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Poindexter
07-19-2014, 07:56 PM
Balmoral late pick 4

I have become of a big fan of the Balmoral late pick 4. Free past performances at USTROTTING.COM. I am far too cheap to pay $1.50 for a program. :lol: Anyways here are the horses I am using with a little commentary. Good luck.

Post position order (not order of preference)

10th) 2-3-4-6
2) Uncle Ugly just lost at 1/9 in a race where he sat the pocket and was unable to close into a 27.2 last ¼. Do not think that is his style. He needs to go fast and tire out his competition, not outsprint them home. Think he is the horse to beat in here.
4) Blooming Genius would lay over this field(with the exception of the 2) when he is on form, the question is he off form now. July 5th, looked good for ¾’s ad stopped for no reason. The in his last made break losing a couple of legths prior to falling apart. If he is well bet I will try to beat him in the regular pools, but would have to include him on my pick 4
3) Uncle Bud-missed a week. Was 1st over sort of plodding along in a fast 3rd quarter, and closed well enough. Solid fit at this level. Could have some early pace in here to help his cause as well.
6) Dabest Leaderever-Ran well enough 3rd over from the 8hole 2 back, then setpa super fast pace at Hoosier Park at higher class lever before faltering.
The 8-9 are solid fits at this level but are closers from the 8 and 9 hole. I will to try to beat them.

11th) 1-2-4-8
Washington Hanover-Ran a huge one last out, just missing vs cheaper setting a very fast Pace. 2 back he appeared to run out of room at the rail. 4 time beaten chalk looks to be getting back into form and is a solid fit here.
Stamped by Design-had a pretty lousy trip last out. Parked a ¼, tuck 3 hole, shuff a bit, 3rd over ft with an even close as favorite. Prior was a huge effort 26.0 2nd ¼ brush vs cheaper and held pretty well for 2nd(breaking at the wire-which did not alter his finish position). Love the driver switch to Delong as this horse needs aggressive handling for his best. Has a look in here.
Extravagant art—poor effort last time but very poorly driven. Was gapping the dueling leaders, basically cutting his own 1st ¼ of of 26.4, then was used to try to close up the whole, but the horse that was dueling beat him to the pocket, then stopped In his face as he got shuffled. and had no chance to outclose anybody after that. He consistently earns solid figures but strikes me as a horse who needs a trip to win(perhaps he can leave and sit the 2 hole to the 8).

Fancy Creek Elusive-Huge effort lst out against much better at Maywood. Prior was a solid enough effort also against better. Clearly best horse in here, the question is can he get to the top without being abused too much.

7&9 are solid fits in here but once again I try to beat closers from the outside post positions.



12th) 2-4-5-9

Part Time-Won 2 back vs similar at 31-1 and no impact against a very good winner last out. Solid figures and a solid fit at this level.

Daylyn Horizon-Earned a nice figure in his last at Hoosier Park, prior races do not really have him competing at this level. Perhaps on the improve, will toss him into my pick 4.

Summer Shandy-Just keeps getting better. Solid close from 9 hole (was able to tuck 7th) in last and looks like he is capable of better. How good, we will find out.

SleazeburgernFries-Clearly best horse in here racing competively vs much better. He is about 5 lengths the best on my ratings and about the same off of Trackmasters ratings. I assume he will leave, but he hasn’t left in 10 races. If he does(there does not appear to be a lot of early speed in here) he should make short work of this field. If he takes back to 9th, he has his work cut out for him.

13th) 5-8
Casino Captor-Was looped and hung out to dry last time out so just draw a line through that race. Prior he left in 27.2, got a perfect trip and was unable to capitalize. Earned a solid figure that day and am thinking he has a chance for that same trip today(though Rockin Rumble may spoil my plans) and I really do not like this driver.

Furious Frank-Looks clearly best in here. Used hard parked past the ¼ to tuck 2 hole behind a very sharp winner. Not a lot of talent in here and he should get the job done if not abused too much making the top.

Rocking Rumble is sort of the x factor. Was once much better than these(but that was 2 years ago). Just haven seen enough from him this year to interest me at all. I will try to beat him.

Of the rest I think Bluebird Cheetah is the best moving from the 10 hole to the rail. Last race ws very wide 1st turn, tucked 4h, swung wide top of the stretch and closed solid enough.

imofe
07-20-2014, 02:00 AM
Poindexter

I find it a nice bet also. Real good pool on Sunday night when everything else is winding down. Nice write-ups. I enjoyed the break down.

Poindexter
07-20-2014, 07:37 AM
Imofe, glad you liked the writeups. I will try to write up the pick 4's on days I get the time to watch replays, as I did Saturday. Sundays are generally a day I do not have the time. I did take a peak at the card to see if I wanted to play it. Haven't looked at any replays and probably will not. The first leg looks wide open to me top to bottom, so whoever gets the trip will likely win. Probably most interesting in the 7th is the 2 Kesons Allure who made up good ground 2nd over in a 55.4 last 1/2. Not easy to do. If I had any confidence this driver would quarter move I would like him a lot, but my guess is he ends up 1st or 2nd over(might win anyhow, just will be tougher).The 8th race also appears very open and really nobody excites me in there. Would probably go with the 1-2-4-5 in that leg. In the 9th Ready continues to race well. 2 back set a blistering 55 1st half only to get nailed by the pocket sitter and last out after leaving from the 7 hole he was pushed very hard in a middle 55.4 1/2 and almost held. He is stuck in the 10 hole, but assuming he isn't used too hard he will be tough to beat. The 1 get a huge, huge driver switch. I will go 2 deep in this race with the 1-10. In the 10th race I really like the 8 Im Real Good who is just clearly best on my figures. Warren is very good with getting these horses from the outside to leave hard and clear or to grab a spot. Also there does not appear to be much early speed in here. Will single this guy in the finale. Good luck.

So my ticket would be something like
all with 1-2-4-5 with 1-10 with 8

which is a $72 ticket.

imofe
07-20-2014, 01:34 PM
I will be using Svaya Knows as a single in the 9th.