Top Horse Analytics: 09/03/2014 DMR

[Augenj]

Race picks will be posted here;
- in order by 1st race start time at each track
- after scratches have been posted at Equibase or track web sites
- usually one hour or more before 1st race start time

Race results will be posted here;
- after race charts have been posted at Equibase
- normally within three hours
- with Top Horse winning payoffs highlighted in red

THA Active Tracks: DMR,GP,SAR
THA Inactive Tracks: AQU,BEL,CD,KEE,OP,SA,TAM

[Augenj]

Race Cancellations (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/cancellations.html?SAP=TN)
Race Changes (http://www.equibase.com/static/latechanges/html/latechanges.html?SAP=TN)
Race Results (http://www.equibase.com/static/chart/pdf/index.html?SAP=TN)
Exotic Wager Cost Calculator (http://www.winningponies.com/help/exotic-wager-calculator.html?SAP=TN)

09/03/14, DMR, Race 1, 2.05 PT
1 1/16M [Turf] 1.39.03 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $1 Trifecta - $2 Rolling Double / $1 Place Pick All / $1 Rolling Pick Three - $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) / 50 cent Pick 5
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Three Blondes [5/2] Bejarano R / Gutierrez Jorge
097.3219 :1: Susan B Good [7/2] Trujillo E / O'Neill Doug F.
096.9064 :5: Lethal Story [3-1] Nakatani C S / Abrams Barry
094.3781 :7: Flowinwiththebreez [6-1] Pereira T J / D'Amato Philip
093.8775 2 Diamond Flush [8-1] Vargas. Jr. J A / Hess. Jr. Robert B.
092.8423 4 Veronica Bay [6-1] Quinonez A / Abrams Barry
089.5498 6 Sweet Silica [20-1] Couton J / Lucas Robert J.
*Scratch* 8 L L Cool Jo [10-1] Delgadillo A / Freeman Edward R.

09/03/14, DMR, Race 2, 2.35 PT
6F [Dirt] 1.08.01 STAKES. Pirate's Bounty Stakes. Purse $90,000
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $1 Trifecta - $2 Rolling Double / $1 Rolling Pick Three - $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :6: Seeking the Sherif [7/5] Maldonado E A / Ellis Ronald W.
096.9801 :1: Bull Dozer [3-1] Desormeaux K J / Desormeaux J. Keith
096.9785 :2: Ain't No Other [6-1] Trujillo E / Hollendorfer Jerry
096.3982 :5: Ankeny Hill [5-1] Baze T / Glatt Mark
091.1768 3 Heir of Storm [10-1] Espinoza V / Miller Peter
090.7917 4 No Silent [4-1] Bejarano R / Mandella Gary

09/03/14, DMR, Race 3, 3.05 PT
1 1/8M [Dirt] 1.48.04 CLAIMING. Purse $33,000
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella - $1 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double / $1 Rolling Pick Three - $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :8: Friendly Banter [3-1] Van Dyke D / O'Neill Doug F.
099.9182 :5: Fighter Squadron [5/2] Desormeaux K J / Hess. Jr. Robert B.
096.2605 :6: Tiznow Or Then [4-1] Talamo J / Ellis Ronald W.
095.6183 :3: Thirtyfirststreet [6-1] Gryder A T / D'Amato Philip
094.5820 4 Graeme Crackerjack [4-1] Baze T / Yakteen Tim
090.6366 7 Bardy [10-1] Antongeorgi III W / Hess. Jr. Robert B.
090.5540 2 Welcome Home Ryan [12-1] Pedroza M A / Mulhall Kristin
090.0478 1 Barney Rebel (IRE) [20-1] Steiner J J / Vallejo Genaro

09/03/14, DMR, Race 4, 3.35 PT
6F [Dirt] 1.08.01 STAKES. C.E.R.F. Stakes. Purse $90,000
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $1 Trifecta - $2 Rolling Double / $1 Rolling Pick Three - $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Clearly Confused [6-1] Bejarano R / Baltas Richard
099.1691 :6: Go West Marie [6-1] Desormeaux K J / Truman Eddie
099.0208 :1: Reneesgotzip [5/2] Maldonado E A / Miller Peter
098.9933 :2: Top Kisser [5-1] Trujillo E / Hollendorfer Jerry
098.8933 7 Belle de Lune (FR) [8-1] Van Dyke D / Proctor Thomas F.
098.6768 9 Fanticola [8-1] Talamo J / D'Amato Philip
096.4247 8 Kinz Funky Monkey [8-1] Garcia M / Eurton Peter
095.7223 4 Llandudno [8-1] Baze T / Sadler John W.
*Scratch* 3 Maker Or Breaker [] S /

09/03/14, DMR, Race 5, 4.05 PT
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.14.02 CLAIMING. Purse $20,000
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $1 Trifecta - $2 Rolling Double / $1 Rolling Pick Three - $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) / $2 Pick Six Starts
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: World Famous Sam T [7/2] Espinoza V / Hess. Jr. Robert B.
098.2523 :11: Zip Cat [9/2] Delgadillo A / Miller Peter
097.7570 :1: Qatar's Pearl [15-1] Trujillo E / Gilker Robert
097.6969 :12: Sunrise Legacy [6-1] Nakatani C S / Morey William E.
096.1375 6 Usbek Thunder (BRZ) [8-1] Pereira T J / Avila A. C.
095.3794 9 Supercabras [20-1] Maldonado E A / Miller Quentin B.
094.6359 10 Tiz Snazzy [12-1] Quinonez A / Garcia Victor L.
093.5605 7 Valentine Boy [12-1] Van Dyke D / O'Neill Doug F.
093.1070 4 Lucky Gotum [20-1] Herrera S / Mahorney Cinda
091.8752 8 Showme Yourfriends [15-1] Baze T / Yakteen Tim
*Scratch* 5 Ore Pass [] S /
*Scratch* 2 Fonz [] S /

09/03/14, DMR, Race 6, 4.35 PT
1M [Turf] 1.32.01 STAKES. Oak Tree Juvenile Turf Stakes. Purse $100,000
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $1 Trifecta - $2 Rolling Double / $1 Rolling Pick Three - $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :3: Dallas Skyline [5/2] Desormeaux K J / Autrey Cody
099.0517 :12: Peacenluvpeacenluv [15-1] Trujillo E / Papaprodromou George
098.2064 :2: Papacoolpapacool [6-1] Talamo J / Mullins Jeff
097.9406 :9: Sky Preacher [3-1] Baze T / O'Neill Doug F.
096.5507 7 Conquest Bespoke [8-1] Smith M E / Casse Mark E.
095.9256 10 Highway Boss [12-1] Pereira T J / Pearson Molly J.
094.7309 1 Daddy D T [8-1] Nakatani C S / Sadler John W.
094.5580 8 Pioneerof the West [12-1] Blanc B / Casse Mark E.
094.5036 6 Visitation [15-1] Espinoza V / Gallagher Patrick
094.0904 13 Southeast Asia [20-1] Quinonez A / Abrams Barry
093.8825 5 Increase [20-1] Perez F H / Avila A. C.
091.9348 11 Kenji's Thunder [20-1] Solis A O / Papaprodromou George
091.8792 4 Litigation Road [20-1] Gutierrez M / O'Neill Doug F.

09/03/14, DMR, Race 7, 5.05 PT
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $1 Trifecta - $2 Rolling Double / $1 Rolling Pick Three - $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) / 50 cent Pick Four
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :12: Zendai [5-1] Baze T / Harty Eoin G.
096.0123 :2: Cougar Country [7/2] Bejarano R / Hollendorfer Jerry
094.4267 :6: Fame and Power [9/2] Garcia M / Baffert Bob
094.2723 :1: All Indians [5-1] Desormeaux K J / Hess. Jr. Robert B.
093.2552 10 Ghost of Navigator [20-1] Espinoza V / Ellis Ronald W.
092.8826 13 Life On Riviera [10-1] Vargas. Jr. J A / Miller Peter
092.8639 9 Smuggler Union [6-1] Smith M E / Zucker Howard L.
092.8554 8 Stormy Liberal [5-1] Trujillo E / O'Neill Doug F.
092.4736 4 Pretentious [10-1] Nakatani C S / Cassidy James M.
092.0153 3 Winclude [12-1] Quinonez A / Bonde Jeff
091.9539 7 Lovenseek [20-1] Maldonado E A / Miller Peter
091.8471 14 Every May [20-1] Arias S / Callaghan Simon
091.1435 11 Sebastian's Heart [20-1] Delgadillo A / Papaprodromou George
*Scratch* 5 Ketos [] S /

09/03/14, DMR, Race 8, 5.35 PT
7F [Dirt] 1.21.00 STAKES. Del Mar Futurity. Grade 1. Purse $300,000
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $1 Trifecta - $2 Rolling Double / $1 Pick 3 - $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :5: Iron Fist [5-1] Smith M E / Hollendorfer Jerry
099.5325 :7: Red Button [8-1] Bejarano R / Glatt Mark
097.9306 :9: Skyway [7/2] Nakatani C S / Casse Mark E.
093.8382 :3: Inexcess Time [15-1] Talamo J / Solis Walther
092.2829 4 Calculator [8-1] Trujillo E / Miller Peter
091.6971 6 Henry's Holiday [5-1] Baze T / O'Neill Doug F.
091.5538 2 Oh Newman [8-1] Gryder A T / D'Amato Philip
090.6672 8 Holiday Camp [9/2] Garcia M / Baffert Bob
088.9192 1 American Pharoah [6-1] Espinoza V / Baffert Bob

09/03/14, DMR, Race 9, 6.05 PT
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $1 Trifecta - $2 Double / $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.)
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :8: Definitely Not [3-1] Bejarano R / Hollendorfer Jerry
096.6600 :12: Take Back Spring [6-1] Gutierrez M / O'Neill Doug F.
096.3785 :7: Stormy Adieu [7/2] Van Dyke D / Mason Ingrid
095.9854 :1: Flat Footed Mama [4-1] Garcia M / Baffert Bob
095.6568 2 Pause the Memories [5-1] Smith M E / Cassidy James M.
095.6111 5 Diamond Debbie [6-1] Gutierrez M / Baltas Richard
095.2864 3 Racing Hope [12-1] Desormeaux K J / Becerra Rafael
094.7333 10 Watdifrenzdzitmake [15-1] Pereira T J / D'Amato Philip
094.5715 9 Aguacita [20-1] Trujillo E / Periban Jorge
094.4067 6 Artemisia [10-1] Talamo J / Gaines Carla
094.3980 4 Saint Mamie [20-1] Maldonado E A / Machowsky Michael
091.3242 14 Elusive Mistress [30-1] Orozco I / Martinez Silverio
*Scratch* 13 Tatum's Gold [] S /
*Scratch* 11 Really a Princess [] S /

09/03/14, DMR, Race 10, 6.35 PT
1M [Turf] 1.32.01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $77,000
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $1 Trifecta - $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) / 50 cent Super High 5
--------------------------------------------------------
Rating Pgm# Horse [M/L] Jockey / Trainer
--------------------------------------------------------
100.0000 :1: Taste Like Candy [7/2] Bejarano R / Hollendorfer Jerry
097.0276 :2: Disregarded [5-1] Garcia M / Mulhall Kristin
096.7385 :7: Vanlose Stairway [9/2] Espinoza V / Sadler John W.
096.7041 :3: Gabby's Purim [8-1] Desormeaux K J / Hess. Jr. Robert B.
096.3262 9 (F)Gender Agenda (GB) [5-1] Talamo J / Gaines Carla
095.7463 8 Kukaluka [8-1] Van Dyke D / Miller Peter
093.4856 4 Practising (GB) [20-1] Solis A O / Gallagher Patrick
093.2081 5 Love In The Desert (GB) [12-1] Nakatani C S / Callaghan Simon
090.8437 6 Pillow (IRE) [12-1] Smith M E / Callaghan Simon
*Scratch* 11 Tangelo [8-1] Gutierrez M / Cecil Ben D. A.
*Scratch* 10 Lookinfor Mr Right [] S /

[Augenj]

Another "start of the week" day where things seem to go south.

WPS Takeout at DMR is 15.43%, Breakage is $0.20

09/03/14, DMR, Race 1, 2.05 PT
100.0000 :3: Three Blondes [5/2]
097.3219 :1: Susan B Good [7/2] 3rd - 3.00
096.9064 :5: Lethal Story [3-1] 1st - 12.40 6.40 3.40
094.3781 :7: Flowinwiththebreez [6-1]

09/03/14, DMR, Race 2, 2.35 PT
100.0000 :6: Seeking the Sherif [7/5] 3rd- 2.10
096.9801 :1: Bull Dozer [3-1]
096.9785 :2: Ain't No Other [6-1] 2nd - 8.00 3.20
096.3982 :5: Ankeny Hill [5-1] 1st - 14.00 5.80 3.00

09/03/14, DMR, Race 3, 3.05 PT
100.0000 :8: Friendly Banter [3-1] 1st - 6.00 4.20 2.80
099.9182 :5: Fighter Squadron [5/2] 3rd - 2.80
096.2605 :6: Tiznow Or Then [4-1]
095.6183 :3: Thirtyfirststreet [6-1] 4th

09/03/14, DMR, Race 4, 3.35 PT
100.0000 :5: Clearly Confused [6-1]
099.1691 :6: Go West Marie [6-1] 3rd - 3.80
099.0208 :1: Reneesgotzip [5/2] 1st - 3.20 2.60 2.20
098.9933 :2: Top Kisser [5-1] 2nd - 6.80 4.00

09/03/14, DMR, Race 5, 4.05 PT
100.0000 :3: World Famous Sam T [7/2] 4th
098.2523 :11: Zip Cat [9/2] 2nd - 5.00 3.60
097.7570 :1: Qatar's Pearl [15-1]
097.6969 :12: Sunrise Legacy [6-1]

09/03/14, DMR, Race 6, 4.35 PT
100.0000 :3: Dallas Skyline [5/2] 4th
099.0517 :12: Peacenluvpeacenluv [15-1]
098.2064 :2: Papacoolpapacool [6-1] 3rd - 4.60
097.9406 :9: Sky Preacher [3-1] 2nd - 4.60 3.40

09/03/14, DMR, Race 7, 5.05 PT
100.0000 :12: Zendai [5-1] *SCR*
096.0123 :2: Cougar Country [7/2]
094.4267 :6: Fame and Power [9/2] 2nd - 4.60 3.40
094.2723 :1: All Indians [5-1] 1st - 9.20 4.40 3.20

09/03/14, DMR, Race 8, 5.35 PT
100.0000 :5: Iron Fist [5-1] 3rd - 3.80
099.5325 :7: Red Button [8-1]
097.9306 :9: Skyway [7/2] 4th
093.8382 :3: Inexcess Time [15-1]

09/03/14, DMR, Race 9, 6.05 PT
100.0000 :8: Definitely Not [3-1]
096.6600 :12: Take Back Spring [6-1] *SCR*
096.3785 :7: Stormy Adieu [7/2] 1st - 4.60 3.00 2.60
095.9854 :1: Flat Footed Mama [4-1] 2nd - 4.80 4.80

09/03/14, DMR, Race 10, 6.35 PT
100.0000 :1: Taste Like Candy [7/2] 3rd - 3.00
097.0276 :2: Disregarded [5-1] 4th
096.7385 :7: Vanlose Stairway [9/2]
096.7041 :3: Gabby's Purim [8-1]