Saturday Get Together

[PhantomOnTour]

Thawing out here in Cajunland.
Let's play baby - lots of nice races today.

Aqu R4:
:3: is the pace horse but is 0-12. TimeformUS play is good value at 4-1 but I have a feeling he won't be lonely up front.
:7: showed wicked speed routing and the jock knows only one way to go.
:4: beat the #3 last ime while giving 5lbs. Even weights today.

Taking a lil stab with the :1: at 7-1 second out for Galluscio. A better break can lead to an inside stalking trip behind suspect speed.

[RunForTheRoses]

AQU r4
Like :1: and :6: then :3:

5th I like the 7
so DD 2 units 16/7
1 unit 3/7

See 1 is dead on board and they are betting Leo "Doesn't win much anymore" OBrien

I'll stay with my choices. 1 took a lot of money in first start, deserves another chance.

[RunForTheRoses]

AQU r4
Like :1: and :6: then :3:

5th I like the 7
so DD 2 units 16/7
1 unit 3/7

See 1 is dead on board and they are betting Leo "Doesn't win much anymore" OBrien

I'll stay with my choices. 1 took a lot of money in first start, deserves another chance.

IFF speed is king today 3 will be tough.
TVG guy said Leo is off to good start at AQI, was 29/1 last time against similar, will have to close, won't use in win slot.

[PhantomOnTour]

Thawing out here in Cajunland.
Let's play baby - lots of nice races today.

Aqu R4:
:3: is the pace horse but is 0-12. TimeformUS play is good value at 4-1 but I have a feeling he won't be lonely up front.
:7: showed wicked speed routing and the jock knows only one way to go.
:4: beat the #3 last ime while giving 5lbs. Even weights today.

Taking a lil stab with the :1: at 7-1 second out for Galluscio. A better break can lead to an inside stalking trip behind suspect speed.
Wild odds swing.
The :1: wins it at 7-2 :eek: ...down from 10-1...7-1...6-1
The :3: went from 4-1 to 9-5 at post.

[Robert Fischer]

- :2: top billing is GOOD, but he's still overbet here. Dreamtrip last , although vs. very good horses

what about the :3: or :7:

[PhantomOnTour]

- :2: top billing is GOOD, but he's still overbet here. Dreamtrip last , although vs. very good horses

what about the :3: or :7:
The :3: can't be ignored. Threat to get out, get over, and get gone...run away from these wire to wire.
He's the play at anything over 2-1 in my book.
Agreed - price on the :2: is ridiculous, but he has a move and has been running behind slow paces.
How bout bombing with the :1: ? True router has faced some good ones and has held his own outside of Stks competition. Decent middle move can put him in contention...why not?

ex:
:2: :3: :7: w :1:
tri:
:2: :3: :7: w :2: :3: :7: w :1:
win:
:1:

[Robert Fischer]

I think 3 will win

i'd love to see the 2 run huge and win, but I'm guessing he's close in talent to the 3 who should get a great trip.

:3: w/ :2::4::7:

[classhandicapper]

Probably a mistake to not send the #3 hard.

[Robert Fischer]

That's a good one right there.

[PhantomOnTour]

Tri payoff was hilarious :D

Nice run by the winner

[Robert Fischer]

Probably a mistake to not send the #3 hard.

They slowed down a little but Castellano was controlling the pace. He cut the 1st turn corner, and then cut the 2nd turn as well. + That breather that people who bet the 3 could have questioned.

Compare the 2 Top Billing to the 1. They both made a middle move during that breather, but Top Billing made a bold classy move on the turn, and the 1 flattened out 3rd.

[PhantomOnTour]

FG Race 2:
ex box 1-6-7
win: 1-6

think the #8 is broken and will pop & stop, hopefully, at 6-5

[Robert Fischer]

That crazy 6 is coming off 500 days off , and taking money ... (exclude him?)

can the :9: cross over and set the pace here?


i'll pass this one.

[PhantomOnTour]

They slowed down a little but Castellano was controlling the pace. He cut the 1st turn corner, and then cut the 2nd turn as well. + That breather that people who bet the 3 could have questioned.

Compare the 2 Top Billing to the 1. They both made a middle move during that breather, but Top Billing made a bold classy move on the turn, and the 1 flattened out 3rd.
You're telling me...got a brief thrill when the #1 crept up on them. :D

[PhantomOnTour]

FG Race 2:
ex box 1-6-7
win: 1-6

think the #8 is broken and will pop & stop, hopefully, at 6-5
The #8 nails my #1 at the wire...a matter of class :bang:

[PhantomOnTour]

Aqu R6:

ex:
6-7 w 2-6-7-8-11
win:
2-6


respect Weaver debuter, esp with gate jock Decarlo up....looking for speed from this one.

[turninforhome10]

All in on the :9: in GP 5th. Best bet of my day.

[Robert Fischer]

rough trip on that 9 horse today

[PhantomOnTour]

Aqu R6:

ex:
6-7 w 2-6-7-8-11
win:
2-6


respect Weaver debuter, esp with gate jock Decarlo up....looking for speed from this one.
Well that was easy - the #6 airs at a very generous 8-1 and the #7 desperately hangs on for the exacta

[Beachbabe]

Well that was easy - the #6 airs at a very generous 8-1 and the #7 desperately hangs on for the exacta

Nice going, POT.

[PhantomOnTour]

Aqu R7

Interesting race as the chalk #5 last raced on Jan11. That card was cancelled after that race due to weather & track conditions. BRIS gave that race a nice figure. I don't know if I trust it. Pace was decent but then it totally fell apart after 4f and they ran 1m16 in over 1:50.
Any fig on that race is an estimated guess.
Bout time the jocks all realized that being up front near the inside is the place to be today, and :2: Concealed is in position to best take advantage of that in R6. Generous 4-1 price. Must deal with the chalk early.
3-6-8 in position if these falter. Lifetime record on the :2: doesn't bode well for a wire job, but it's his to lose....and I think he will lose it. Great bet underneath imo.

ex:
6-8 w 2-3-5-6-8
5 w 6-8
tri:
5 w 2 w 3-6-8
win:
6-8

[Robert Fischer]

Good one POT :ThmbUp:


I don't like the :10: based on the first race.

:4: and :8: are freezing cold on the board. And I missed the post parade (Loaded Nachos coming up this evening !!)

Just a race for me to watch, and then of course at the end I will lament the price that the 4 or 8 won at. ;)



notes: 3 looks like a longshot addition

** if i had to guess 4-7-8-3

[PhantomOnTour]

Quick play at GP race 6:

like the value on the :3: at 9-1

[PhantomOnTour]

Aqu R7

Interesting race as the chalk #5 last raced on Jan11. That card was cancelled after that race due to weather & track conditions. BRIS gave that race a nice figure. I don't know if I trust it. Pace was decent but then it totally fell apart after 4f and they ran 1m16 in over 1:50.
Any fig on that race is an estimated guess.
Bout time the jocks all realized that being up front near the inside is the place to be today, and :2: Concealed is in position to best take advantage of that in R6. Generous 4-1 price. Must deal with the chalk early.
3-6-8 in position if these falter. Lifetime record on the :2: doesn't bode well for a wire job, but it's his to lose....and I think he will lose it. Great bet underneath imo.

ex:
6-8 w 2-3-5-6-8
5 w 6-8
tri:
5 w 2 w 3-6-8
win:
6-8
Honestly...WTF was all that jibba jabba? Diagnosed the race perfectly, then totally contradicted myself and bet the other way...awesome, me.
Just bet the friggin #2 at a great 9-2 price and take advantage of the surface :bang: :bang:

[Robert Fischer]

regroup



no going on tilt in this thread :)

[Robert Fischer]

:6: w p s STREET PRANCER

[taxicab]

Santa Anita race 2.
Starting P-3 with :5: : :8:
:5: Ran well enough in a race he needed.
:8: Huge barn switch peaks my interest.
Really dislike the :2: the race couldn't of shaped up any better for him in his last, today the race flow looks quite the opposite of his last.

[Racetrack Playa]

Fg Race 4
I Love Rosie on :7: Danzigs Gold

edit; i still love Rosie think the horse will be better back on the turf

[Robert Fischer]

uh oh street prancer very wide today...

... and nothing in the tank, even if he had a dream trip. disappointing effort

[turninforhome10]

SA Race 2
The :2: likes being outside and the 2 hole dooms.
Really like the :8: but concern of the totes. Looks a million in Post Parade and will bite at 9-2 5 wp :8: 2ps :3: :7:
If the :8: was live he goes at 2-1. 9-2 was saying I have no chance. :3: and :7: finish super 18 wagered 6 return :ThmbDown:

[Racetrack Playa]

r8
I like the :2:
it is Holybull day and its nasty out,

[taxicab]

SA race 3.
No use for the :5: :7: in here.
:5: Just picked up the pieces in a bad race.
:7: Looked miserable in the stretch.
Going to star a P-3 with :11: :12: .

P-3 :11: :12: / :2: :7: / :1: :2: :3: :5: :7:

[Robert Fischer]

the public loves that 5 @ santa anita

[PhantomOnTour]

Aqu R9 - trying with the :2: ...good value at 8-1. Can stalk the chief speed and chalk :8: and has some races in the past that can take this.

Off to work - good hanging with y'all.
Value later in the Holy Bull is the #4, a serious speed threat.

[Robert Fischer]

have a good one

[taxicab]

SA Race 4.
P-3.... :7: / :2: :3: :7: / :2: :3: :5: :7: :8:

:7: Any horse Tommy Proctor gets his hands on is good with me.
Not much pace in here either, this might help WW chances.
Don't like the :6: at all.
Benefited from the pace flow in her last,don't see this race shaping up the same way.
She hits the ground kind of funny also,makes me nervous.

[taxicab]

Hmmm......
I'm sensing a long expensive day here.
The races only get harder......uh oh.
Here goes.
SA race 5.
P-3 :3: :7: / :2: :7: :8: / :4: :6: :10: :13: :14: .
Never one to be gun shy about making a fool of himself....
I do not like the chalk in here.
:8: might not be overly fond of this tricky course.
She sure didn't care for the dirt crossing in her last.

[taxicab]

SA....Race 6.
P-3..... :2: :8: / :4: :6: :7: :8: :10: :13: :14: / :6: :8:

[Robert Fischer]

OAKLAWN R8

:1::6::9::5:

:5: KEY

[taxicab]

Good P-4 sequence.
7) :4: :6: :7: :8: :10: :13: :14:
8) :6: :8:
9) :1: :7:
10) :1: :2: :3: :4: :5: :7: :8: :10:

[taxicab]

That hurt.
If Kent D. is sober, he's world class.
He's riding well today.
You kind of pull for a guy that's fallen down.
I wish him well.
Now back to the torture.....

SA race 8.
$3.00 P-3 :6: / :7: / :1: :2: :3: :5: :7:
$1.00 P-3 :6: / :9: / :1: :2: :3: :5: :7:
$1.00 P-3 :6: / :7: :9: / :1: :7:

[taxicab]

SA race 8.
:7: Just had a miserable, trouble filled trip (3 separate times) in his last race.
I rarely bet win, but.....
$25 win :7:
$7.00 DD :7: / :1:
$2.00 DD :7: / :3: :5: :7:

[taxicab]

$30 Win :1: .
I'm glad they only have 10 races..... :bang:

[Ocala Mike]

I am on the :6: in the last. I commented on his GOOD RACE/BAD RACE pattern in another thread. Today, he's due for a good one.

[Ocala Mike]

Horse in distress and was eased; so much for patterns!