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Brian Flewwelling
02-28-2004, 03:55 AM
I can't believe i am doing this!

Looking at things to include in a Track Profile, i ran some queries re Post Position.

Eureka: Post position 3 returns a net profit for 6 furlongs and for 1 mile 1/16.

This applies to this year and to the past 5 years. It was just below breakeven in 2003.

The post position returns winners at about what would be expected by the number of runners.

Requiring odds of >10-1 just cuts the number of bets, but returns similar results. Odds below 2-1 are a slight hinderance on 'your' returns



use at your own risk

Fleww

kenwoodallpromos
02-28-2004, 09:20 PM
Is that Ferndale track, humbolt Co Ca fair near the city of Eureka?

Brian Flewwelling
02-28-2004, 10:11 PM
OOOOPPPs :)

Gulfstream

ranchwest
02-29-2004, 09:59 AM
So, what do you plan to do with this information?

Pace Cap'n
02-29-2004, 11:03 AM
Bet $14.00

Returned $25.00

formula_2002
02-29-2004, 01:24 PM
Brian, your results may be skewed by a 6f winner at 72-1 on 1/3/04 and 1 1/16 winner on 77-1 winner on 2/9/03.


But in the odds range of <20-1, 244 6f horses in the 3 post returned a loss of but 8%. In 244 races at the 1 1/16 mile races, they returned only a 4% loss.

However, I have demonstrated such "promising figures" in the past , which unfortunately regress to the mean or about 18% loss.

If only the world was flat, we would have a level playng surface.

Joe M