View Full Version : Kentucky Derby Longshot Plays
SecretAgentMan
05-02-2014, 02:14 PM
I'm gonna take a shot with #7 We Miss Artie as my long shot play of the derby.........
$10 WPS
$2 exacta #7 with/ 1, 8, 10, 14, 15
Anyone else like a longshot, please add it to this thread........
Im playing Chrome first & foremost but its exciting playing a longshot that has no chance on paper.
Secondbest
05-02-2014, 02:25 PM
At 15-1 on the ML I like Wildcat Red. Up and back with the 5,8,13,9
slihawk
05-02-2014, 02:25 PM
I'm lovin me some Metal Count #14
also using 1,2, and 5 Makers
Love the Name We Miss Artie
and Im big Pletcher fan
your in the same boat as me I guess
He's like Metal Count most of his good races r on another surface
I sure wouldn't talk u off ur plays
upthecreek
05-02-2014, 02:33 PM
Baffert's "other horse" lucky #13 Chitu WP bet
dballard125
05-02-2014, 02:45 PM
I believe there is tremendous value in Dance with Fate, Medal Count, and Wildcat Red. Putting $10 to W/P on those three probably wouldn't be a bad play.
Hell, even Danza's a W/P play if you can get 8-1 or higher on him, IMO.
SecretAgentMan
05-02-2014, 02:53 PM
Dale Romans really likes Medal Count to run a big race.......
dballard125
05-02-2014, 03:44 PM
Dale Romans really likes Medal Count to run a big race.......
Us Louisvillians know that Dale's typically not one to BS either. I think Medal Count's primed to run a monster as well.
SecretAgentMan
05-02-2014, 04:37 PM
http://www.kentuckyderby.com/racing-wagering/kentucky-derby-live-odds
Here's a link that has the latest derby odds........We Miss Artie & Commanding Curve are both 50-1 ML & have gotten bet down to 25-1
Fingal
05-02-2014, 05:11 PM
Small trifecta (s) using
#1 Vicar's In Trouble
#5 California Chrome
#6 Samraat
#10 Wildcat Red
BlueChip@DRF
05-02-2014, 05:13 PM
Assmussen to stick it to 'em!
CryingForTheHorses
05-02-2014, 05:14 PM
You guys may laugh at me cause Im not a bettor but I like WICKED STRONG...JJ is a friend of mine and his dad is a great trainer..Id love to see him win it.
HoofedInTheChest
05-02-2014, 05:26 PM
I'm going with the Ontario bred.
:7: We Miss Artie
JustRalph
05-02-2014, 05:37 PM
:13: Chitu is an overlay, @ 26-1
Fair odds I would find to be around 9-1
BettinBilly
05-02-2014, 06:22 PM
You guys may laugh at me cause Im not a bettor but I like WICKED STRONG...JJ is a friend of mine and his dad is a great trainer..Id love to see him win it.
Many of us like Wicked. I've got him in play, but not as one of my Longshots. I sure HOPE he's not a Longshot.
My Longshots $10 WPS are;
3,7,17
garyscpa
05-02-2014, 07:21 PM
:13: Chitu is an overlay, @ 26-1
Fair odds I would find to be around 9-1
The track is certainly favoring early speed right now.
plainolebill
05-03-2014, 12:46 AM
:13: Chitu is an overlay, @ 26-1
Fair odds I would find to be around 9-1
Hey Ralph, I'm looking at this horse a little, he draws outside the other speeds and has some options. He's only run two routes, hard to tell how good he might be.
He might be 4/4 with a little better trip in the Lewis.
Dahoss2002
05-03-2014, 01:28 AM
commanding curve, dance with fate, and chitu
Vicars in Trouble and Chitu :):)
:3: :6: :15: I like the :15: Tapiture the most. His G2 over the CD surface is a tough race to ignore. hoping he loves the track and brings home the roses.
A TAPIT Oaks/Derby double
Marshall Bennett
05-03-2014, 05:36 AM
:15: / $50 Win
:15:/:16: $20 Exacta
:15:/:16:/:20: $20 Trifecta
Giahorse
05-03-2014, 06:35 AM
I'm gonna take a shot with #7 We Miss Artie as my long shot play of the derby.........
$10 WPS
$2 exacta #7 with/ 1, 8, 10, 14, 15
Anyone else like a longshot, please add it to this thread........
Im playing Chrome first & foremost but its exciting playing a longshot that has no chance on paper.
I would never try and take anyone of a horse but from what I heard on the tv and some other source, didn't Todd p try and get the owners to scrach the horse and not even enter him, he dosnt like his chances at all, then again that might mean he will win by 5
Marshall Bennett
05-03-2014, 08:04 AM
:15: / $50 Win
:15:/:16: $20 Exacta
:15:/:16:/:20: $20 Trifecta
With scratch these should be #14, 14/15, and 14/15/19
jk3521
05-03-2014, 08:08 AM
Intense Holiday or Medal Count
Hoofless_Wonder
05-03-2014, 08:18 AM
Very tough Derby, if like many, you're not too high on California Chrome.
Gonna roll with :18: Candy Boy on top, and saver exactas with :14: Medal Count and :16: Intense Holiday.
My bomber tri part wheel:
:14::16::18: with
:3::13::14::15::16::17::18: with
:2::3::4::6::10::13::14::15::16::17::18::19::20:
(50 cent part wheel costs $99)
BlueChip@DRF
05-03-2014, 08:36 AM
With scratch these should be #14, 14/15, and 14/15/19
Their program numbers stay the same.
BlueChip@DRF
05-03-2014, 08:39 AM
$200 W :10:
$200 W :15:
I'm swingin' because I will never get odds like these on them ever again - even if they finish last.
Loserdave
05-03-2014, 09:41 AM
My longshot is Medal Count. He could be a poly specialist or blooming at the right time. Romans is high on him and he has the pedigree to run all day. I'll put a little on him and do ex and tris with him and Wicked Strong in some combinations.
Good luck to all.
SecretAgentMan
05-03-2014, 05:03 PM
My cousin bet #18 Candy Boy $200 WPS
Since he likes it & he's a decent capper, I will play it in exacta & triple........
$20 exacta #5 Chrome with #18 Candy Boy
$10 triple key: #5 with #14, #18
PaceAdvantage
05-03-2014, 05:12 PM
Here are my longshots:
:3:
:6:
:13:
I'll also use :12: :16: :17: underneath Wicked Strong....
But :3: :6: :13: and :20: are all worth win bets at current odds.
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