRIE A. S.
Will use the :2: as primary and the :5: :3: :9: as secondary if false fav.
5$ DD :1: :2: :8: / :2:
2$DD :1: :2: :8: / :3: :5: :9:
I let all the factors equal one (all things being equal for the first data), then I tune the methods containing the first data looking for relevant factors, then I tune all those secondary methods into a bet method that is run against the morning line. Enough talk. Lets try this.
Bel R6
3 runners rise up here
BELMONT 09-12-2014 RACE 6 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 96
8.0f TURF F&M 3&UP STRTD $5OK/LESS AND Nw 2 3YO 119 LBS;ODR 123 LBS NON-WS 1MI/OVER SNC
STARTER ALW PURSE: $50000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 50
Weighting Factors 1 0
PP Name *bet1 ML SCORE
8 SARAHS BIG DAY *69.76 10.00 3.02
1 COSTENIA 68.10 *1.60 3.19
2 UNTILTHEREWASYOU 66.44 15.00 3.36
9 BOSSANOVA LADY 57.12 12.00 4.29
4 WRAITH 45.80 2.50 5.42
7 FUNKY MUNKY FEVE 44.70 6.00 5.53
11 LADY LUCIANO 44.40 10.00 5.56
5 WINNERS LEGACY 43.39 5.00 5.66
3 LONELY TEARDROPS 42.80 3.50 5.72
10 TRANSPLENDID 36.43 10.00 6.36
6 LEGALLY BAY 31.06 8.00 6.89
The number of past races used is 6
******** THIS RACE MEETS MY CULLING REQUIREMENTS *********
MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING Play):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
8 SARAHS BIG DAY 10.0 ARROYO A. S. BARBARA R.
1 COSTENIA 1.6 CASTELLANO J. PLETCHER T. A.
2 UNTILTHEREWASYOU 15.0 DAVIS D. LEWIS L. L.
9 BOSSANOVA LADY 12.0 SAEZ L. GRUSMARK K. M.
4 WRAITH 2.5 MARAGH R. FRIEDMAN M. E.
7 FUNKY MUNKY FEVER 6.0 ALVARADO J. DONK D. G.
11 LADY LUCIANO 10.0 ROSARIO J. TOSCANO JR. J. T.
5 WINNERS LEGACY 5.0 LEZCANO J. WEAVER G.
3 LONELY TEARDROPS 3.5 ORTIZ J. L. GARGAN D.
10 TRANSPLENDID 10.0 BRAVO J. SERPE P. M.
6 LEGALLY BAY 8.0 COOK J.
Will use the :1: :2: :8: as winner since they are in the range of the top horse 1.0. Horses must be within 1.0 ranking points to the top horse to be considered for win. If the top horse is a false favorite the use the 2nd horses ranking number 1.0 and look for winner. This has been the best way this overthinking OCD, ADD gambler has been able to eliminate objectively.
BEL R7
Custom Method: Play - Play
BELMONT 09-12-2014 RACE 7 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 96
6.5f DIRT MDN FILS 2YO FOALED IN NY AND APPROVED BY THE NY-BRD REGISTRY WGT 120 LBS WGR:
MDN SP WT PURSE: $60000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 23
Weighting Factors 1 0
PP Name *bet1 ML SCORE
2 SWEETPOLLYPUREBR*60.58 *2.00 3.94
5 MAJESTIC JESSICA 57.99 6.00 4.20
3 JANNY LOVE 48.28 8.00 5.17
9 FIRST SERVICE 48.15 4.00 5.18
1 YOURCREDITISGOOD 45.76 6.00 5.42
7 MISS MATZOBALL 45.59 12.00 5.44
8 ALWAYS SARAH 44.34 12.00 5.57
4 SANDRA 38.73 6.00 6.13
6 RHYTHM OF A DANC 26.65 20.00 7.33
The number of past races used is 6
******** THIS RACE MEETS MY CULLING REQUIREMENTS *********
MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING Play):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
2 SWEETPOLLYPUREBRD 2.0 ORTIZ JR. I. RODRIGUEZ R. R.
5 MAJESTIC JESSICA 6.0 CASTELLANO J. BROWN B. R.
3 JANNY LOVE 8.0 VELASQUEZ C. H. RICE L.
9 FIRST SERVICE 4.0 VELAZQUEZ J. R. DILGER M.
1 YOURCREDITISGOOD 6.0 MARAGH R. ORSENO J. F.
7 MISS MATZOBALL 12.0 BRAVO J. LERMAN R. S.
8 ALWAYS SARAH 12.0 DECARLO C. P. RYERSON J. T.
4 SANDRA 6.0 FRANCO M. BUSH T. M.
6 RHYTHM OF A DANCER 20.0 WORRIE A. S.
Will use the :2: as primary and the :5: :3: :9: as secondary if false fav.
5$ DD :1: :2: :8: / :2:
2$DD :1: :2: :8: / :3: :5: :9: