Exactaman
04-17-2004, 12:40 PM
Ok since Melman is posting selections I will have a go:
A word about the way I play--unless otherwise stated I see any of these as a possible win play from about 50% higher than the stated odds. The odds on each horse reflect their chances of winning the race in my view. I will play exactas with these when prices permit. Often I play overlays on the line together in boxes, or big overlays up and back with the other contenders. I wouldn't recommend playing marginal overlays with chalk, throw it out. With horses whose tote odds are close to my line you need to use your judgement if the exacta prices are worth it. Personally I use excel to analyze the tote and determine which exactas i will play.
contenders are listed in post position order.
race 6-- 1 5/1 2 5/1 5 7/1 8 7/1
hard to say if value will develop here. if it does it will probably be in the form of tickets with the 5. he had plenty left in the tank last week.
race 7-- 1 9/1 2 9/1 3 6/1 4 6/1 6 7/1 7 6/1 9 7/1
wide open balmoral affair. play the long ones here, i will be. uncle skippy will probably steal it, lol.
race 8-- 1 7/1 2 8/1 3 8/1 4 8/1 5 8/1 6 8/1 8 8/1 9 6/1
wow, wide open. the 9 will not have it so easy this week and will be overbet. punch all the $225+ exactas with the other contenders. $200+ for those with the 1 and 5.
race 11-- 2 7/1 3 7/1 4 6/1 6 8/1 8 6/1 10 9/1
6 may be play here, left and had late pace last, price should be there.
good luck
A word about the way I play--unless otherwise stated I see any of these as a possible win play from about 50% higher than the stated odds. The odds on each horse reflect their chances of winning the race in my view. I will play exactas with these when prices permit. Often I play overlays on the line together in boxes, or big overlays up and back with the other contenders. I wouldn't recommend playing marginal overlays with chalk, throw it out. With horses whose tote odds are close to my line you need to use your judgement if the exacta prices are worth it. Personally I use excel to analyze the tote and determine which exactas i will play.
contenders are listed in post position order.
race 6-- 1 5/1 2 5/1 5 7/1 8 7/1
hard to say if value will develop here. if it does it will probably be in the form of tickets with the 5. he had plenty left in the tank last week.
race 7-- 1 9/1 2 9/1 3 6/1 4 6/1 6 7/1 7 6/1 9 7/1
wide open balmoral affair. play the long ones here, i will be. uncle skippy will probably steal it, lol.
race 8-- 1 7/1 2 8/1 3 8/1 4 8/1 5 8/1 6 8/1 8 8/1 9 6/1
wow, wide open. the 9 will not have it so easy this week and will be overbet. punch all the $225+ exactas with the other contenders. $200+ for those with the 1 and 5.
race 11-- 2 7/1 3 7/1 4 6/1 6 8/1 8 6/1 10 9/1
6 may be play here, left and had late pace last, price should be there.
good luck