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turninforhome10
02-14-2014, 03:57 PM
Trying something a little different here by employing a logic that says by tuning by db through my methods, I will try to expose the main factor for the horse to win the race. Concentrating on methods that have yielded greater than 45% ROI and through top down db progression, I am looking for horses that are the greatest value for the win.

First Pick for the day.
SA Race1
Two factors that have >50% ROI
AVG Sustained Pace :4:
Jockey Trainer method :3:
So, 1ex wheel
:3: :4: \ :3: :4:=2

And following the comparison vs my method (Looking for value program)
My Method vs ML
5 w :5:

7 dollar wager looking for 2-1 or greater

Loosing the exactas for future betting. Should have played the picks boxed if the exacta was played. Jockey trainer was the best play. My method runs a game 2nd
No return -7

turninforhome10
02-14-2014, 04:25 PM
SA Race 2
The factors come from my pace module
Best time at distance(races must qualify by my methods) :2:
Best Speed Factors :2:

Other high factors
Off Pace module (close to pace and can finish) :6:

2wp :2:
2w :6:
Total 6

turninforhome10
02-14-2014, 05:42 PM
OP Race 8
Factor Jockey Trainer :2: :7:
Factor Distance Starts\ Wins :1: :8:

Post Appearance (Subjective) :4:
:1: :2: :7: / :1: :2: :7: :8:
1 Exacta wheel

The :8: gets up at 11-1. Distance wins was key. Violated my exacta rule.
-19 on the day.

turninforhome10
02-14-2014, 06:04 PM
SA Race 5
Lifetime Stats for least amount of track Starts
:1: :7: :8:
Pace :5:

Like the 5 for price with wire speed
:5:

Was screwed from the start when the :1: left so fast
Top factors bag easy tri and the :5: is still running.

turninforhome10
02-14-2014, 06:16 PM
GG Race 6
My method vs ML says the :3:
5wp :3: hoping the :5: does not fire

turninforhome10
02-14-2014, 06:34 PM
SA Race 6
A bit of trip handicapping. Baze sits a nice trip with the :9: rating easily off the :2: or :6: . Lets speed back up at the 3/8ths and tries to steal with the :1: :3: closing late.

turninforhome10
02-14-2014, 06:39 PM
GG Race 6
My method vs ML says the :3:
5wp :3: hoping the :5: does not fire
Ran 2nd behind heavy chalk