Hambletonian Day 2014

[cmp92]

Figured I'd start a thread for the big day. Feel free to post comments and picks. Good luck all.

[LottaKash]

JUST A REMINDER......POST TIME for the 1ST Race is: 12:00 NooN....

[EdZone]

Hambo Day Selections

Meadowlands Saturday August 2

All Exactor bet. No Win bet.

R1 37/372
R2 96/965
R3 32/329
R4 13/134
R5 67/6782
R6 53/536
R7 17/1752
R8 41/416
R9 45/456
R10 23/236
R11 41/4189
R12 31/318
R13 57/571
R14 12/1236
R15 10 2/10 214

[jefftune]

Trying to beat Father Patrick may be tough even from his 10 post. Nuncio and Trixton have a shot. Royal Ice ran a big one last week with a 54-4 final half - is he getting good at the right time?

[jefftune]

At quick glance of the races it looks like Gingras could win a bunch today!

[MutuelClerk]

My best bet of the day is Race 7. #7 Uncle Lasse. He rallied well in the Haughton elim and I see Pierce being much more aggressive today.

The Oaks is very interesting with the best horse in the second tier. I'm going to try and beat Shake it Cerry. I'm going to use the 178 probably exacta box.

The Hambo is Takter dominated. There's no value on Father Patrick. I'm going to hope Jimmy Takter who has never driven a Hambo winner has some ego and is very aggressive with Trixton. I thought Trixton looked great in his last start and comes into the race ready.

There should be a Oak/Hambo double. Good luck to everyone today.

[cmp92]

So far through two races, they're going pretty fast miles.

[Trips]

Race 5 #6 Bettor's edge 12/1 is hard not to use in gimmicks off his last few efforts and will likely be overlooked on the tote board. Hopefully the 3 weeks between races was by design.

[cecil127]

R5: 3/7 exacta box....another "wager while you work day" for cec! :cool:

[Tor Ekman]

Taking Thinking Out Loud to beat Sweet Lou

[Tor Ekman]

Taking Thinking Out Loud to beat Sweet Lou
Nope, no beating Sweet Lou

[thespaah]

6th race M1....Hoping for a speed duel between the 5 and 6.....
The 3 Lock Down Lady picks up the pieces...
Coming to the gate the 5 is 1/5

[thespaah]

Well so much for that...
Nobody went with the favorite....Mission Brief won in a jog....In mean time ties a world record for 2 yo T fillies.....1:52:2.....

[cmp92]

Nope, no beating Sweet Lou
I was surprised Thinking out Loud got third. He was parked a long way and going first over against Sweet Lou. He stalled around the turn and kept the backfield out of it.

[thespaah]

7th Take Centurian ATM...
Im hoping no other horse challenges for the lead.

[cmp92]

7th Take Centurian ATM...
Im hoping no other horse challenges for the lead.
Good pick. I was a little skeptical of Svanstedt's horses after two sick scratches yesterday. He's got a another nice trotter on his hands.

[thespaah]

8th Race..Amped Up Hanover gets a huge positive driver change, inside post..
The only horse i can see beating the 1 is the 4 Stretch Cunningham, the main speed

[Stillriledup]

8th Race..Amped Up Hanover gets a huge positive driver change, inside post..
The only horse i can see beating the 1 is the 4 Stretch Cunningham, the main speed

It took about 7 years (visually) for those horses to get from midstretch to the wire. If you had the 1, the wire never seemed to want to get there! :D

[cj]

Looked more like a procession than a race.

[thespaah]

9th.
All about the two main speeds here in the 4 Hillustrious and the 10 Wheelsandthelegman( say that three times fast)..
Three things...First the 10 has had things his own way unchallenged to the lead in his wins.
Big positive driver change to Gingras for the 4. If you look three and 4 back, the last two times Gingras was in the bike, the 4 won a NW 3 and a C-1, Including a lifetime mark of 1:53.4....Any time I can get 5-1 or better with Gingras and Burke, i'm taking it..
4 Hillustrious is my pick

[thespaah]

DAMMIT...Nipped at the wire...Oh well.

[cmp92]

Svanstedt was hammered early, he was 6/5 at first flash.

[Clocker]

After much searching, I find that the race will be covered by CBSSN starting at 4PM eastern. On my DISH service, that is channel 158.

[thespaah]

10th race...Merely looking for a bit of value and I simply don't trust the betting public here as they've made a 12-1 ML horse in the 5 as the 2-1 choice( 5 mons to post) So I'm looking to the 9..Takter ( as a driver 22% and trainer also 22%)drives and trains this one and of course that's some capable hands there.
Yes 9 Master of Law draws outside, but in the last meeting between he and 2 Sweet Justice, Master of Law bested that one. With Master of Law's closing style he does not need the lead so the outside post should not hurt all that much.
Pick is 9 Master of Law

[thespaah]

After much searching, I find that the race will be covered by CBSSN starting at 4PM eastern. On my DISH service, that is channel 158.
I'm watching the live feed on my computer.
www.thebigm.com..

[thespaah]

11th Cashman Final.
Public is all over the 1 Sebastian KS...Who wouldn't. With those credentials, this one is the obvious choice.
However, I am going to try play beat the favorite.
My hope is with the size of the purse being over $300k, the other drivers ar not going to allow the 1 to grab the lead and jog a second quarter of 28. So figuring on some sort of action up front, I will go with the only horse who's beaten Sebastian KS recently and that is #8 Intimidate. That one got up to beat the favorite by uncorking a 26.3 last Q( track sy) in the Maple Leaf Trot final at Mohawk.
Looking strictly for some value here. #8 Intimidate

[MutuelClerk]

Bridge jumpers. I bet everyone else to show.

[Sea Biscuit]

Arch angel could upset

[Stillriledup]

Sebastian K or Sebastian KS?

They're calling him Sebastian K, but my pgm says KS?

[EdZone]

Sebastian K or Sebastian KS?

They're calling him Sebastian K, but my pgm says KS?

It should be Sebastian K S but the announcer is too lazy to say his full name.

[thespaah]

That horse is a God Damned monster. The driver was just interviewed by Bob Heyden and he asked Ake Svanstead where the horse goes from here. Svanstead says he gets one month off. A collective sigh of relief was heard from all the connections of the FFA trotters across the Continent.

[cmp92]

Sebastian K or Sebastian KS?

They're calling him Sebastian K, but my pgm says KS?
I believe the S denotes he was bred in Sweden?

A lot of harness horses have N at the end of their name, but the announcer does not use it. I'm assuming this is a similar case.

[cmp92]

You gotta give Archangel and Market Share lots of credit. Both ran great races, as they have most of the year, but they're being overshadowed by this monster.

[thespaah]

12th Hambo Oaks...
Early money on the 1 Designed To Be..Ok I get it. This filly is pretty good.
However. Going back to a PASS win at Pcd and another there in June, one thing jumps off the page. in both of these wins, this one had the lead just after the quarter. In all of her other starts on the program page, if she did not have the lead by this stage, she did not win...
Which brings me to look all the way at the bottom of the page to #11 Shake It Cerry. She's 14 of 18 lifetime. She's beaten the fans top choice two of three.
Now one might be frightened of the second tier score. Not me. I think Pierce
will draft right up behind the 1 which will leave and hopefully sit pocket.
We;'ll see. I like the #11 Shake It Cerry

[thespaah]

OOPS. Forgot to mention #8 Heaven's Door. Obviously Ake Svanstead has it going on and getting 6-1 with one of his charges is a must use in exotics.
Heaven's Door( isn't that Florida?) has beaten some tough company and belongs here.

[cmp92]

Brian Sears has been horrible at the Big M. The Gural curse?

[thespaah]

Hambletonian..
What can I say. Father Patrick looks tons the best here on paper and is the likely candidate to make Yannick Gingras one of the few drivers to take the Hambo Oaks and the Hambo....
Small play to the 5 Nuncio....However, I really don't see Father Patrick losing here.
If anything. I'd play a bunch of dime supers with the favorite on top of a few long shots looking for some value.

[thespaah]

And this is what makes betting trotters a risky deal..Oy vay

[thespaah]

There was over $50k bet to show on the hambo fav. Total show pool was $80k Father Patrick....
Semi bridge jump

[cmp92]

Post 10 is the great equalizer. Goes to show you really how tough it is winning from out there...

[MutuelClerk]

I love trotters. I wish they had the Oaks/Hambo double today. Two nice priced horses.

[thespaah]

14th race Lady Liberty..
IN this field, the 1.2.4 and 5 have been knocking heads all season. Toss in the 3 and the 7 and we end up with a lot of possibilities.
To narrow it down. With the 5 Androvette, unless she undersoes a form reversal I am saying she's a toss out.
With the 7, she's won six from 12 starts in 2014 but has not seen the winner's circle since May 25th.
I am going with a box exacta 1.2.4

[cmp92]

14th race Lady Liberty..
IN this field, the 1.2.4 and 5 have been knocking heads all season. Toss in the 3 and the 7 and we end up with a lot of possibilities.
To narrow it down. With the 5 Androvette, unless she undersoes a form reversal I am saying she's a toss out.
With the 7, she's won six from 12 starts in 2014 but has not seen the winner's circle since May 25th.
I am going with a box exacta 1.2.4
It seems like anytime people count Anndrovette out, she finds a way to sneak in there. She was iron tough in the lane there.

[MutuelClerk]

Was live with four horses in the last leg of the P4 and my four horses slaughtered one another the first 5/8ths of a mile. I guess they didn't get my memo....

[EdZone]

Meadowlands Saturday August 2
Result:-
R1 37/372 Ex 3/7 Paid $4.90
R2 96/965
R3 32/329 Ex 3/2 Paid $6.40
R4 13/134
R5 67/6782 Ex 7/2 Paid $15.50
R6 53/536
R7 17/1752 Ex 1/7 Paid $16
R8 41/416 #4 Breaks. #6 Breaks
R9 45/456
R10 23/236
R11 41/4189 Ex 1/9 Paid $16.60
R12 31/318
R13 57/571 Ex 7/5 Paid $39.80
R14 12/1236
R15 10 2/10 214

[thespaah]

It seems like anytime people count Anndrovette out, she finds a way to sneak in there. She was iron tough in the lane there.
The caveat in my analysis of the race was "form reversal"..
If you look at her PP's she appeared to be tailing off quite a bit.
Oh well. Ya win some, ya lose some, but ya keep on fighting.

[cmp92]

The caveat in my analysis of the race was "form reversal"..
If you look at her PP's she appeared to be tailing off quite a bit.
Oh well. Ya win some, ya lose some, but ya keep on fighting.
I don't disagree with you that her recent form looked poor. Anytime I start thinking that, she throws in a performance like that.