The Risen Star

[Thebigguy]

Risen Star S. 1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds | G2 STAKES | Purse: $400,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 11-12-13) / Daily Double
PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER CLAIM $ EQUIP. MED. 1 Albano K. Clark
116 Lbs J. Jones - L 2 Rise Up G. Melancon
120 Lbs T. Amoss - L 3 Flat Gone C. Landeros
116 Lbs J. Desormeaux - L 4 Vigorish M. Pedroza
116 Lbs D. Lukas - L 5 Bond Holder M. Gutierrez
122 Lbs D. O'Neill - L 6 Gold Hawk C. Nakatani
116 Lbs S. Asmussen - L 7 Interchange E. Baird
116 Lbs T. Clark - L 8 Hoppertunity M. Garcia
116 Lbs B. Baffert - L 9 Intense Holiday M. Smith
116 Lbs T. Pletcher - L 10 Son of a Preacher M. Mena
116 Lbs W. Calhoun - L 11 Quick Indian B. Hernandez, Jr.
116 Lbs M. Scherer - L 12 Xtra Luck R. Eramia
116 Lbs D. Pish - L 13 Commanding Curve R. Albarado
116 Lbs D. Stewart - L 14 Vicar's in Trouble R. Napravnik
120 Lbs M. Maker - L AE Emmett Park J. Graham
116 Lbs R. Pincins - L AE Teniente Coronel S. Bridgmohan
116 Lbs P. McGee Blk-On L

[Thebigguy]

Another good card. Not as good as Gulfstreams card, but a solid all stakes pick 3 ends with the Risen Star.
Not nearly as chalky. Ill be ending my pick 3's with 5,6,8 and 9.
I am strongly against the 2 and 14.

[TheGarMan]

I need a little "boost" for my KYD futures picks. I'll be pulling for :9: :14: :2:

[Smarty Cide]

:14: w all


any idea what time the race goes off?

[Robert Fischer]

Hopefully Intense Holiday can work a trip here.

It's hard to tell how good, but he is a talented colt.

[PhantomOnTour]

Nice field (same with the Ftn Of Youth at GP).
:13: Commanding Curve is interesting, but MSW win to a Gr2 is a big task.
Steady diet of stamina works and Albarado lands on his back.
Albano had a wide trip last time and figures to trip better from the rail this time.
Many ways to go in here - haven't really begun to get down on this race though.

[tanner12oz]

Bond holder is out

[PhantomOnTour]

Nice field (same with the Ftn Of Youth at GP).
:13: Commanding Curve is interesting, but MSW win to a Gr2 is a big task.
Steady diet of stamina works and Albarado lands on his back.
Albano had a wide trip last time and figures to trip better from the rail this time.
Many ways to go in here - haven't really begun to get down on this race though.
After a closer look is it very doubtful I will bet either of those two.
Easy to land on the big figure runners in Rise Up and Vicars In Trouble.
I am looking long at the Baffert shipper, Hoppertunity, who ran a nice race right up on the pace and finished in good time...nice speed fig.
Also, what about the sneaky Desormeaux runner Flat Gone?
I know, I know...another maiden breaker moving to a Gr2 (like Hoppertunity) but this trainer has gotten some bombs in the money. Plus, he ran a nice figure.

Quick Indian is another I am looking at, and now I have to deal with the first AE coming in from TP...Emmett Park. Done nothing wrong whatsoever and has earned a shot vs this company.

Wonder what price I'll get on Baffert...he's the one I am leaning towards with Hoppertunity.

[letswastemoney]

I think Rise Up is a superior front runner compared to Vicar's In Trouble, who may have trouble clearing from the far outside unless Rosie completely guns from the start.

[PhantomOnTour]

I think Rise Up is a superior front runner compared to Vicar's In Trouble, who may have trouble clearing from the far outside unless Rosie completely guns from the start.
Yes - the two fastest runners by a comfortable margin just happen to have the same running style, and I agree that Rise Up is quicker.
Both have won stalking so neither will be compromised if they wind up in 2nd down the backside, but there's a real chance they will go too fast.

Vicar ran on a ++E day in the Lecomte...8 dirt races and only 3 runners that were 3+ BL at the first call finished with a top four placing all day (that's 3 out of 32), and only 1 finished in the exacta.

[cnollfan]

:14: w all


any idea what time the race goes off?

Scheduled for 5:25 p.m. CST but will probably be later.

[Ocala Mike]

Boxing :8: :9: :13: :14: in the exacta; probably leaning to the :9: on the win. BOND HOLDER is out.

[davew]

I think Rise Up is a superior front runner compared to Vicar's In Trouble, who may have trouble clearing from the far outside unless Rosie completely guns from the start.

If Rosie guns from the start, will she give him a rest in the backstretch? or will he get passed by most coming down the stretch.

[Racetrack Playa]

Risen Star S. 1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds | G2 STAKES | Purse: $400,000 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 11-12-13) / Daily Double
PP HORSE JOCKEY TRAINER CLAIM $ EQUIP. MED. 1 Albano K. Clark
116 Lbs J. Jones - L 2 Rise Up G. Melancon
120 Lbs T. Amoss - L 3 Flat Gone C. Landeros
116 Lbs J. Desormeaux - L 4 Vigorish M. Pedroza
116 Lbs D. Lukas - L 5 Bond Holder M. Gutierrez
122 Lbs D. O'Neill - L 6 Gold Hawk C. Nakatani
116 Lbs S. Asmussen - L 7 Interchange E. Baird
116 Lbs T. Clark - L 8 Hoppertunity M. Garcia
116 Lbs B. Baffert - L 9 Intense Holiday M. Smith
116 Lbs T. Pletcher - L 10 Son of a Preacher M. Mena
116 Lbs W. Calhoun - L 11 Quick Indian B. Hernandez, Jr.
116 Lbs M. Scherer - L 12 Xtra Luck R. Eramia
116 Lbs D. Pish - L 13 Commanding Curve R. Albarado
116 Lbs D. Stewart - L 14 Vicar's in Trouble R. Napravnik
120 Lbs M. Maker - L AE Emmett Park J. Graham
116 Lbs R. Pincins - L AE Teniente Coronel S. Bridgmohan
116 Lbs P. McGee Blk-On L
Hey big guy Your Connections are off

[dylbert]

Rise Up with GMoney aboard surprises this field. Hoppertunity & Intense Holiday complete exotics. Gold Hawk & Vicars in Trouble round out Super Hi 5.

[Racetrack Playa]

Risen Star S.
:2: Rise Up-- win pick
:4:Vigorish:6: Gold Hawk :1:Albano :15:Emmett park-the bomb

[letswastemoney]

Risen Star S.
:2: Rise Up-- win pick
:4:Vigorish:6: Gold Hawk :1:Albano :15:Emmett park-the bomb
I agree on Emmett Park. He could be any kind on dirt.

[overthehill]

rise up wont be a surprise. has the best speed figure is the most accomplished horse and is drawn better than his main rival. he is also only 4-1 in the moring line. it would be more of a surprise if he loses. i like pletchers horse too. and baffert a little too.

[raybo]

Very contentious race, but my "PowerFormVelocities" rating (PFV) have them ranked this way, in ranked order:

9 - Intense Holiday
13 - Commanding Curve
2 - Rise Up
8 - Hoppertunity
14 - Vicar's In Trouble
3 - Flat Gone
12 - Xtra Luck

At FG the PFV top pick is hitting at 34.4% and the top 3 picks are hitting at a 64.4% clip.

Wouldn't be too surprised though if none of these win. The early pace could shake out any of several ways. Won't be betting the race.

[luvalab]

I'm going to take the #2 Rise Up to win. I'm not crazy about him as a winner, but I think he makes a great key horse. I like the #8 Hoppertunity, #9 Intense Holiday and #11 Quick Indian to offer some value in the exotics.

I think this Trifecta has the potential to pay pretty well, so using the #2 as a key, here is how I'm going to play the race:
$0.50 - 2 / 8,9,14,11 / 8,9,14,11 = $6
$0.50 - 8,9,14,11 / 2 / 8,9,14,11 = $6
$0.50 - 8,9,14,11 / 8,9,14,11 / 2 = $6
$0.50 - 2 / 8,9,14,11 / 1,6 = $4
$0.50 - 2 / 1,6 / 8,9,14,11 = $4
$0.50 - 8,9,14,11 / 2 / 1,6 = $4
Total - $30 play

[Robert Fischer]

:9::2::8:

[PhantomOnTour]

:9: Intense Holiday is catching love all over the place - seems like everyone is on him.
No way we see anything near his ML price....I am guessing he's about the 3rd choice and somewhere around 7-2 or 4-1.
He's capable and I have to use him, but I worry that "Pletchermania" may drive his price way down.

I am settled on :8: Hoppertunity. Using over many in exotics and under the 2-9-13 in exactas.
It's a spread kind of race, and I doubt seriously it chalks out, so the payoff should be there if you can find it.

good luck

[PICSIX]

:8: :8: :8: :8: :8: :8: :8: :8:

Stalk and Gone :ThmbUp:

[nomadpat]

Keying the :6:

[precocity]

last bet
200$ wp- :2:

[speed]

13 was coming around nicely at CD. Might have enough ability.

[Tom]

:2: :9: :11:

[precocity]

:2: :6: :14: :15: :15: box tri- exta

[Grits]

An exacta box of 2-6-13-14

[raybo]

Didn't have the 1 anywhere, other than that horse a super ticket would have worked for me, but I passed the race.

[letswastemoney]

Once I saw Rise Up was being strangled, I figured he was finished.

A horse like that doesn't pass horses in the lane. He separates and holds off the late closers.

[Grits]

Raybo, I was just looking at the thread, and I don't think anyone had the 1.

I bet 3 races today, I hit two of the three and one was Asmussen's, Tapable, who won by 10. I kept my mouth shut. As always, you let me write anything here about a pick? And every (fill in the blank)'n time :mad: I jinx my pick. I lose here in front of you, gentlemen. Again.

[precocity]

Once I saw Rise Up was being strangled, I figured he was finished.

A horse like that doesn't pass horses in the lane. He separates and holds off the late closers.
strangled hell choked to death!!! dam shame!!! :mad:

[JustRalph]

No world beaters in that race?

Not impressed much

[Ocala Mike]

The :1: splitzaxta'ed me. Came up with Potomac River in the race before, so scored a nice double when the :9: got his dirty nose down on the wire.

[raybo]

Raybo, I was just looking at the thread, and I don't think anyone had the 1.

I bet 3 races today, I hit two of the three and one was Asmussen's, Tapable, who won by 10. I kept my mouth shut. As always, you let me write anything here about a pick? And every (fill in the blank)'n time I jinx my pick. I lose here in front of you, gentlemen. Again.

I didn't bet the race but had I bet the super I had structured I would have missed the place horse, the 1 Albano. Had the other 3 finishers. The 1 just didn't figure in my ratings. Saved a few bucks by passing the race. :ThmbUp:

Can't say the same about the Fountain of Youth. I lost about $50 on a $1 super and a dime saver super. Both tickets missed the winner, my 4th ranked horse, the 4. Again, I got the other 3 finishers, but no bananas! :ThmbDown:

[PhantomOnTour]

I didn't bet the race but had I bet the super I had structured I would have missed the place horse, the 1 Albano. Had the other 3 finishers. The 1 just didn't figure in my ratings. Saved a few bucks by passing the race. :ThmbUp:

Can't say the same about the Fountain of Youth. I lost about $50 on a $1 super and a dime saver super. Both tickets missed the winner, my 4th ranked horse, the 4. Again, I got the other 3 finishers, but no bananas! :ThmbDown:
Albano escaped me too. He has sprint speed, a strong work since last, and the rail.
Got hung wide last time and I guess they figured gunning it was their best chance. Good figuring, because he ran them all off their feet and was unlucky to get nailed by the #9...class of the field gets his nose down.
How they let him roll thru tepid splits I'll never know :confused:

Hoppertunity was my key runner - fell to mid pack early, but swung out in the lane and looked to have some run. He persevered for 4th.
Not bad considering the class hike and the long trip with no work over the track.
Vicars In Trouble ran pretty well also.

[raybo]

Albano escaped me too. He has sprint speed, a strong work since last, and the rail.
Got hung wide last time and I guess they figured gunning it was their best chance. Good figuring, because he ran them all off their feet and was unlucky to get nailed by the #9...class of the field gets his nose down.
How they let him roll thru tepid splits I'll never know :confused:

Hoppertunity was my key runner - fell to mid pack early, but swung out in the lane and looked to have some run. He persevered for 4th.
Not bad considering the class hike and the long trip with no work over the track.
Vicars In Trouble ran pretty well also.

I agree with everything you said. Wasn't too high on Vicars anyway but he did ok.

[tanner12oz]

Bond holder is out

heading to Tampa bay