Exactaman
04-23-2004, 02:38 PM
I¡¦m including some exacta prices with my lines here. how it works
--my win line is my assesment of the horses chances to win todays race. i would want
at least 50% percent higher before i made a win play.
--exacta prices shown already include the 50%. I will play them at the prices shown
--I always take into account that each additional exacta played subtracts $2 from
overlays. In other words if I played a 3 horse box in race 2 I'd want more like $110 for
each exacta played.
Race 2--wide open! i have everyone except the 5 as a contender, all at 5-1. i'll play
any exactas with 1 2 3 4 6 7 above $100.
Race 3--my favorite kind of race at balmoral-most here can be eliminated for lack of
shape. these races are often incorrectly bet at b1. this one may not be but we'll see.
grid format here, winner at left, place horse on top.
¡@ Odds 1 5 6
1 5/1 X 86 56
5 5/1 86 X 56
6 3/1 61 61 X
Paragon of Virtue turned in a notable effort at maywood last, leaving hard and
backing up after being parked 4 wide, then coming on and parked 4 wide around the
final turn, still passed 2 in the strecth and only passed by one who sat off all the
action. possible key here
race 11
¡@ Odds 2 4 6 9
2 6/1 X 91 98 157
4 9/2 97 X 72 116
6 9/2 102 71 X 122
9 7/1 154 107 114 X
Survivor vision and rad gumbo will probably provide value here.
tough post for the survivor but his last compares well with cash is
terrific's effort in the same race.
I would like to include uknowwhoiam but i haven't seen anything to make me want to
play joe marsh "jr" yet :)
race 12
¡@ Odds 1 2 4 5 7
1 7/1 X 154 98 77 154
2 7/1 154 X 98 77 154
4 9/2 106 106 X 53 106
5 7/2 87 87 56 X 87
7 7/1 154 154 98 77 X
This field divides up neatly-- quick view and boyish charm turning in steady solid
efforts lately, 1 2 and 7 who look kind of ok--thethreepannyopera is the wildcard here,
i decided on downgrading him significantly with all the missed time and sick
scratch¡Xand the others looking totally overmatched.
Good luck
--my win line is my assesment of the horses chances to win todays race. i would want
at least 50% percent higher before i made a win play.
--exacta prices shown already include the 50%. I will play them at the prices shown
--I always take into account that each additional exacta played subtracts $2 from
overlays. In other words if I played a 3 horse box in race 2 I'd want more like $110 for
each exacta played.
Race 2--wide open! i have everyone except the 5 as a contender, all at 5-1. i'll play
any exactas with 1 2 3 4 6 7 above $100.
Race 3--my favorite kind of race at balmoral-most here can be eliminated for lack of
shape. these races are often incorrectly bet at b1. this one may not be but we'll see.
grid format here, winner at left, place horse on top.
¡@ Odds 1 5 6
1 5/1 X 86 56
5 5/1 86 X 56
6 3/1 61 61 X
Paragon of Virtue turned in a notable effort at maywood last, leaving hard and
backing up after being parked 4 wide, then coming on and parked 4 wide around the
final turn, still passed 2 in the strecth and only passed by one who sat off all the
action. possible key here
race 11
¡@ Odds 2 4 6 9
2 6/1 X 91 98 157
4 9/2 97 X 72 116
6 9/2 102 71 X 122
9 7/1 154 107 114 X
Survivor vision and rad gumbo will probably provide value here.
tough post for the survivor but his last compares well with cash is
terrific's effort in the same race.
I would like to include uknowwhoiam but i haven't seen anything to make me want to
play joe marsh "jr" yet :)
race 12
¡@ Odds 1 2 4 5 7
1 7/1 X 154 98 77 154
2 7/1 154 X 98 77 154
4 9/2 106 106 X 53 106
5 7/2 87 87 56 X 87
7 7/1 154 154 98 77 X
This field divides up neatly-- quick view and boyish charm turning in steady solid
efforts lately, 1 2 and 7 who look kind of ok--thethreepannyopera is the wildcard here,
i decided on downgrading him significantly with all the missed time and sick
scratch¡Xand the others looking totally overmatched.
Good luck