Class Moves

[traynor]

PACE RACES ALL TRACKS HigherPurseLast 2796 478 17.10 %
PACE WINNERS ALL TRACKS HigherPurseLast 362 55 15.19 % IV 0.89
PACE PLACERS ALL TRACKS HigherPurseLast 353 61 17.28 % IV 1.01

PACE RACES ALL TRACKS HigherPurse2ndBack 2796 585 20.92 %
PACE WINNERS ALL TRACKS HigherPurse2ndBack 362 64 17.68 % IV 0.84
PACE PLACERS ALL TRACKS HigherPurse2ndBack 353 64 18.13 % IV 0.87

PACE RACES ALL TRACKS LowerPurseLast 2796 892 31.90 %
PACE WINNERS ALL TRACKS LowerPurseLast 362 135 37.29 % IV 1.17
PACE PLACERS ALL TRACKS LowerPurseLast 353 111 31.44 % IV 0.99

PACE RACES ALL TRACKS LowerPurse2ndBack 2796 1107 39.59 %
PACE WINNERS ALL TRACKS LowerPurse2ndBack 362 233 64.36 % IV 1.63
PACE PLACERS ALL TRACKS LowerPurse2ndBack 353 151 42.78 % IV 1.08

TROT RACES ALL TRACKS HigherPurseLast 2286 422 18.46 %
Trot WINNERS ALL TRACKS HigherPurseLast 300 49 16.33 % IV 0.88
Trot PLACERS ALL TRACKS HigherPurseLast 302 53 17.55 % IV 0.95
TROT RACES ALL TRACKS HigherPurse2ndBack 2286 547 23.93 %
Trot WINNERS ALL TRACKS HigherPurse2ndBack 300 66 22.00 % IV 0.92
Trot PLACERS ALL TRACKS HigherPurse2ndBack 302 64 21.19 % IV 0.89

TROT RACES ALL TRACKS LowerPurseLast 2286 651 28.48 %
Trot WINNERS ALL TRACKS LowerPurseLast 300 105 35.00 % IV 1.23
Trot PLACERS ALL TRACKS LowerPurseLast 302 100 33.11 % IV 1.16

TROT RACES ALL TRACKS LowerPurse2ndBack 2286 1032 45.14 %
Trot WINNERS ALL TRACKS LowerPurse2ndBack 300 214 71.33 % IV 1.58
Trot PLACERS ALL TRACKS LowerPurse2ndBack 302 148 49.01 % IV 1.09

What the numbers mean: Second race after a bump up in class continues to be a prime indicator of improvement--regardless of other form factors used. In pace races, 64.36% of the winners ran for a lower purse in their second race back. In trot races, 71.33% of the winners ran for a lower purse in their second race back.

[traynor]

And to answer the question, "Why do so many bettors prefer Pompano Park (aside from the fact that it doesn't snow in Broward County)?" it is that the other bettors seem intent on chasing rainbows using the same worn out, tired, dysfunctional strategies that used to work--kind of--back in the old days.

PPk Pace GainStrToFin ImprovedART TopDriver All 2796 5.69 % ROI 0.46
PPk Trot GainStrToFin ImprovedART TopDriver All 2286 5.69 % ROI 0.44

PPk Pace GainStrToFin ImprovedART TopTrainer All 2796 6.08 % ROI 0.44
PPk Trot GainStrToFin ImprovedART TopTrainer All 2286 7.39 % ROI 0.49

Entries that gained (position or lengths) in the stretch in their last race AND finished in a time better than either of their previous two races AND had a top driver (or top trainer, as the case may be above) in todays race did not do well.

All of which is to point out something in conjunction with the class moves noted previously. If you want to find out what separates the whales from the nibbling little minnows, look beyond the obvious. The "second race after moving up" is nice by itself. Factor in something that many bettors find distressing--a loss in the stretch in the last race, especially finishing way back--and it may be quite rewarding. Especially at Pompano Park.