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imofe
01-08-2014, 09:45 PM
Was wondering if anyone had % of winning favorites for different tracks for 2013. I noticed Pompano was only about 35%, which is kind of low for a 5/8 track.

Just a Fan
01-09-2014, 12:50 AM
On the USTA site, if you go to track statistics, and then post position statistics, most tracks show % of winning favorites during the current and/or most recent meet.

PPk shows a % of 37.4% over the last 513 races which must represent the race meet that began after their summer break, so it does not include the first half of 2013.

Some other interesting ones with decent sample sizes (some from USTA, some from track websites):

YR was 42.52%
CalX is 38.53 in their current meet.
Mea was 42.39
May was 41.7%
BmlP was 40.42
Tioga was 37.63
Moh was 41.1
RidC was 42.3
Dover is 44.75 (!) in their current meet.
PcD was 41.27 in 2013.
ScD was 38.63
Aces was 39.20
VD was 39.24
Stga was 42.65

So your theory is correct that faves win a relatively low % at PPk. One snarky possibility for this would be that their current driver colony features an amazing number of drivers that have skeletons in their closets. Wallis was suspended (and mysteriously cleared a couple of years later) in a Michigan/Windsor scandal. Rick Plano has had issues during his long career. Ingraham was tossed out of YR in the Herve Filion affair. Santeramo was asked to leave Tioga. Paquet was asked to leave Saratoga. Not to mention a couple of other shady characters who you wouldn't want to trust.

I wish I could have found stats for more 5/8 tracks, particularly Harrahs Philly, but I couldn't.

imofe
01-09-2014, 05:07 PM
The 35.06 % was from the simulcast book from Jan 4th. The results are from the last 482 days. Just thought it was interesting because there are a lot of 7 and 8 horse fields there.