FORMULA'S 2 MTP EXACTA PLAYS

[formula_2002]

WILL POST LIVE

THID WAS JUST POSTED IN THE PREVIOU THREAD
"Finger Lakes
Race
1

Post
1:10

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$4,289 "
bet bet bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
1 0.07 0.33 0.14
2 0.53 1.31 0.97
3 0.52 1.23 0.52
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
5.62 0.00 0.52 0.60 2.87 1.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

[formula_2002]

"Belmont
Race
1

Post
1:20

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$113,364 "
bet bet bet bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 0.21 0.87
2 0.74
3 0.21 0.20 0.22 0.66
4
5
6 1.07 0.81
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
4.99 1.28 0.20 1.02 0.00 0.22 2.27 0.00

[formula_2002]

"Woodbine T-bred
Race
2

Post
1:30

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$20,365 "
bet bet bet bet bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 0.39 0.27 0.48 0.09
2
3 0.26 0.53 0.28 0.61 0.15 0.13
4 0.35 0.26
5
6 0.09 0.23 0.16 0.21
7 0.24 0.18 0.23
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
5.16 0.35 1.75 0.87 0.28 1.52 0.25 0.13 0.00

[formula_2002]

"Suffolk
Race
3

Post
1:38

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$4,302 "
bet bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 1.23 0.34
2
3
4
5 0.27 0.47 0.23 0.36
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
2.91 0.27 0.00 1.71 0.23 0.34 0.36 0.00

[formula_2002]

green version
"Arlington
Race
1

Post
2:00

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$8,477 " 0.051
bet bet bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1 0.11 0.30 0.11 0.11
2 0.13 0.10 0.24 0.62 0.25
3
4
5
6
7
8 0.12 0.29 0.09 0.32 0.92
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
3.71 0.24 0.39 0.20 0.57 1.85 0.00 0.11 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

[formula_2002]

red version

"Arlington
Race
1

Post
2:00

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$8,477 " 0.051
bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet w% e%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 0.050736575
1 0.060
2 0.137
bet 3 0.064 0.07
bet 4 0.21 0.18 0.143 0.15
bet 5 0.56 0.50 0.329 0.33
bet 6 0.000 0.00
bet 7 0.18 0.17 0.47 0.19 0.153 0.20
8 0.114
bet 9 0.000 0.00
bet 10 0.000 0.00
bet 11 0.000 0.00
bet 12 0.000 0.00
bet 13 0.000 0.00
bet 14 0.000 0.00
bet 15 0.000 0.00
bet 16 0.000 0.00
2.45 0.00 0.39 0.00 0.73 0.47 0.00 0.67 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.000 0.75

[formula_2002]

green

"Belmont
Race
3

Post
2:22

MTP
0

$1 Exacta Pool
$144,096 "
bet bet bet bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1
2 0.67 0.17 0.16 0.11
3
4
5 0.64
6
7 0.53 0.17 0.15 0.12 0.08
8 0.40 0.12 0.12
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
3.43 2.24 0.28 0.00 0.27 0.29 0.08 0.16 0.11

[formula_2002]

red version wins paying
returning 8.10 for a 2.01 bet

"Belmont
Race
3

Post
2:22

MTP
0

$1 Exacta Pool
$144,096 " 0.404
bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
bet 1 0.68 0.36
2
bet 3
bet 4 0.18 0.16 0.06
5
bet 6 0.30 0.08 0.06 0.08 0.05
7
8
bet 9
bet 10
bet 11
bet 12
bet 13
bet 14
bet 15
bet 16
2.01 0.30 0.25 0.00 0.75 0.24 0.42 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

[formula_2002]

green. 23% of ex pool
"Arlington
Race
2

Post
2:32

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$8,950 "
bet bet bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
1
2
3
4 0.37 0.27 0.47 0.16 0.60
5 0.43 0.30 0.54 0.38
6 0.36 0.20 0.18 0.44 0.37
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
5.09 0.00 1.17 0.77 0.72 0.92 0.54 0.97 0.00 0.00 0.00

[formula_2002]

green 27% of pool

"Belmont
Race
5

Post
3:24

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$128,345 " 0.190
bet bet bet bet bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1
bet 2 0.28 0.30 0.14 0.13 0.43 0.05
3
bet 4 0.19 0.10 0.15 0.07 0.05 0.22 0.02
5
bet 6 0.24 0.14 0.07 0.20 0.07 0.27
bet 7 0.17 0.14 0.06 0.18 0.07 0.20 0.02
8
bet 9 0.10 0.07 0.02 0.10 0.02 0.12
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
4.37 0.98 0.46 0.00 0.15 0.92 0.27 0.27 1.24 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

[formula_2002]

red 50% of pool
"Belmont
Race
5

Post
3:24

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$128,345 " 0.190
bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
bet 1 0.29 0.04 0.40 0.51
2
bet 3 0.02 0.01 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.00
4
bet 5 0.39 0.04 0.18 0.37
6
7
bet 8 0.54 0.06 0.38 0.18
9
bet 10
bet 11
bet 12
bet 13
bet 14
bet 15
bet 16
3.49 0.93 0.31 0.14 0.01 0.82 0.19 0.19 0.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

[formula_2002]

Belmont Park - Race 5
# Win Place Show
2 $16.00 $7.00 $3.90
5 . $4.10 $2.80
8 . . $2.40
Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | ALL
Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid
$1.00 Exacta 2/5 $34.00

green version wins returning 10.9 for a 4.37 green bet
the return was greater than the combined red and green bet

[formula_2002]

green bet

"Arlington
Race
4

Post
3:37

MTP
0

$2 Exacta Pool
$19,821 "
bet bet bet bet bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 0.10 0.15 0.19 0.07 0.10
2
3 0.11 0.20 0.30 0.10
4
5 0.12 0.18 0.20 0.05 0.08
6
7
8 0.05 0.25 0.34
9 0.08 0.26 0.06 0.36 0.45
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
3.80 0.14 0.60 0.06 1.14 0.00 1.48 0.00 0.11 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00

[formula_2002]

# Win Place Show
9 $14.80 $8.00 $5.60
2 . $5.60 $3.80
8 . . $6.00
Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | ALL
Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid
$2.00 Exacta 9/2 $119.80
$0.50 Trifecta 9/2/8 $196.40

3.8 green bet returns 15.68

the red bet was 3.89

[formula_2002]

green 26 % of pool
"Belmont
Race
6

Post
3:55

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$144,515 " 0.133
bet bet bet bet bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1 0.09 0.24 0.06 0.34 0.50 0.15
2
3
4 0.09 0.08 0.10 0.17 0.13 0.05
5
6 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.07 0.03
7
8 0.45 0.14 0.10 0.12 0.27
9
10
11 0.14 0.04 0.17 0.03 0.17 0.29 0.14
12
13
14
15
16
4.40 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.48 0.20 0.69 1.07 0.12 0.33 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

[formula_2002]

red 39% pool

"Belmont
Race
6

Post
3:55

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$144,515 " 0.133
bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1
bet 2
bet 3
4
bet 5 0.06 0.04 0.23 0.06 0.21
6
bet 7 0.24 0.09 0.25
8
bet 9 0.07 0.02 0.06 0.01 0.06 0.03
bet 10 0.25 0.09 0.19 0.06 0.24 0.30 0.06 0.14
11
bet 12
bet 13
bet 14
bet 15
bet 16
2.76 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.50 0.11 0.46 0.30 0.21 0.52 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

[formula_2002]

Belmont Park - Race 6
# Win Place Show
8 $8.80 $6.40 $4.20
11 . $11.20 $6.40
5 . . $4.10
Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | ALL
Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid
$1.00 Exacta 8/11 $47.75


green wins, returning 13.04 for a 4.4 play

the red bet was 2.76 at 39% of the EX POOL
the green was 26%

min. $1 return for green +red =1/(.38+.26)= 1.56

total $1 return for green + red bet =13.04/(4.4+2.75)=1.82

if the pool % are right, then the bet was an OVERLAY

[formula_2002]

green 45% of pool

"Belmont
Race
8

Post
4:57

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$121,916 " 0.000
bet bet bet bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1
2
3 0.65 0.27
4
5
6 0.63 0.84 0.74 1.36 0.28
7
8 0.28 0.30 1.12 0.10
9 0.23 0.11
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
6.92 0.00 0.63 1.12 1.04 0.00 2.00 0.00 1.74 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

[formula_2002]

red wins with 23% of pool


"Belmont
Race
8

Post
4:57

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$121,916 " 0.000
bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
bet 1
bet 2 0.07 0.08 0.05 0.03
3
bet 4 0.08 0.09 0.07 0.04
bet 5
6
bet 7 0.05 0.07 0.08 0.32 0.16 0.02
8
9
bet 10
bet 11
bet 12
bet 13
bet 14
bet 15
bet 16
1.21 0.00 0.13 0.23 0.16 0.00 0.32 0.12 0.16 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

[formula_2002]

Belmont Park - Race 8
# Win Place Show
7 $18.40 $6.90 $3.90
3 . $8.10 $4.50
4 . . $4.30
Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | ALL
Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid
$1.00 Exacta 7/3 $60.25

cot of red+green bet was 7.13 and only returned 4.33 ;)

[formula_2002]

green 25% of pool

"Woodbine T-bred
Race
9

Post
5:20

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$17,564 " 0.035
bet bet bet bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1 0.15 0.09 0.09
2
3
4 0.14 0.63 0.46 0.51
5 0.32 0.31 0.33
6
7
8 0.07 0.21 0.40 0.34
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
4.05 0.21 0.21 0.95 0.56 0.43 0.77 0.00 0.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

[formula_2002]

green 27% of pool

"Belmont
Race
9

Post
5:28

MTP
0

$1 Exacta Pool
$128,083 " 0.357
bet bet bet
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
1
bet 2 1.80 0.38 0.44
3
bet 4 0.33 0.33
5
bet 6 0.42 0.43
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
4.13 2.55 0.76 0.00 0.38 0.00 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

[formula_2002]

THIS RED, GREEN PLAY HAS BEEN VERY VERY GOOD.
COLLECTED ON ALL 9 PLAYS, 8 FOR A PROFIT.

50% PROFIT

LETS SEE IF I CAN REPEAT THIS AFTER DINNER..YEA :)

[formula_2002]

UK Pontefract - Race 6
# Win Place Show
2 $10.80 $4.20 $0.00
6 . $3.00 $0.00
Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | ALL
Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid
$1.00 Exacta 2/6 $14.40

that's the kind of overlay that can occurr.
the $1 return was $7.69, the expected return was $1.76, based upon the correct exacta pool probability of 58%.

so far today there were 14 races, 6 of which won at the following $1 returns
1.21
2.52
1.55
1.26
.79
7.51
for a total of 14.84
that 1.06 roi :cool: