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The Spaniard
09-23-2013, 05:21 PM
R1: unlucky :2: MAC N MAYO has run 5 beyers above par time in her last 6 races. She's due for a win but lacks early speed to get in contention. Speedy :4: COCOA'S IMAGE is an improver and dangerous. Closer :8: SAILORS PASTIME can win if in the mood, her A game is the best here.

NP

a $383.20 exacta (11-1 + 21-1)

The whales are ready to win

The Spaniard
09-23-2013, 05:47 PM
R2: tough puzzle, a race without pace. :4: TOUR IRELAND was nosed last time sprinting for the first time, unexposed at the distance. :1: HOBO TO HERO shows 7 seconds from 8 runs this year, amazing.

NP NP

:4: steadied badly, knocked out of the race
:1: lost the rider


a 716-1 exacta

the whales want to eat the bankrolls

The Spaniard
09-23-2013, 06:12 PM
R3: big dropper (2)SEVEN DEADLY SINS is cold in he betting, should be favorite. :10: SHANANA has done everything right since moved to tapeta, and if we take out the allowance races her curriculum is nearly perfect with wins at the 7500 a 12500 level. Back at 7,5k she's got a good chance.

NP

There is a big longshot bias: $24 > $42 > $30...

The Spaniard
09-23-2013, 06:40 PM
R4: last chance, a winner o moving to the Mountain. :1: PATIENCE OF JOB had a good form spin last year in September (2 wins) and in 2011 too (won big). Maybe she's a fall mare. With the drop :9: EASTER SERVICE will be flying late.

NP