Saratoga - Fri R7...is Dawly good enough?

[PhantomOnTour]

Taking a long look at this 12-1 ML runner for Rudy Rodriguez.
Obviously, he's a little win shy, but has been in all time form for his last five races....running fast vs good foes.
May not get the blinding pace war he would appreciate, but there's enough pace to give him a shot.
My figs have him among the best (along with Tenango and Strike One) and I doubt that 12-1 line holds. BRIS prime power has him ranked 2nd.

[ten2oneormore]

Yeah he is but its hard to say how any of Rudy's runners are going to run because most of them ran their good looking figs/races when he was a 25% trainer.

I think that race is Strike One's coming out party.

[Stillriledup]

All depends on if Rudy is BACK.

Know what i mean?

Dawly was full of run on Apr 27th, regressed a bit on May 23rd and was an even 2nd as the favorite (although losing to a good one) and was really empty on June 29th losing to horses he was supposed to beat. This June 29th "effort" was in the height of the RRR ice cold streak...so, if that "streak" is over, this horse can show massive improvement and bounce back to his Apr 27th race.

I think i have to see RRR perform at RRR levels before i start betting him. But, that all depends on Price, Warmups, how the track is playing, scratches, etc. but right now, i'm not thinking of investing money on RRR trained horses.

[jefftune]

The race looks pretty tough. I picked STRIKE ONE but I could see a number of them winning it (including Dawly).

-Jeff Tune
www.angelfire.com/pa/tune

[RaceBookJoe]

Think I will use Wall Dance as my longshot in the exotics.

[TheEdge07]

New Line

[magwell]

Tiletown Five comes up the horse to beat.... 7/8 his game

[PhantomOnTour]

One of the major reasons I like him is that he broke from the rail and raced on the rail during a week when that was not the place to be.

[Ron]

I'm betting Titletown Five.

[PhantomOnTour]

Titletown Five will be tough - he is the quickest of them all, but man, Lukas has run him all over and at many distances.
So far this year he has run 6f on dirt, 1m-1m1/16-1m1/8 & 1m3/16 on dirt and a 5f turf race....but he's almost always there when he sprints on dirt, esp fast dirt. Why no works since Jun 28 ?
Need someone to keep him honest early, but he stands a pretty good chance of getting away. I will use him on top but not for a lot of money. Lukas is much better when his runners make their 2nd start at the meet.

Strike One will be used more prominently as will Tenango...wildcard runner for me is Indy's Illusion.
But i'm sticking with Dawly - who likes the track and distance, has competitive figs, and a minor excuse for his last.
The only concern for me is Rudy's cold barn.

[PaceAdvantage]

I'm betting Titletown Five.Where the hell have you been? :lol:

[sammy the sage]

Reminds me of ANOTHER LuKas horse that ran w/a big gap in works in the Triple crown LAST 2 races...

[Hoofless_Wonder]

:10: gets an outside post for the first time in a while, and should get a nice trip. Alw1x races have me leaning towards the more lightly raced mules, but I could see almost any of these winning.

Playing the :7: with :3: - :6: - :10:

[pondman]

:7: New Line- 6 weeks from Bullets! 7 Furlongs Perfect! I'd take this one for 10-1.

:8: Indy's Illusion- not going to overlook this one at 12-1.

[jerry-g]

I like the :2: Tenango. He fin 2nd in an 85K by a nose. Hot Jockey
Trainer Combo.

[PhantomOnTour]

No - Dawly isn't quite good enough, but man did it hurt losing that 7-10 exacta late :mad:
got my price and he ran on well but had too much to do...finished 7-11-10

[Stillriledup]

I hear you, had the 7-10 also. But, RRR's horses don't 'rebreak' like they used to, they just 'run around there' this horse got 3rd strictly on talent and class, he had no extra 'burst'.

Time to file RRR into the "human" category, he's just another trainer, nothing especial about him anymore. Coincidentally, of course.

[Hoofless_Wonder]

Nice payouts. I didn't believe that figure on the 11. D'oh!!!

At least the 7 got left up for some win dough - thought the 2 might claim foul. Good ride by JR.

[PhantomOnTour]

He was in 2nd place for a few strides but got eaten up by the #11.
I thought he kicked it in rather well...he was just way too far back.

Race 8 - holy moly...I really thought i'd get a price on the :9: but he now looks like the chief speed with the scratches...5-2 odds currently :ThmbDown:

[Stillriledup]

He was in 2nd place for a few strides but got eaten up by the #11.
I thought he kicked it in rather well...he was just way too far back.

Race 8 - holy moly...I really thought i'd get a price on the :9: but he now looks like the chief speed with the scratches...5-2 odds currently :ThmbDown:

I dont really love that horse in there...his last win he was LONE SPEED and was handed the race in a slow internal pace. I'm also going to monitor Jacobson and make sure his horses are running out of their skin like they were at Belmont....his horse in the 7th was just even, no special burst from that one.

His horse here has a trumped up PP line due to an easy trip in a weak field these are far superior to what he faced that day imo.

[RaceBookJoe]

Nice call for those who had New Line :ThmbUp:

[Stillriledup]

Nice call for those who had New Line :ThmbUp:

Yes, Edger and Ponder, hope you guys hammered that!

[Exotic1]

I dont really love that horse in there...his last win he was LONE SPEED and was handed the race in a slow internal pace. I'm also going to monitor Jacobson and make sure his horses are running out of their skin like they were at Belmont....his horse in the 7th was just even, no special burst from that one.

His horse here has a trumped up PP line due to an easy trip in a weak field these are far superior to what he faced that day imo.

Correct on all accounts.

I'm going to monitor you and POT.

[Stillriledup]

Bahnah in the 8th.....watched her replay and gosh, the jockey looked bigger than the horse. Im not one for betting teeny tiny horses like this at high levels of competition, looking elsewhere.

[Exotic1]

A Better Tomw #2 in the 10th will find himself in front if the #12 is not pushed. Rosario could make the difference though the horse has never passed a horse in his races. #11 looks like he could be part of super if they don't go too fast.

[TheEdge07]

Yes, Edger and Ponder, hope you guys hammered that!

Had $70 win CB/-route>sprint 7F

[Stillriledup]

A Better Tomw #2 in the 10th will find himself in front if the #12 is not pushed. Rosario could make the difference though the horse has never passed a horse in his races. #11 looks like he could be part of super if they don't go too fast.

I like the 6 and 7. The 6 is a horse i have in my "barn notes" (see link below) and the 7 was pretty impressive visually last time, very strong kick for 2nd.

http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=104637

[Exotic1]

Interesting.