letswastemoney
10-05-2013, 12:23 AM
Keeneland kicked my ass today. Back to Belmont.
Race 8
BRIS PPs (http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewer.php?track=BEL&race=8¶m1=345¶m2=5520¶m3=1062864)
You have to take a stand here with running styles. Either you think speed will hold, or a collapse will occur. I'm hoping for the latter scenario.
The closers to consider are #1 Admiral Kitten (7/2), #2 War Dancer (4/1), #4 Balance the Books (5/1), #5 Jack Milton (6/1), and #11 Up with the Birds (8/1).
Race 9
BRIS PPs (http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewer.php?track=BEL&race=9¶m1=6210¶m2=345¶m3=1195722)
#1 Sweet Reason (8/5) owns the high speed figures obviously. She can win, but this is her first start on fast dirt.
There is more to #6 Divided Attention (8/1) than what she's shown so far. A.P. Indy types tend to improve slowly, but surely, and this one could be in line for another step up. Divided Attention's half-sister Folklore won the 2005 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies.
#2 Artemis Argrotera (6/1) is third on my preference list, with a trainer that wins at 28% out of 32 when switching his horses to a route.
Race 10
BRIS PPs (http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewer.php?track=BEL&race=10¶m1=6900¶m2=345¶m3=1328580)
I don't see how #5 Honor Code (3/1) loses. The race completely sets up for him, and note the second place finisher in his maiden win, Misconnect, ran strongly in his maiden win last time out.
Race 11
BRIS PPs (http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewer.php?track=BEL&race=11¶m1=7590¶m2=345¶m3=1461438)
In this race, it may be a good idea to look for some bombs. #8 Face the Race (15/1) is long odds despite the high profile connections of trainer Matz and jockey Castellano.
#11 Northern Tripp (30/1) owns the best late pace figures in the race.
Other than those two, #4 Orino (5/2) and #7 With Exultation (3/1) are solid choices for obvious reasons.
#9 Grahamandwithers (6/1) will receive a favorable pace scenario for his up front style.
Race 8
BRIS PPs (http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewer.php?track=BEL&race=8¶m1=345¶m2=5520¶m3=1062864)
You have to take a stand here with running styles. Either you think speed will hold, or a collapse will occur. I'm hoping for the latter scenario.
The closers to consider are #1 Admiral Kitten (7/2), #2 War Dancer (4/1), #4 Balance the Books (5/1), #5 Jack Milton (6/1), and #11 Up with the Birds (8/1).
Race 9
BRIS PPs (http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewer.php?track=BEL&race=9¶m1=6210¶m2=345¶m3=1195722)
#1 Sweet Reason (8/5) owns the high speed figures obviously. She can win, but this is her first start on fast dirt.
There is more to #6 Divided Attention (8/1) than what she's shown so far. A.P. Indy types tend to improve slowly, but surely, and this one could be in line for another step up. Divided Attention's half-sister Folklore won the 2005 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies.
#2 Artemis Argrotera (6/1) is third on my preference list, with a trainer that wins at 28% out of 32 when switching his horses to a route.
Race 10
BRIS PPs (http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewer.php?track=BEL&race=10¶m1=6900¶m2=345¶m3=1328580)
I don't see how #5 Honor Code (3/1) loses. The race completely sets up for him, and note the second place finisher in his maiden win, Misconnect, ran strongly in his maiden win last time out.
Race 11
BRIS PPs (http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewer.php?track=BEL&race=11¶m1=7590¶m2=345¶m3=1461438)
In this race, it may be a good idea to look for some bombs. #8 Face the Race (15/1) is long odds despite the high profile connections of trainer Matz and jockey Castellano.
#11 Northern Tripp (30/1) owns the best late pace figures in the race.
Other than those two, #4 Orino (5/2) and #7 With Exultation (3/1) are solid choices for obvious reasons.
#9 Grahamandwithers (6/1) will receive a favorable pace scenario for his up front style.