MikeH
04-28-2014, 11:24 PM
Low comfort level right now in the NWS forecast for Saturday, but it's starting to look dry...
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Louisville Kentucky
924 PM EDT Mon Apr 28 2014
Guidance diverges a bit as we head into the weekend, with the European model (ecmwf) digging a strong pv anomaly through the base of the trough into the Gulf Coast states, helping to amplify the trough more over the Ohio Valley. The GFS is not as strong with this feature, thus keeps the flow a bit more zonal over the Ohio Valley. The gefs is a pretty good compromise between the two, thus will side with that for this forecast. This puts highs in the low to mid 60s on Saturday, with upper 60s and lower 70s on Sunday. Will continue to hold onto some showers for Saturday afternoon as the trough axis swings through, but these could be removed if trends head toward the operational GFS. Stay tuned!
This is the NWS forecast and can be found here (there's probably other places that show it):
http://classic.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc.asp?DiscussionCode=LMK&StateCode=KY&SafeCityName=Louisville
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Louisville Kentucky
924 PM EDT Mon Apr 28 2014
Guidance diverges a bit as we head into the weekend, with the European model (ecmwf) digging a strong pv anomaly through the base of the trough into the Gulf Coast states, helping to amplify the trough more over the Ohio Valley. The GFS is not as strong with this feature, thus keeps the flow a bit more zonal over the Ohio Valley. The gefs is a pretty good compromise between the two, thus will side with that for this forecast. This puts highs in the low to mid 60s on Saturday, with upper 60s and lower 70s on Sunday. Will continue to hold onto some showers for Saturday afternoon as the trough axis swings through, but these could be removed if trends head toward the operational GFS. Stay tuned!
This is the NWS forecast and can be found here (there's probably other places that show it):
http://classic.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc.asp?DiscussionCode=LMK&StateCode=KY&SafeCityName=Louisville