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View Full Version : Bel R8 - Divadora


PhantomOnTour
06-12-2013, 10:00 AM
Kind of a scramble in this one but I believe the :10: Divadora can sit all over this pace (or even lead this bunch) all the way.
Been off since Oct but has a solid worktab and the winning jock returns in Lezcano.

Doesn't appear to be much speed here - certainly no certified E's signed on and I think Divadora gets the outside stalk/duel trip - prominent throughout if fit off the shelf.
Using with:
:2: - I admit to being drawn to this guy for some reason...he ain't much on paper
:5: - got a cozy trip in last and hung...maybe cutback to 6f is better for dependable late runner
:9: - may be the one to beat off nice MSW win, but pace figs are weak for this stalker...tires trying to keep pace early???

Tossing the #6 as she couldn't have drawn it up better last time - fading duelers in front on a day when E types didn't fare too well

ML on the :10: is 6-1...I will accept as low as 4-1 for a win bet
Good luck

Stillriledup
06-12-2013, 04:03 PM
The 9 horse is visually impressive on tape, i really liked what i saw. I wont be backing her if she's 4-5, but she's pretty decent. The 7 is also decent to my eye.

Betting 2nd time starter fillies who were impressive first time out is really tricky, but this 9 horse seemed to have done it the 'right way' so, hopefully she can come back and do it again the right way.

GL with your pick, i think she does have a good shot and i like your logic.

Ocala Mike
06-12-2013, 04:41 PM
My "divide by" system comes up with the :7: .

Small win bet, and small exactas :3: :6: :9: :10: / :7: .

cordep17
06-12-2013, 04:43 PM
I like the 9 as well.
It seems like you can kind of see what you are going to get from the rest of the field. This one came out as a first time starter and won impressively.

I agree that it is going to be a slow pace, but with the expected improvement from the 9, He should be just as close to it as the 10.

9 deserves to be the favorite, but the 10 def doesn't belong at 14/1.

I would:
:9: -win

Longshot play is the 3
:3: -WP

:9: :3: exacta box

:9: /:3: :4: :5: :7: :10:

PhantomOnTour
06-12-2013, 04:44 PM
Big price on my pick kinda scares me - gonna spread a little and use the #6 that I previously disliked:

ex: 2-5-6-9 w 10
win: 10

cordep17
06-12-2013, 04:48 PM
Very good job with the :10:

I was pretty dang wrong

RaceBookJoe
06-12-2013, 04:48 PM
Nice call on Divadora at 12-1 :ThmbUp:

ManU918
06-12-2013, 04:48 PM
12-1 Great call!!!!!!!!

Stillriledup
06-12-2013, 04:49 PM
Crush Job. I used her all over the place, but didnt tie her up, Great pick POT, well done!

cordep17
06-12-2013, 04:49 PM
Big price on my pick kinda scares me - gonna spread a little and use the #6 that I previously disliked:

ex: 2-5-6-9 w 10
win: 10

Oh no... didn't have the 10 on top?

Ocala Mike
06-12-2013, 04:50 PM
Great pick, Phantom!

As has been happening a lot lately, the double will pays can't be trusted (witness Friday's feature and the Belmont). Needed the :7: for place; alas!

Stick to your handicapping, and don't be scared off by the "cold" board.

Striker
06-12-2013, 04:50 PM
Great call PoT!!

PhantomOnTour
06-12-2013, 04:50 PM
"I love it when a plan comes together"
-George Peppard

"Sort of..."
-PhantomOnTour


Could have CRUSHED that thing if I used Divadora on top as I liked the runner up at 9-1, but I shouldn't complain about the win price as it's been a tough meet so far, esp Belmont Stks day.

Thx for the kudos y'all :ThmbUp:

Exotic1
06-12-2013, 05:23 PM
Excellent. Come on, you wrote a whole book on the horse. The real deal.

RaceBookJoe
06-13-2013, 12:52 PM
Just want to say that I appreciate that you gave your explanation for your pick, just didn't post a #. Kidcapper used to do that, haven't seen him lately but when posters explain why they like or dislike a horse/horses it means more to those reading. Good job