PDA

View Full Version : Picks from the box 11/29


turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 01:42 PM
Trying a new method for black box. Play at your own risk. The method is a marriage of methods between Projected Pace, Probability, and Objective factors from PP's. Will post the top contenders based on a scoring system I have created. Sometimes the race will be wide open and sometimes only 1 or 2 contenders will pop. Picks are useful for exacta and tri boxes as well as p3 and p4.
Start with Parx 4
Program likes :2: - :1: - :5:
AQU 5
Program likes :2: on top and :7: :9: :10: :11: in below spots
FG 1 Program like :1: :2: on top with :3: :4: :6: below

Will work as the day goes on to work out some tickets and how better to use the info.
Post them if you got them

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 01:53 PM
Parx Race 4
Winner on top with the :2:
Here is something to think maybe. When a jock who can read a program can see a horse like the :2: is gonna run big, do they save for another day and let the lesser horses get a check? It just seems like sometimes this is the case, especially in lower level claiming races.

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 02:03 PM
Aqu Race 4
The top pic ran out terrible. Noticing that the program is using horse with a lot of pp data as weighting higher. This would not be true in Maidens as I prefer horse with lesser starts.
Bottom picks nailed the exacta and got rid of the 9/5 shot for the win.

CD Race 4
Have to go deep and use :6: :8: :3:


All picks are computer generated.

4th race - Churchill Downs - Friday, November 29, 2013

Pgm Horse Win Place Show
3 Abelha Maestra 9.00 4.60 2.80
7 Gold 'n White 6.20 3.20
2 Brezing Rain 2.40
$2 Daily Double 4-3 46.40

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 02:12 PM
CD Race 4
3rd picks wins it and while we had no exacta, we got the 3rd pick home at 7/2 and more importantly got the favorite out of the win.
Parx 5
:7: :2:

:7: wins for fun at 2-1

5th race - Parx Racing - Friday, November 29, 2013

Pgm Horse Win Place Show
7 Quepos 6.00 3.00 2.20
6 English Manor 2.40 2.20
5 Plymouth Square 3.00

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 02:14 PM
FG Race 1 Picked :1: :2: on top
Finished

1st race - Fair Grounds - Friday, November 29, 2013

Pgm Horse Win Place Show
1 Nick's Pick 3.60 2.20 2.10
2 Pentafecta 2.60 2.20
3 My Smooth Talker 2.60
$2 Exacta 1-2 7.60

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 02:21 PM
AQU race6
:2: :1: :3:
6th race - Aqueduct - Friday, November 29, 2013

Pgm Horse Win Place Show
3 The Truth and K G 3.30 2.40 2.10
1A Denzel 4.20 3.30
4 Meet the Mets 4.00
$2 Daily Double 11-3 14.60
$2 Exacta 3-1 13.40

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 02:26 PM
LRL Race 5
:2: :1: :6: :7:


5th race - Laurel Park - Friday, November 29, 2013

Pgm Horse Win Place Show
6 Joey Whispers 5.60 3.80 3.40
1 Vote Yes for Love 5.20 3.40
7 Access Love 5.80
$2 Exacta 6-1 28.40
$1 Superfecta 6-1-7-2 341.80
$2 Trifecta 6-1-7 169.40

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 02:28 PM
WO Race 4
:4: :2:

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 02:35 PM
Contenders CD Race 5
:2: :9: :10: :7: :5:

5th race - Churchill Downs - Friday, November 29, 2013

Pgm Horse Win Place Show
2 Dame Marie 5.60 3.40 2.80
4 Street of Gold 4.40 3.60
10 Royal Fury 3.60

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 02:50 PM
AQU Race 7
:1: :7: :9:


7th race - Aqueduct - Friday, November 29, 2013

Pgm Horse Win Place Show
4 Underthemoonlight 11.00 5.20 3.20
2 Keep Right 7.00 4.50
6 It's Easy 2.50

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 02:53 PM
Lrl Race 6
:3: :5: :4:

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 02:57 PM
Rem 2
:5: :6: :1:

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 02:59 PM
WO Race 4
:4: :2:

4th race - Woodbine - Friday, November 29, 2013

Video Race Replay
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
5 My Bid 13.30 6.00 6.20
1 Batchawana Bay 8.10 10.00
2 Sweet Livilu 12.60

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 03:37 PM
ARX RACING 11-29-2013 RACE 8 OF 8 - TRACK RATING: 83
6.0f DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
CLAIMING PURSE: $18000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 3

Weighting Factors 1 0
PP Name *BET *Tote SCORE
3 ASTRAL *66.39 *63.80 3.36
1 LADY NITRO 58.26 61.93 4.17
10 YOU BETCHA BABE 51.81 50.81 4.82
1A GOODTOBEWILD 51.78 61.53 4.82

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 03:40 PM
GOLDEN GATE FIELDS 11-29-2013 RACE 1 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 79
5.5f SYNT THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
CLAIMING PURSE: $9000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 20

Weighting Factors 1 1
PP Name *BET *Tote SCORE
5 BIGREDS THRILLSH*55.48 60.10 4.22
3 RUNNING WATER 51.20 *62.24 4.33
6 FRISCO BOUND 44.27 46.45 5.46
1 HOT TUB 33.15 54.74 5.61
4 SONOFTOKAYANA 40.82 46.96 5.61
2 SOLD SHORT 39.18 29.50 6.57
The number of past races used is 5
******** THIS RACE MEETS MY CULLING REQUIREMENTS *********
MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING Window):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
5 BIGREDS THRILLSHOW 4.0 HERNANDEZ J. J. LENZINI M.
3 RUNNING WATER 1.4 BAZE R. A. SHERMAN S. M.

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 03:42 PM
AQUEDUCT 11-29-2013 RACE 9 OF 10 - TRACK RATING: 87
8.0f DIRT WAND H
GRADE II STK/HCP PURSE: $300000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 80

Weighting Factors 1 0
PP Name *BET *Tote SCORE
6 FANTASY OF FLIGH*54.73 56.21 4.53
5 WILLET 51.90 51.40 4.81
2 CENTRING 51.37 61.04 4.86
1 MY PAL CHRISY 45.64 *61.11 5.44
3 ROYAL LAHAINA 44.99 46.61 5.50
7 OL DONYO 42.57 42.05 5.74
4 STREET GIRL 41.69 31.58 5.83
8 EXECUTIVEPRIVILE SCR SCR 10.0
The number of past races used is 5
******** THIS RACE MEETS MY CULLING REQUIREMENTS *********
MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING Window):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
6 FANTASY OF FLIGHT 6.0 ORTIZ JR. I. PLETCHER T. A.
5 WILLET 10.0 ARROYO A. S. ISELIN J. H.
2 CENTRING 2.5 MARAGH R. ALBERTRANI T.

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 03:53 PM
POS Castellano rode the :1: like she was 3-5 That is why Javier will not HOF. F in pos

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 04:14 PM
Lrl Race 6
:3: :5: :4:

6th race - Laurel Park - Friday, November 29, 2013

Video Race Replay
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
4 Lost Memory 5.20 3.60 2.40
1 Bonnie Lass 4.80 2.80
5 Cimbria 2.40

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 04:15 PM
Rem 2
:5: :6: :1:

2nd race - Remington Park - Friday, November 29, 2013

Video Race Replay
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
5 Work N Flirt 3.20 2.40 2.10
6 Star of Edmond 3.00 2.60
1 Every Memory 7.60
$2 Daily Double 1-5 9.00
$2 Exacta 5-6 6.40
$2 Superfecta 5-6-1-4 193.20
$2 Trifecta 5-6-1 60.40

turninforhome10
11-29-2013, 04:23 PM
POS Castellano rode the :1: like she was 3-5 That is why Javier will not HOF. F in pos

9th race - Aqueduct - Friday, November 29, 2013

Video Race Replay
Pgm Horse Win Place Show
3 Royal Lahaina 28.20 9.50 5.00
2 Centring 3.50 2.80
1 My Pal Chrisy 3.30
$2 Daily Double 13-3