backandlay
04-17-2004, 10:10 AM
Woodbine
12.55 R1 No4 Sultry Puff - Resuming from a spell here and seems well suited on exposed form. Should be on pace early challenging from decent alley. Well bred by Sire: Sultry Song (Cox’s Ridge) $5,000 service fee Dam: Donttellthefluff (Dixieland Band). Good career mark of 18 4 - 1 - 1 $158,732 entering this race and has good record this track of 7 3 - 0 - 0 $128,712. Go on good win 2nd up 26 April 03 when recorded a 0.7*3.2l win here in OC75000 company. Trainer has decent figures across 2 spheres of relevance inc 90+ days away ( 34 15% -1.19 ) Claiming ( 302 17% -0.41 ) and on that basis rates a very good chance here for mine.
Keeneland
1.45 R2 No7 Paperjam - Lightly raced type resuming from a spell here. Well placed on exposed 2 runs. Capable of going forward for good run on pace through the early stages. Should get an easy trip mid race allowing to kick in the stretch and prove hard to toss. Decent breeding by Sire: Islefaxyou (Storm Bird) $2,500 service fee Dam: Wild Dove (Once Wild). Go on last start before spelling when 2nd Mdn30K beaten 0.5l with a further 3*5.2l back to 3rd and 4th indicating the depth of the performance.
Aqueduct
1.58 R3 No8 Will O The Valley - Lightly raced improver stepping to a mile for the 1st time after 2 runs over 7 furlongs so far. Has the initial speed ability to go forward and sit on pace here with the run of the race. Decent breeding by Sire: Will’s Way (Easy Goer) $5,000 service fee Dam: Lizzie Toon (Dixieland Band) and trainer carries in good percentages across 6 spheres of relevance inc 31-90daysAway ( 243 20% -0.33 ) 1st at route ( 153 24% +0.35 ) Sprnt-Sprnt-Rte ( 6 17% -1.20 ) Sprint to Rte ( 30 27% +0.02 ) Btn favorite ( 71 23% -0.41 ) Maiden Sp Wt ( 282 22% +0.20 ). Go on good effort last start when 2nd beaten 0.5l with a further 7.5*2.7l back to 3rd and 4th indicating good depth in the performance for mine. Seems suited by the step to 1 mile and will prove hard to toss here. Short pre post but one of the bigger certainties of the day.
Woodbine
1.58 R3 No3 Boldest Of All - Resuming from a spell here and does seem well placed to me. Capable of going forward and securing a good run in transit. Go on good win last start over 6 furlongs 125K stakes company when sat on pace and kicked away to hold sway in the stretch and win 2.5*2.7l with horse finishing 2nd winning next start. Decently bred by Sire: Bold Executive (Bold Ruckus) $7,500 service fee Dam: Mar Tie (Lost Code). Minor query is hasn't raced for over a year but capable trainer should have it ready for this 1st up tilt in much weaker company than last start win. Very good value pre post and worth the punt here.
Aqueduct
2.24 R4 No4 Notmyfault - 2nd up from a spell here and well placed for mine. Go on good win 5 back last prep over 6 furlongs in Mdn45K company when showed the necessary speed to dictate on pace here and recorded a 0.2*0.7*6.5 length win full of authority. Well bred by Sire: Belong To Me (Danzig) $22,524 service fee Dam: Moll (Criminal Type) and like this track with a record of 3 1 - 1 - 0 $36,215 here. Decent record over the distance of 10 1 - 4 - 1 $67,777 and faces a significant class drop on last few runs. Worth the punt at the good value pre post odds.
Woodbine
2.28 R4 No2 Imaginary Image - Lightly raced type having 3rd career start on back of two runs so far when 2nd at both over same trip as today. Go on 1st career start when chased on rail then switched to make a late bid on the outside to fail by 0.5 lengths on the wire. Decent breeding of Sire: Helmsman (El Gran Senor) $7,500 service fee Dam: Enchanted Spirit (Sunshine Forever) and trainer carries good stats across 4 spheres of influence inc 90+ days away ( 87 23% -0.10 ) Up one class ( 17 24% -0.44 ) Btn favorite ( 118 34% +0.02 ) Maiden Clming ( 107 23% -0.50 ). Worked well on 03Apr WO tr.t 4f my :49 H 1/16 indicating is ready for this 1st up assignment. Worth the punt and good odds pre post.
Pimlico
2.37 R4 No5 Tym Beau - Lightly raced improver resuming here with a good career mark so far of 6 3 - 1 - 0 $172,400 and is well bred by Sire: Peaks And Valleys (Mt. Livermore) $10,000 service fee Dam: Punch Bunny (Two Punch). Capable of going forward and getting a trip on pace here on exposed speed figures. A few other smart speedy types engaged but this one has more upside for mine that is very much hidden creating excellent value pre post too at double figure odds. Won 3 of 1st 4 career starts inc 1st start Mdn36K when lead wire to wire kicking away in the stretch in impressive fashion a 3.2*4.5 length winner. One of the better value bets of the day.
Keeneland
2.45 R4 No5 Six Sexy Sisters - Lightly raced improver who is undefeated in two career starts so far inc big win 1st career when led wire to wire showing the required speed to negate the bad alley here today and get a good trip on pace. Both those efforts were over route trips and should appreciate the shorter trip here today over 6.5 furlongs. Good trainer percentages across 3 spheres of influence inc 90+ days away ( 24 17% -0.87 ) Wnr last race ( 39 26% -0.78 ) Allowance ( 55 9% -1.10 ). Well bred by Sire: Langfuhr (Danzig) $25,000 service fee Dam: Kathie’s Colleen (Woodman) and gets a Hot Jockey in last 7 days ( 13 7- 1- 0) and produced a sharp work on 10Apr Kee 5f ft 1:00 1/5 H 1/24. Well worth the punt here for mine on back of 150K stakes win last start.
Aqueduct
2.52 R5 No4 House Key - Another lightly raced type here which seems to be the theme of the day so far. Having 4th career start and comes into this 2nd up now and fitter for 1st up effort when 1.2l 2nd over same trip as today. Run to go on though is 1st career effort last prep when finished 3.5l 2nd in 60K stakes company with 2.2*2l back to 3rd and 4th indicating good depth in the race, especially for this grade. Very good breeding by Sire: Rodeo (Gone West) $3,000 service fee Dam: Maison Close (Spectacular Bid) and has good trainer percentages across 2 spheres of relevance inc Btn favorite ( 134 17% -0.71 ) Maiden Sp Wt ( 171 8% -1.12 ). Should be able to negate average alley without working too hard early for decent trip on pace and kick to win in the stretch with a superior close.
Aqueduct
3.21 R6 No2 Brite Memory - Go on good win 2 back when set pace and kicked clear in the stretch to hold sway winning 3.5*1.2*4.2 lengths indicating a fair bit of depth in the win over 6 furlongs in Mdn41K company. Seems to be rather well bred by Sire: Outflanker (Danzig) $7,500 service fee Dam: Close Memories (High Brite) and is lightly tried with a career record of 7 1 - 1 - 1 $33,180. Has a high % trainer with good figures across one major sphere of influence being Claiming ( 365 21% -0.30 ). Worked well on 10Apr Bel tr.t 4f ft :47 4/5 B 10/87 and everything points towards a big chance here with good trip on pace.
Keeneland
3.45 R6 No4 Indian Prospector - Still a maiden after 10 career starts but today seems to get conditions to suit to finally break that status. Go on good effort 3 back when 5 lengths 2nd MC62500 and good margins to 3rd and 4th indicating the depth of the performance. Well red by Sire: Cherokee Run (Runaway Groom) $40,000 service fee Dam: Gala Prospector (Northern Prospect) and has a high % trainer with good figures across 1 major sphere of influence being Maiden Sp Wt ( 417 13% -0.87 ). Good work on 12Apr CD 4f ft :48 2/5 B 6/39 and speed indicates should get a good trip on pace as required here without too much pressure allowing to kick in the stretch and prove hard to toss for mine. Definitely worth the punt at good pre post odds.
Aqueduct
3.50 R7 No8 Casper Peterson - Lightly raced improver stepping to 1 mile for the 1st time and seems the one to beat here. Has the early speed necessary to go forward for a good run on pace and negate the bad alley. Go on good win 3 back when kicked away in the stretch to win with ease 9.5*2.2 lengths in a performance that indicated a lot of depth. Decent breeding by Sire: Victory Speech (Deputy Minister) $10,104 service fee Dam: Ciro’s Seductress (Relaunch) and has a high percentage trainer with good figures across 4 spheres of relevance inc 1st at route ( 91 21% -0.66 ) Sprnt-Sprnt-Rte ( 20 30% -0.47 ) Sprint to Rte ( 59 19% -0.82 ) Allowance ( 226 21% -0.40 ). 4th up now in peak fitness and after head 2nd last start over 7 furlongs will be totally suited to today's mile trip. Worth the punt at the good pre post odds as one of the better bets of the day for mine.
Woodbine
3.58 R7 No5 Souvenier Biz - Hard to dismiss the chances of this lightly raced improver with a career mark of 5 2 - 2 - 1 $107,996 leading into this race. Has the ability to go forward in this decent size field to either lead or sit on pace with the run of the race. Go on good win 2 back when a 2*3.7l winner in Alw63500 company before spelling. Trainer carries in excellent percentages across 3 spheres of relevance inc 90+ days away ( 32 25% +1.92 ) Btn favorite ( 24 38% +0.65 ) Allowance ( 67 19% +0.19 ) and is decently bred by Sire: Souvenir Copy (Mr. Prospector) $12,500 service fee Dam: Instore (Relaunch). Showed has been definitely tuned up for this with sharp work on 13Apr WO 4f gd :47 3/5 H 1/81 and 07Apr WO 4f gd :48 B 1/104. The one to beat here and one of the bigger certainties of the day for mine.
Gulfstream
4.12 R8 No3 Desirable Moment - Hard to go past the classy type Desirable Moment here. Well placed on exposed form and definitely worth the punt for mine from the suitable 3 alley. Good career record of 13 6 - 1 - 1 $105,16, gets a Hot Jockey in last 7 days ( 30 8- 3- 5), and has perfect 2 from 2 record this track and 4 from 7 on turf. Go on big win last start 0.5)0.2*6.7l in a very authorative display when went wire to wire and held on to just win. Good breeding by Sire: Peteski (Affirmed) $2,000 service fee Dam: Aly’s Joyce (Capote) and trainer carries good figures across 3 spheres of relevance inc NonGraded Stk ( 120 16% +0.59 ) Wnr last race ( 242 16% -0.43 ) Turf starts ( 471 18% +0.26 ). Worth the punt here and good value pre post.
12.55 R1 No4 Sultry Puff - Resuming from a spell here and seems well suited on exposed form. Should be on pace early challenging from decent alley. Well bred by Sire: Sultry Song (Cox’s Ridge) $5,000 service fee Dam: Donttellthefluff (Dixieland Band). Good career mark of 18 4 - 1 - 1 $158,732 entering this race and has good record this track of 7 3 - 0 - 0 $128,712. Go on good win 2nd up 26 April 03 when recorded a 0.7*3.2l win here in OC75000 company. Trainer has decent figures across 2 spheres of relevance inc 90+ days away ( 34 15% -1.19 ) Claiming ( 302 17% -0.41 ) and on that basis rates a very good chance here for mine.
Keeneland
1.45 R2 No7 Paperjam - Lightly raced type resuming from a spell here. Well placed on exposed 2 runs. Capable of going forward for good run on pace through the early stages. Should get an easy trip mid race allowing to kick in the stretch and prove hard to toss. Decent breeding by Sire: Islefaxyou (Storm Bird) $2,500 service fee Dam: Wild Dove (Once Wild). Go on last start before spelling when 2nd Mdn30K beaten 0.5l with a further 3*5.2l back to 3rd and 4th indicating the depth of the performance.
Aqueduct
1.58 R3 No8 Will O The Valley - Lightly raced improver stepping to a mile for the 1st time after 2 runs over 7 furlongs so far. Has the initial speed ability to go forward and sit on pace here with the run of the race. Decent breeding by Sire: Will’s Way (Easy Goer) $5,000 service fee Dam: Lizzie Toon (Dixieland Band) and trainer carries in good percentages across 6 spheres of relevance inc 31-90daysAway ( 243 20% -0.33 ) 1st at route ( 153 24% +0.35 ) Sprnt-Sprnt-Rte ( 6 17% -1.20 ) Sprint to Rte ( 30 27% +0.02 ) Btn favorite ( 71 23% -0.41 ) Maiden Sp Wt ( 282 22% +0.20 ). Go on good effort last start when 2nd beaten 0.5l with a further 7.5*2.7l back to 3rd and 4th indicating good depth in the performance for mine. Seems suited by the step to 1 mile and will prove hard to toss here. Short pre post but one of the bigger certainties of the day.
Woodbine
1.58 R3 No3 Boldest Of All - Resuming from a spell here and does seem well placed to me. Capable of going forward and securing a good run in transit. Go on good win last start over 6 furlongs 125K stakes company when sat on pace and kicked away to hold sway in the stretch and win 2.5*2.7l with horse finishing 2nd winning next start. Decently bred by Sire: Bold Executive (Bold Ruckus) $7,500 service fee Dam: Mar Tie (Lost Code). Minor query is hasn't raced for over a year but capable trainer should have it ready for this 1st up tilt in much weaker company than last start win. Very good value pre post and worth the punt here.
Aqueduct
2.24 R4 No4 Notmyfault - 2nd up from a spell here and well placed for mine. Go on good win 5 back last prep over 6 furlongs in Mdn45K company when showed the necessary speed to dictate on pace here and recorded a 0.2*0.7*6.5 length win full of authority. Well bred by Sire: Belong To Me (Danzig) $22,524 service fee Dam: Moll (Criminal Type) and like this track with a record of 3 1 - 1 - 0 $36,215 here. Decent record over the distance of 10 1 - 4 - 1 $67,777 and faces a significant class drop on last few runs. Worth the punt at the good value pre post odds.
Woodbine
2.28 R4 No2 Imaginary Image - Lightly raced type having 3rd career start on back of two runs so far when 2nd at both over same trip as today. Go on 1st career start when chased on rail then switched to make a late bid on the outside to fail by 0.5 lengths on the wire. Decent breeding of Sire: Helmsman (El Gran Senor) $7,500 service fee Dam: Enchanted Spirit (Sunshine Forever) and trainer carries good stats across 4 spheres of influence inc 90+ days away ( 87 23% -0.10 ) Up one class ( 17 24% -0.44 ) Btn favorite ( 118 34% +0.02 ) Maiden Clming ( 107 23% -0.50 ). Worked well on 03Apr WO tr.t 4f my :49 H 1/16 indicating is ready for this 1st up assignment. Worth the punt and good odds pre post.
Pimlico
2.37 R4 No5 Tym Beau - Lightly raced improver resuming here with a good career mark so far of 6 3 - 1 - 0 $172,400 and is well bred by Sire: Peaks And Valleys (Mt. Livermore) $10,000 service fee Dam: Punch Bunny (Two Punch). Capable of going forward and getting a trip on pace here on exposed speed figures. A few other smart speedy types engaged but this one has more upside for mine that is very much hidden creating excellent value pre post too at double figure odds. Won 3 of 1st 4 career starts inc 1st start Mdn36K when lead wire to wire kicking away in the stretch in impressive fashion a 3.2*4.5 length winner. One of the better value bets of the day.
Keeneland
2.45 R4 No5 Six Sexy Sisters - Lightly raced improver who is undefeated in two career starts so far inc big win 1st career when led wire to wire showing the required speed to negate the bad alley here today and get a good trip on pace. Both those efforts were over route trips and should appreciate the shorter trip here today over 6.5 furlongs. Good trainer percentages across 3 spheres of influence inc 90+ days away ( 24 17% -0.87 ) Wnr last race ( 39 26% -0.78 ) Allowance ( 55 9% -1.10 ). Well bred by Sire: Langfuhr (Danzig) $25,000 service fee Dam: Kathie’s Colleen (Woodman) and gets a Hot Jockey in last 7 days ( 13 7- 1- 0) and produced a sharp work on 10Apr Kee 5f ft 1:00 1/5 H 1/24. Well worth the punt here for mine on back of 150K stakes win last start.
Aqueduct
2.52 R5 No4 House Key - Another lightly raced type here which seems to be the theme of the day so far. Having 4th career start and comes into this 2nd up now and fitter for 1st up effort when 1.2l 2nd over same trip as today. Run to go on though is 1st career effort last prep when finished 3.5l 2nd in 60K stakes company with 2.2*2l back to 3rd and 4th indicating good depth in the race, especially for this grade. Very good breeding by Sire: Rodeo (Gone West) $3,000 service fee Dam: Maison Close (Spectacular Bid) and has good trainer percentages across 2 spheres of relevance inc Btn favorite ( 134 17% -0.71 ) Maiden Sp Wt ( 171 8% -1.12 ). Should be able to negate average alley without working too hard early for decent trip on pace and kick to win in the stretch with a superior close.
Aqueduct
3.21 R6 No2 Brite Memory - Go on good win 2 back when set pace and kicked clear in the stretch to hold sway winning 3.5*1.2*4.2 lengths indicating a fair bit of depth in the win over 6 furlongs in Mdn41K company. Seems to be rather well bred by Sire: Outflanker (Danzig) $7,500 service fee Dam: Close Memories (High Brite) and is lightly tried with a career record of 7 1 - 1 - 1 $33,180. Has a high % trainer with good figures across one major sphere of influence being Claiming ( 365 21% -0.30 ). Worked well on 10Apr Bel tr.t 4f ft :47 4/5 B 10/87 and everything points towards a big chance here with good trip on pace.
Keeneland
3.45 R6 No4 Indian Prospector - Still a maiden after 10 career starts but today seems to get conditions to suit to finally break that status. Go on good effort 3 back when 5 lengths 2nd MC62500 and good margins to 3rd and 4th indicating the depth of the performance. Well red by Sire: Cherokee Run (Runaway Groom) $40,000 service fee Dam: Gala Prospector (Northern Prospect) and has a high % trainer with good figures across 1 major sphere of influence being Maiden Sp Wt ( 417 13% -0.87 ). Good work on 12Apr CD 4f ft :48 2/5 B 6/39 and speed indicates should get a good trip on pace as required here without too much pressure allowing to kick in the stretch and prove hard to toss for mine. Definitely worth the punt at good pre post odds.
Aqueduct
3.50 R7 No8 Casper Peterson - Lightly raced improver stepping to 1 mile for the 1st time and seems the one to beat here. Has the early speed necessary to go forward for a good run on pace and negate the bad alley. Go on good win 3 back when kicked away in the stretch to win with ease 9.5*2.2 lengths in a performance that indicated a lot of depth. Decent breeding by Sire: Victory Speech (Deputy Minister) $10,104 service fee Dam: Ciro’s Seductress (Relaunch) and has a high percentage trainer with good figures across 4 spheres of relevance inc 1st at route ( 91 21% -0.66 ) Sprnt-Sprnt-Rte ( 20 30% -0.47 ) Sprint to Rte ( 59 19% -0.82 ) Allowance ( 226 21% -0.40 ). 4th up now in peak fitness and after head 2nd last start over 7 furlongs will be totally suited to today's mile trip. Worth the punt at the good pre post odds as one of the better bets of the day for mine.
Woodbine
3.58 R7 No5 Souvenier Biz - Hard to dismiss the chances of this lightly raced improver with a career mark of 5 2 - 2 - 1 $107,996 leading into this race. Has the ability to go forward in this decent size field to either lead or sit on pace with the run of the race. Go on good win 2 back when a 2*3.7l winner in Alw63500 company before spelling. Trainer carries in excellent percentages across 3 spheres of relevance inc 90+ days away ( 32 25% +1.92 ) Btn favorite ( 24 38% +0.65 ) Allowance ( 67 19% +0.19 ) and is decently bred by Sire: Souvenir Copy (Mr. Prospector) $12,500 service fee Dam: Instore (Relaunch). Showed has been definitely tuned up for this with sharp work on 13Apr WO 4f gd :47 3/5 H 1/81 and 07Apr WO 4f gd :48 B 1/104. The one to beat here and one of the bigger certainties of the day for mine.
Gulfstream
4.12 R8 No3 Desirable Moment - Hard to go past the classy type Desirable Moment here. Well placed on exposed form and definitely worth the punt for mine from the suitable 3 alley. Good career record of 13 6 - 1 - 1 $105,16, gets a Hot Jockey in last 7 days ( 30 8- 3- 5), and has perfect 2 from 2 record this track and 4 from 7 on turf. Go on big win last start 0.5)0.2*6.7l in a very authorative display when went wire to wire and held on to just win. Good breeding by Sire: Peteski (Affirmed) $2,000 service fee Dam: Aly’s Joyce (Capote) and trainer carries good figures across 3 spheres of relevance inc NonGraded Stk ( 120 16% +0.59 ) Wnr last race ( 242 16% -0.43 ) Turf starts ( 471 18% +0.26 ). Worth the punt here and good value pre post.