Social Inclusion: Belmont chances

[Track Phantom]

I was high on Social Inclusion for the Preakness up until I saw him 5 minutes to post. He was very high strung, sweating and lathered up. He broke awkwardly, never got near the lead, moved early and overall didn't have a great trip.

He ran 3rd and was right there until the final 1/2 furlong. In my opinion, he ran a big race considering those factors. My understanding is he was similar in the Wood and he ran basically the same race except he got to the lead earlier.

I think he has major upside and breeding is decent (Pioneerofthe Nile was 2n in the Derby and a Saint Ballado mare).

Anyone think he can win the Belmont?

[FantasticDan]

Already a thread about SI/BEL in the Triple Crown forum:

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=113731

[LottaKash]

I just don't feel that he can get the 1 & a 1/2 with much success...

[Tom]

Two chances:

1. Slim
2. None

[tanner12oz]

Agree with others...preakness was his best shot and didn't work out

[plainolebill]

If they leave him alone on the lead he may be gone. I'd need a big price to play that angle.

[nijinski]

He leaves so much of that energy in the paddock pre race , so not at this distance .

[onefast99]

He leaves so much of that energy in the paddock pre race , so not at this distance .
trainer needs to school him more and work on relaxing him, best way to do that is to stop the 3f works!