PDA

View Full Version : Fair Grounds 2/6 late pick 4 thoughts


letswastemoney
02-06-2014, 02:52 AM
Race 6

Diamonds for Dixie and Something Blue own the best last race TimeformUS numbers by a lot. Something Blue also owns a wet track victory, and rain is expected. One of them should take it.


Race 7

This race should come off the turf, otherwise I handicapped for nothing.

Except Tey's Big Boy to be the speed of the speed, and sloppy tracks tend to favor speed.

If he fails, Herbert Hall and Come on Lenard should be nearby.


Race 8

Using TimeformUS numbers, Sweet Dreams Diva would have to fall down to lose. She owns speed and ran two good races on sloppy tracks.

If Seven Seven Seven can run like her sibling French Park (http://www.equibase.com/profiles/Results.cfm?type=Horse&refno=6744778&registry=T) though, she might be interesting.


Race 9

This is by far the toughest race on the sequence.

The pace projector thinks Clobber and Skinny have the most speed, and Clobber has a decent race on wet dirt if it comes off. I'm inclined to give them top consideration, with the feeling that it's not that easy.

Lee's Spirit owns some back class.

letswastemoney
02-06-2014, 03:12 AM
If you want to see my picks for the rest of the card, I wrote them on my blog. I don't have more analysis, but I'll answer any question on my thoughts.
Fair Grounds 2/6 picks (http://thoughtsonracinglifeandmore.com/post/75778350094/fair-grounds-2-6-picks)

letswastemoney
02-06-2014, 05:07 AM
On second thought, there's only supposed to be light rain.

Well, maybe I'll only play the dirt races then. I still like Sweet Dreams Diva and Seven Seven Seven in Race 8 a lot, even on dry dirt.

Racetrack Playa
02-06-2014, 10:26 AM
I didn'.t realize Fairgrounds had a turf course.