PDA

View Full Version : FP Pick 3 (6-7-8)


cordep17
07-30-2013, 03:03 PM
Race 6
Claiming12500n2L
:1: Classy horse from Arlington and Hawthorne who ran through a FP maiden race in last. Has experience with a slightly off track
:2: MC winner first out. Trainer is always in the money with these last time out maiden winners. Got to set a slow pace vs worse. The 1 and 5 are faster, and he won't be ready for it.
:4: a second and third on the off track. In neither was he overly close on a sloppy track. Was 7 and 10 lengths back. Hard to see him beating the 1.
:5: Won in the slop in last vs similar. Third start of career. Still may be improving.

Race 7
Claiming3200nc
:1: Definitely a contender. Has been all around the par vs. similar. Has never won on an off track, but has been in the money plenty. Will probably be up pretty close on the rail right behind the leaders pressuring
:2: Has only recently got out of his n3L condition. He just proved that he absolutely can't handle Allowance company, and I think the step up to unconditioned racing is still a jump that shouldn't be precluded by a butt whoopin'.
:3: Has good connections who gave him some time off of the claim. Still, in my experience, the shippers from Beu never really transfer what they have done to FP. His PPs are route race filled, and he doesn't seem like much of a sprinter. He'll be back to his winning ways soon, I just don't think it happens here.
:4: Has been really competitive at the 4000 level, and his figures are above the par. He has won on the off-track a few times, one of which came just a few ago. Looks the one to beat.
:5: Has had a pretty poor 2013, and that is why he is 12/1 ML. He just got a layoff, and came back in a very short race for clm8000 and was competitive. With his back class and the possibility that the layoff made him a better horse, he is a must use.
:6: The Bill Steritz-Scott Becker combo. Tough decision. Didn't run to his odds in last, and they may be trying to get rid of him. Whatever. We've got a single in the next race, so we'll use him.
:7: Has been competitive vs. open company at hawthorne, and had a good race off the layoff.

Race 8
Claiming 3200b
This race is filled with a bunch of losers
:8: EMMY
Coming off of a win at a very similar condition...That race was in the slop.
Nice stalking type with a number of front running horses.

So...The Play---
1 5 / 4 5 6 7 / 8

cordep17
07-30-2013, 04:01 PM
Race 6








Claiming12500n2L
:1: Classy horse from Arlington and Hawthorne who ran through a FP maiden race in last. Has experience with a slightly off track
:2: MC winner first out. Trainer is always in the money with these last time out maiden winners. Got to set a slow pace vs worse. The 1 and 5 are faster, and he won't be ready for it.
:4: a second and third on the off track. In neither was he overly close on a sloppy track. Was 7 and 10 lengths back. Hard to see him beating the 1.
:5: Won in the slop in last vs similar. Third start of career. Still may be improving.





I thought the 5 was still in the race...he was scratched and the 6 was actually the horse not scratched.

We are now using the 6 and the 1

1 6 / 4 5 6 7 / 8

cordep17
07-30-2013, 05:25 PM
1 6 / 4 5 6 7 / 8

The 8 was beat a head and got 3rd.