Picks for Monday Funday, 11/11

[Ray2000]

Sunday's Results No hits (Races to date 496)

Track Race# Pick# Winhit Flat10 $10 If Odds 2% Bank
1,419 1,647 >4 1,483 9-Nov Balance

STGA 7 8 1,409 1,637 Y 1,454 10-Nov Results
PHL 7 8 1,399 1,627 Y 1,425
PHL 13 6 1,389 1,617 Y 1,397
FLMD 1 8 1,379 1,607 Y 1,370
FLMD 6 4 1,369 1,597 Y 1,343
RIDC 6 1 1,359 1,597 N 1,317
RIDC 7 6 1,349 1,587 Y 1,291
RIDC 9 Scr 1,349 1,587 - 1,291

Monday Funday Picks
This will put the number of Flat10 bets over 500 and will end this run.
DD R9.......#8 Climate Hanover-8/1
DD R10......#6 Lightning Paige-8/1
LON R2......#4 L H Lil Count-10/1
MEA R6......#8 Amazing Quest-10/1
MEA R13.....#5 Otto-6/1
MEA R14.....#7 Ulshootureyeoutkid-6/1
NFLD R5.....#4 Soulful Delight-5/1
NFLD R13....#7 Aligned Hanover-9/2
PPK R5......#5 Zorgwijk Impact-8/1
PPK R7......#5 Bombilla Hanover-8/1
PPK R8......#3 Mr Casual-6/1
PRC R4......#2 Doridian-8/1
PRC R6......#2 Storyofmylife-8/1
YR R4.......#8 Cicely Hanover-6/1
YR R12......#4 Leaveumlady-8/1

Final stats tomorrow.

[melman]

Thanks for posting this run Ray it's been fun and once again shows what a great tool computer capping can be. Of course every "bot" has it's bot master to set the parameters. :) Mark McKelvie this week still gives us "pencil" guys lot's of hope. :) What a great Sat night he had at Balmoral on there big race night. See the link below skip to key hits part.

http://xwebapp.ustrotting.com/absolutenm/templates/article.aspx?articleid=56598&zoneid=63

Also Ray I see Peter Wreen is at the meadows today. Is this something new? I don't recall seeing him there before.

[Ray2000]

Don't know why Wrenn is at The Meadows...passing through? :confused:


but do you recall my April Pick for 2 legged players? ... :)

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=101840

[Ray2000]

Final tally for this series, went out on a whimper but did much better than expected.
Conditional Win Bets are clearly to my advantage, as the robot is looking for longshots.
2% of previous balance will pull away as the bet size increases (and if the ROB stays >1).
My next run will tie conditional "minimum acceptable odds" to the Bot's Odds Line.
Stay tuned :)

Monday Funday's Results
Track Race# Pick# Winhit Flat10 $10 If Odds 2% Bank $500 start
1,349 1,587 >4 1,291 10-Nov Balance

PRC 4 2 1,339 1,577 Y 1,266 11-Nov Results
MEA 6 8 1,329 1,567 Y 1,241
PRC 6 2 1,319 1,557 Y 1,217
LON 2 4 1,309 1,547 Y 1,193
MEA 13 5 1,299 1,547 N 1,170
MEA 14 7 1,289 1,537 Y 1,147
DD 9 8 1,279 1,527 Y 1,125
DD 10 6 1,269 1,527 N 1,103
NFLD 5 4 1,259 1,527 N 1,081
YR 4 8 1,249 1,517 Y 1,060
PPK 5 5 5.00 1,264 1,517 N 1,091
PPK 7 5 5.80 1,283 1,536 Y 1,131
PPK 8 3 1,273 1,526 Y 1,109
NFLD 13 7 2.80 1,277 1,526 N 1,118
YR 12 4 1,267 1,526 N 1,096

Over all results, Oct 3rd-Nov 11
Flat $10 $10 if>4 2%Bank
Races 522 358 522
Wins 101 60 101
Scr 11 11
Bet $5,110 $3,580 $8,823
Return $5,877 $4,606 $9,419
Profit $767 $1,026 $596
ROB 1.15 1.29 1.07
Strike 19% 17% 19%
Z Test 0.026

Max Hit $37.00
w/Grubbs outliers (2) removed
ROB 1.09
Monkey Score on same races, 1000 reps
ROB 0.70

[mrroyboy]

Ray again. 500 + plays before scratches etc with a plus ROI is a fantastic result. Hope everyone realizes that.!!!

[Ray2000]

Ray again. 500 + plays before scratches etc with a plus ROI is a fantastic result. Hope everyone realizes that.!!!

thx roy

it was better than expected,
particularly at this time of the year when some equine legs get weary.