PDA

View Full Version : FORMULA'S UK AND SAF LAY BETS TRACK ODDS X 1.25


formula_2002
07-18-2013, 06:33 AM
THE CHALLANGE!
I'LL POST THE LAY BET HORSE, OFFER 1.25 X TRACK ODDS, AND STILL SHOW A PROFIT

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 06:54 AM
"SAF Vaal
Race
1

Post
6:55

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,877 "


bet #1

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 07:29 AM
"SAF Vaal
Race
2

Post
7:30

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,956 "

bet 12

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 09:20 AM
"UK Brighton
Race
1

Post
9:20

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,530 "


bet 5

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 09:24 AM
"UK Brighton
Race
1

Post
9:20

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,530 "


bet 5


5 wins . odds later

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 09:43 AM
5 wins . odds later


.40-1

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 09:54 AM
"SAF Vaal
Race
6

Post
9:55

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,727 "


lay 6

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 11:05 AM
"SAF Vaal
Race
8

Post
11:05

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$4,558 "


lay 1

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 12:50 PM
"UK Doncaster
Race
1

Post
12:50

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,753 "


lay 5

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 01:09 PM
"UK Epsom
Race
1

Post
1:09

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$886 "


lay 2

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 01:15 PM
"UK Epsom
Race
1

Post
1:09

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$886 "


lay 2


2 wins at 2.1-1
2 wins odds later

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 01:27 PM
the following two win best were post incorrectly to another thread

uk brighton r 5 bet 3 lost
uk brighton r 7 bet 4 won at .5-1

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 01:35 PM
results through note 12

paid out $3.63 for 4 lay bets. .37 profit

5 back bets returned 2.90 for a 2.10 loss

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 01:40 PM
"UK Epsom
Race
2

Post
1:40

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$682 "


lay 3

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 01:42 PM
"UK Epsom
Race
2

Post
1:40

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$682 "


lay 3

3 wins odds later

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 02:15 PM
"UK Epsom
Race
3

Post
2:15

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,658 "


lay 3, bet 7

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 02:17 PM
3 wins odds later
wins at 1.2-1

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 02:18 PM
"UK Epsom
Race
3

Post
2:15

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,658 "


lay 3, bet 7
3 wins 7 places

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 03:50 PM
"UK Epsom
Race
6

Post
3:50

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,965 "


lay 1

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 03:51 PM
3 wins 7 places
3, won at 1.3-1

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 04:00 PM
"UK Doncaster
Race
7

Post
4:00

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,197 "


lay 5

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 04:04 PM
"UK Doncaster
Race
7

Post
4:00

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,197 "


lay 5

5 wins

formula_2002
07-18-2013, 04:19 PM
5 wins
wins at 3.2-1

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 09:25 AM
"SAF Arlington
Race
5

Post
9:25

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,031 "


lay 1

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 10:25 AM
"UK Newbury
Race
4

Post
10:25

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$5,567 "


lay 1

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 12:52 PM
"UK Newmarket
Race
1

Post
12:45

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,040 "


6 to win

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 12:55 PM
"UK Newmarket
Race
1

Post
12:45

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,040 "


6 to win

6 wins odds later

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 01:18 PM
6 wins odds later
.8-1

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 01:21 PM
results through note 28

paid out $13.75 for 10 lay bets. 3.75 loss

7 back bets returned 4.70 for a 2.30 loss

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 01:29 PM
"UK Pontefract
Race
1

Post
1:30

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,268 "


lay 5

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 01:34 PM
"UK Pontefract
Race
1

Post
1:30

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,268 "


lay 5

5 wins

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 01:40 PM
"UK Hamilton
Race
2

Post
1:39

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$590 "


lay 2

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 01:59 PM
"UK Pontefract
Race
2

Post
2:00

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,255 "

lay 4

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 02:01 PM
5 wins
.5-1

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 02:05 PM
"UK Pontefract
Race
2

Post
2:00

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,255 "

lay 4


4 wins with over $20,000 late money in teh exacta pool.
seem typical for these uk races..

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 02:14 PM
"UK Hamilton
Race
3

Post
2:15

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,285 "


b et 2

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 02:17 PM
"UK Hamilton
Race
3

Post
2:15

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,285 "


b et 2


2 wins

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 03:07 PM
"UK Pontefract
Race
4

Post
3:05

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,417 "

lay 1

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 03:09 PM
"UK Pontefract
Race
4

Post
3:05

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,417 "

lay 1

1 wins

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 05:11 PM
2 wins
.8-1

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 05:13 PM
1 wins
.4-1

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 05:29 PM
4 wins with over $20,000 late money in teh exacta pool.
seem typical for these uk races..
2.1-1

formula_2002
07-19-2013, 09:59 PM
results through note 42

paid out $22.25 for 14 lay bets. 8.25 loss

8 back bets returned 6.50 for a 1.52 loss

some of the late money threw off the analysis.
just about all plays, both back and lay, should go off at less than 2-1.
there were 3 lay horses that won at odds of 2.1-1, another at 2.1-1 and 3.2-1.
I can make the adjustment,

formula_2002
07-20-2013, 08:10 AM
"SAF Turffontein
Race
4

Post
8:10

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,437 "


lay 14

formula_2002
07-20-2013, 08:15 AM
"SAF Turffontein
Race
4

Post
8:10

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,437 "


lay 14

went from 2-1 to 9/2 in less than 2 min to post.
$22,000 + in final exacta pool. 14 horse placed.

formula_2002
07-20-2013, 08:50 AM
"UK Newmarket
Race
1

Post
8:50

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$3,777 "


lay 8

formula_2002
07-20-2013, 08:54 AM
"SAF Kenilworth
Race
4

Post
8:55

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,224 "


lay 4

formula_2002
07-20-2013, 09:25 AM
"UK Newmarket
Race
2

Post
9:25

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$4,573 "

lay 7

formula_2002
07-20-2013, 09:28 AM
"UK Newmarket
Race
2

Post
9:25

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$4,573 "

lay 7


7 wins

formula_2002
07-20-2013, 10:53 AM
7 wins
1-1

formula_2002
07-20-2013, 11:05 AM
"SAF Turffontein
Race
9

Post
11:05

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$4,445 "

lay 11

formula_2002
07-20-2013, 12:40 PM
results through note 51

paid out $23.50 for 19 lay bets. 4.50 loss

8 back bets returned 6.50 for a 1.52 loss

formula_2002
07-21-2013, 09:00 AM
"SAF Scottsville
Race
6

Post
9:00

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$4,831 "


8 to win

formula_2002
07-21-2013, 09:10 AM
"UK Redcar
Race
1

Post
9:10

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,997 "


lay 5

formula_2002
07-21-2013, 09:14 AM
"UK Redcar
Race
1

Post
9:10

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,997 "


lay 5


5 wins

formula_2002
07-21-2013, 10:40 AM
"UK Redcar
Race
4

Post
10:40

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,204 "


lay 1
bet 3

formula_2002
07-21-2013, 10:42 AM
5 wins
2.5-1

formula_2002
07-21-2013, 10:44 AM
"UK Redcar
Race
4

Post
10:40

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,204 "


lay 1
bet 3


3 wins

formula_2002
07-21-2013, 10:59 AM
"UK Stratford
Race
4

Post
11:00

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,765 "


lay 2

formula_2002
07-21-2013, 11:33 AM
3 wins
1.3-1

formula_2002
07-21-2013, 11:36 AM
"UK Stratford
Race
4

Post
11:00

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,765 "


lay 2


2 wins 1.5-1

formula_2002
07-21-2013, 11:39 AM
results through note 61

paid out $28.50 for 22 lay bets. 6.50 loss

10 back bets returned 8.80 for a 1.20 loss
__________________

formula_2002
07-21-2013, 11:48 AM
"UK Newton Abbot
Race
6

Post
11:49

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$970 "


lay 6

formula_2002
07-21-2013, 11:56 AM
"UK Newton Abbot
Race
6

Post
11:49

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$970 "


lay 6

6 wins

formula_2002
07-21-2013, 12:00 PM
"UK Stratford
Race
6

Post
12:00

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,269 "


lay 1

formula_2002
07-21-2013, 12:21 PM
ok here is how I see why these results don't compare to USA racing.

the 2 min to post time pools are too small

when exacta pool size is a min of $3000 at 2 min to post:
8 lay bets returned 1 winner at 1-1 odds.
payout was 1.25 leading to a $6.75 profit.