Smart Crowd Tracks

[Ray2000]

I was reading through some old threads and found this one discussing how the crowd is getting smarter these days:

http://216.92.33.211/forum/showthread.php?t=92213

So I pulled some data for winning horses at Harness tracks this past year and got this ranking of "Smart Tracks ;) ".

I'll not bore you with the math, it's the pseudo-R squared method of CX Wong, comparing the crowd's predicted chance on the winner to a random chance of 1/Field Size. The higher the score the more accurate is the crowd.

Tracks with the smartest crowds or if crowd ability is the same everywhere, then it's the tracks where it is easiest to set the correct odds.
I'm guessing the Mohawk/Woodbine disparity is seasonally related. :confused:


Score Races Track
0.323 876 Freehold
0.304 901 Rideau
0.293 1083 Harrahs Chester
0.292 1830 Monticello
0.286 2265 Northfield
0.283 697 Mohawk
0.281 1278 Dover
0.277 1557 Pocono Downs
0.275 825 Flamboro
0.273 834 Harrington
0.265 1580 Saratoga
0.264 35004 All tracks
0.258 695 Scioto
0.257 602 Scarboro
0.254 1178 Balmoral
0.248 2175 Yonkers
0.248 2275 The Meadows
0.248 604 Grand River
0.247 1043 Maywood
0.246 771 Pompano
0.243 580 Fraser
0.241 638 BigM
0.237 509 Tioga
0.236 1465 Hoosier Park
0.228 704 Batavia
0.224 943 Woodbine
0.222 541 Cal Expo
0.221 1149 Western Fair
0.219 994 Buffalo
0.204 764 Vernon

Too few races
0.387 170 Red Mile
0.315 259 Georgian
0.292 266 Bangor
0.291 312 Northville Downs
0.271 403 Rosecroft
0.268 278 SportsCreek
0.265 447 Lebanon
0.252 130 Colonial
0.241 302 Raceway
0.215 228 Ocean
0.207 223 Northlands Park
0.198 224 Aces
0.186 405 Plainridge