Belmont-Keeneland Wed "live" Join on in!

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race -1 The :3: . Gets back on the green today after back-to-back off the turfers. Red hot trainer-jock combo of Rice & Ortiz together again here.

$10 WP :3:

$5 Exacta Box :1: :3: :4:

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race -1 The :8: . Eric Reed shipper in from Pid drops to the maiden claiming ranks for the 1st time a 15% trainer move. Nice workout Oct 17th over the poly for this.

$10 WP :8:

$5 Exacta Box :8: :5: :2:

[Robert Fischer]

:7: = trakus play

miz ozwell

result: this is in bad taste, to mention after the fact, but my only bet on this one was to show. I missed the heart of the race putting the finishing touches on some pasta. The key here was the 4=chloe bear being a decent sized underlay. In Miz Owell's last she lost 20feet of ground on the 1st turn which was significant relative to field. Then the pace was so slow. Her final trakus was comparitive to any other in that field. Her previous form and connections put her in the mix here. Another note for this race is to watch again and see how much John Velazquez's positioning helped the 6TakeItInside -RF

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race -1 The :3: . Gets back on the green today after back-to-back off the turfers. Red hot trainer-jock combo of Rice & Ortiz together again here.

$10 WP :3:

$5 Exacta Box :1: :3: :4:


Whif...ran 1st & 4th

Bet $50
Ret $00
Net-$50

[Robert Fischer]

Kee r1

:2: - Last race was poorly positioned, and forced to start a Driiiiiiive (aka a "long drive"). Also has the breeding.

:6: - Great Price and Fits the track profile for Keeneland. Include.

result: Moronic ride on the :2: Camille Gerry by Rocco. He had a good idea that the track can play to closers at times, but he failed to properly position this contender. That Said, in spite of a stressful stretch run and some contact in the stretch, 2 ultimately faltered a bit when given a chance to contend. Bad pick by me. Longshot 6 was wayyy too close to the pace early and was also wayyy too cheap.

[Robert Fischer]

I really should build a tri or super around that 6, but I am too busy to write it out, and not betting it in real life.

[Robert Fischer]

What a stupid ride so far on the 2 !!!

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race -1 The :8: . Eric Reed shipper in from Pid drops to the maiden claiming ranks for the 1st time a 15% trainer move. Nice workout Oct 17th over the poly for this.

$10 WP :8:

$5 Exacta Box :8: :5: :2:

I love Keeneland..... :bang: ..at least I had the :5: .

Bet $100
Ret $00
Net-$100

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race -2 The :7: . Expensive 1st time starter for Schettino hitting at 16% with 1st timers. Nice set of works leading up to his debut.

$10 WP :7:

$5 Exacta Box :5: :6: :7:

[Robert Fischer]

I love Keeneland..... :bang: ..

Kee = pass a lot and hope to make money on the occasional Ramsey horse that is a bet-against.
also Chaos races exotic spreads (and at times BOTH a Ramsey Underlay + Chaos race) = better than sex?



but primarily Kee is a race watcher's meet where you get a million valuable trip reads for when they return to easier tracks.

[Robert Fischer]

Bel r2 - :1:

impossible race to bet. Clement horse getting a workout for a return to turf. Could still win.
7= 400k statebred - dominate these or dud?

1 = good works , good connections, good price

result: :1: easily controlled the race. 6-got a really good workout in. Clement has to be extremely happy with horse and jock. The 400Kstatebred 7 failed to get the jump on the 1 and then was passed by the 6 who had a better trip. Flattened a bit but wasn't a bad effort. Being by Bernardini, maybe he can stretch out and win some statebred stuff? I don't know how they pick statebred sires, but MEB + Brooklyn Boyz must be thinking of breeding with what they invested at the sale? I couldn't bet this race in real life, so obviously not that sweet, and I regret not noticing that the 7's across the board money was just over the limit to drive minimums rather than a very large bridgejump level. (The 1 paid better than expected across the board).

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race -2 The :7: . Expensive 1st time starter for Schettino hitting at 16% with 1st timers. Nice set of works leading up to his debut.

$10 WP :7:

$5 Exacta Box :5: :6: :7:

Hmmm....may not be my day...

Net-$150

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race -2

$10 WP :7:

$5 Exacta Box :5: :6: :7:

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race 3

$10 WP :6:

$5 Exacta Box :3: :6: :7:

[Robert Fischer]

Kee r2 :7:
7 fits the track, and the 5 may not fit the track which adds value.
small WPS on 7

result: Mediocre 3rd compromised behind a slow pace.

[Robert Fischer]

Keeneland Race -2

$10 WP :7:

$5 Exacta Box :5: :6: :7:

Well Done Kid Capper :ThmbUp:

Cream rises to the top. $185 , even with the favorite finishing 2nd.

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race -2

$10 WP :7:

$5 Exacta Box :5: :6: :7:


Here we go!! Finished 6-5-7 for a nice $2 Exacta PD $74.20!!

Bet $200
Ret $185.50
Net-$14.50

On the rebound!!!

[KidCapper]

Well Done Kid Capper :ThmbUp:

Cream rises to the top. $185 , even with the favorite finishing 2nd.

Thanks! Needed it!

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race 3

$10 WP :6:

$5 Exacta Box :3: :6: :7:

On Top winner at 3-1...missed the exacta. Totals thru 5 races:

Bet $250
Ret $246.50
Net-$3.50......can almost see even....lol

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race -3 The :7: . Off the layoff for a 15% layoff trainer. Drops into the Maiden claiming ranks for the 1st time...the price is right at 8-1 ML.

$10 WP :7:

$5 Exacta Box :7: :11: :2:

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race 4 The :1: . Toss last & this one figures right there. Double drops in class for a 40% Terranova move. Rail post helps here.

$10 WP :1:

$5 Exacta Box :1: :4: :6:

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race -3 The :7: . Off the layoff for a 15% layoff trainer. Drops into the Maiden claiming ranks for the 1st time...the price is right at 8-1 ML.

$10 WP :7:

$5 Exacta Box :7: :11: :2:


Finished 10-2-7....close but no cigar!

Bet $300
Ret $246.50
Net-$53.50

Next

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race -4 The :6: . Indiana ship in for 20% shipping trainer Waltz. Goes dirt-to-AW for another 19% move. Blinkers on today and has run well over the surface. Good price here too.

$10 WP :6:

$5 Exacta Box :7: :6: :12:

[ikeika]

BEL4 6

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race 4 The :1: . Toss last & this one figures right there. Double drops in class for a 40% Terranova move. Rail post helps here.

$10 WP :1:

$5 Exacta Box :1: :4: :6:


Finished 1-6-4 for the 1-2-3 finish with my picks. On the plus side now!! Totals thru 7 races bet!

Bet $350
Ret $436
Net+$86

Next!

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race -5 The :9: . Delaware shipper for Clement gets Lasix for a the 1st time, a 32% trainer move. Drops to the maiden claiming ranks for the 1st time another 18% angle. 4-1 on the line feels right here.


$10 WP :9:

$5 Exacta Box :9: :8: :5:

[Robert Fischer]

Kee r4 :7:
Not betting. I hope the pace is really fast and he runs huge again. I would like to make money on this horse sometime in the future.

:8: can pick up pieces w/ right trip today

result: 7 ran ok, but so did the 6 and the 2. 8 got the proper ride, but the others did not cooperate and he merely got up for third with the late crowd.

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race -4 The :6: . Indiana ship in for 20% shipping trainer Waltz. Goes dirt-to-AW for another 19% move. Blinkers on today and has run well over the surface. Good price here too.

$10 WP :6:

$5 Exacta Box :7: :6: :12:

Swing and a miss here. Totals thru 8 races bet:

Bet $400
Ret $436
Net+$36

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race -5

$10 WP :1:

$5 Exacta Box :1: :2: :5:

[ikeika]

BEL5 9

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race -5 The :9: . Delaware shipper for Clement gets Lasix for a the 1st time, a 32% trainer move. Drops to the maiden claiming ranks for the 1st time another 18% angle. 4-1 on the line feels right here.


$10 WP :9:

$5 Exacta Box :9: :8: :5:

ON TOP winner at 9-2!! Missed the exacta though. Totals thru 9 races:

Bet $450
Ret $517.50
Net+$67.50

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race -6 The :2: . Wide open race. Dutrow shipper (29%) has some early lick and a bullet work coming in. Stretches out off the sprint to a route for a 26% trainer move.

$10 WP :2:

$5 Exacta Box :2: :3: :4:

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race -5

$10 WP :1:

$5 Exacta Box :1: :2: :5:


Ahhhh Keeneland my love.......argh. Totals thru 10 races:

Bet $500
Ret $517.50
Net+$17.50

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race 6

$10 WP :1:

$5 Exacta Box :1: :2: :8:

[ikeika]

BEL6 6

[sally]

Keeneland R6

I think the :13: Large Scale has a chance...

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race -6 The :2: . Wide open race. Dutrow shipper (29%) has some early lick and a bullet work coming in. Stretches out off the sprint to a route for a 26% trainer move.

$10 WP :2:

$5 Exacta Box :2: :3: :4:

Another ON TOP winner at 9-2. 3 straight winners in a row at Belmont...just can't seem to catch the exacta's. Totals thru 11 races bet:

Bet $550
Ret $601
Net+51

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race -7 The :5: . Race 2 back at this distance wins this with a 97 Bris figure. Toss last on the failed route try. Rajiv back up for the ride today.

$10 WP :5:

$5 Exacta Box :1: :5: :9:

[Robert Fischer]

Kee 6 :1:

why is the 1 6-1 ?? This horse should be the favorite right? Am I missing something??? I don't understand unless the public is overbetting Maker. i have to pass here.

result: ruled a no-contest due to rider unseated. The 1 did appear to be in an extremely strong position at the time of the announcement. I'll take that as a positive for next time(although if Maker was the reason for the big overlay, may not get it again.). Tough situation as a bettor, when you don't know if the public is clueless or there is other info that you are ignorant of.

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race 6

$10 WP :1:

$5 Exacta Box :1: :2: :8:


Ruled no contest....jock unseated at starting gate...pick 3,4,5 all pretty much ruined for the day.

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race 7

$10 WP :12:

$5 Exacta Box :2: :3: :12:

[ikeika]

BEL7 1

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race -7 The :5: . Race 2 back at this distance wins this with a 97 Bris figure. Toss last on the failed route try. Rajiv back up for the ride today.

$10 WP :5:

$5 Exacta Box :1: :5: :9:

1st miss here in awhile...Totals thru 12 races bet:

Bet $600
Ret $601
Net+$01 .....a whole buck...lol

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race 8 The :4: . Toss last when eased. Maiden breaker two back puts this one in the mix. Bullet work Oct 17th is promising. Price should be good.

$10 WP :4:

$5 Exacta Box :4: :8: :1:

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race 7

$10 WP :12:

$5 Exacta Box :2: :3: :12:


ON TOP winner at 4-1...missed yet another exacta. Totals thru 13 races played.

Bet $650
Ret $675
Net+$25

[ikeika]

BEL8 1

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race 8 The :4: . Toss last when eased. Maiden breaker two back puts this one in the mix. Bullet work Oct 17th is promising. Price should be good.

$10 WP :4:

$5 Exacta Box :4: :8: :1:

Top pick runs 2nd at 8-1...finally hit a decent exacta with the :8: . $2 Exacta Paid $106.50!! Totals thru 14 bets.

Bet $700
Ret $989.25
Net+$289.25

[precocity]

Top pick runs 2nd at 8-1...finally hit a decent exacta with the :8: . $2 Exacta Paid $106.50!! Totals thru 14 bets.

Bet $700
Ret $989.25
Net+$289.25
:ThmbUp:

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race 8 The :10: . 3rd time off the bench for Motion a 21% move. Price play at 10-1ML.

$10 WP :10:

$5 Exacta Box :10: :6: :2:

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race -9 Wide open affair that I think will produce some great payouts here. I've landed on the :4: at 10-1 on the ML. 3rd time off the layoff for Levine a 15% move and another 21% on the cutback to a sprint today. Takes a slight jump up in class for the return to the weeds, another 17% trainer angle to boot. Stalker has back races on the turf that would win this. Price should be right. My bets here:

$10 WP :4:

$5 Exacta Box :4: :8: :9:

[precocity]

kee-8
:12: :1: :11:

[Robert Fischer]

k8

:1::4::8::11:

guess race for me

result: caught unaware of the odds on the 10. The 10 should have been 5 or 6-1 but was 23-1 and I missed that., Jockey of 4 failed at the break, but the horse continued on to get a good workout. Still not a horse that I'm really crazy about next out, even with a stretch out in distance or jock change. 1 is complaining, either way a guess race that had logical finishers in which I made an error.

[ikeika]

BEL9 8

I like your thoughts about each race Kid Capper

[Robert Fischer]

really a sad run to the first turn by Albarado.

When the rail opens, being hesitant is a bad move with a tactical horse

[KidCapper]

BEL9 8

I like your thoughts about each race Kid Capper

It's kinda my way of justifying the play. One of the steps in the process of how I get to my picks.

[Robert Fischer]

Keeneland Race 8 The :10: . 3rd time off the bench for Motion a 21% move. Price play at 10-1ML.

$10 WP :10:

$5 Exacta Box :10: :6: :2:

tough break :ThmbUp:

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race 8 The :10: . 3rd time off the bench for Motion a 21% move. Price play at 10-1ML.

$10 WP :10:

$5 Exacta Box :10: :6: :2:

Ran 2nd at 23-1 and was promptly taken down by objection. :bang:
Totals thru 15 plays.

Bet $750
Ret $989.25
Net+$239.25

[KidCapper]

Belmont Race -9 Wide open affair that I think will produce some great payouts here. I've landed on the :4: at 10-1 on the ML. 3rd time off the layoff for Levine a 15% move and another 21% on the cutback to a sprint today. Takes a slight jump up in class for the return to the weeds, another 17% trainer angle to boot. Stalker has back races on the turf that would win this. Price should be right. My bets here:

$10 WP :4:

$5 Exacta Box :4: :8: :9:

So much for my longshot theory...ran 4th.5th. Totals with one more race to go at Keeneland.

Bet $800
Ret $989.25
Net+$189.25

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race -9 The :9: 15-1 ML shot easily won last on the mud at Beulah. 3rd time off the layoff and take a logical jump up in class here. Speed to lead this group. Bombs Away!!

$10 WP :9:

$5 Exacta Box :9: :10: :1:

[ldiatone]

r9 kee :4: :6: :12:

[precocity]

ke-9
:11: :10: :7: :3: box

[KidCapper]

Keeneland Race -9 The :9: 15-1 ML shot easily won last on the mud at Beulah. 3rd time off the layoff and take a logical jump up in class here. Speed to lead this group. Bombs Away!!

$10 WP :9:

$5 Exacta Box :9: :10: :1:

Here are the totals for the day.

Played 17 Races at Belmont & Keeneland:

Bet $850
Ret $989.25
Net+$149.25

Not a bad day when playing every race at these 2 tracks.

As always, thanks for reading.

KidCapper

[ldiatone]

r9 kee :4: :6: :12:
son of bee... stupid lousy thread about jeff beck.....missed my wager on this race while watching the dumb you tube video posted by tom by the yardbirds :rolleyes: :faint: ;)
(and no i was NOT gaga over the violinist)