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View Full Version : 11/19 Pick of the Day - PARX Race 5


letswastemoney
11-19-2013, 01:55 AM
I'm going to try to give at least one pick each day. I'm not always right, but I'll try to at least give a "live" horse that I think will put in a good run.

BRIS PPs (http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewer.php?track=PRX&race=5&param1=1558&param2=4510&param3=805200)

I wrote this on my Facebook page.

#1 Join Return (7/2) was beaten by another horse that she faces again here. But, there are some reasons to believe major improvement is coming. 1) First time lasix. 2) She retains high percentage (22%) jockey Carmouche even though he had another option. 3) She owns the high late pace figure, so at least it's a certainty she will be rolling late. - Now, I realize that dirt racing favors early speed, but the main speed horses in this race are all suspect. At 3/1 or higher, Joint Return is a good play.

letswastemoney
11-19-2013, 02:07 PM
Joint Return is somehow 8/5 now. I may jump ship (or is the fact they're betting her a good sign? lol)

letswastemoney
11-19-2013, 02:10 PM
I think I'm jumping ship to #7 Total War, a sibling to The Pamplmousse and American Lady, but I will continue to watch the odds.

letswastemoney
11-19-2013, 02:26 PM
I ended up sticking with Joint Return once her odds drifted up slightly to 2/1...and she won in a hand ride!

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