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View Full Version : BELMONT DAY, FORMULA'S 1 MIN TO POST TIME FAV. WIN BET BASED ON EXACTA BOARD MATRIX


formula_2002
06-08-2013, 09:32 AM
LAST 117 RACES W/O BACK FITTING.
PROPORTIONAL ODDS BET RESULTS:
ALL FAV 1 MIN TO POST:.85 ROI
WHEN FAV IN NOT A BET: .74 ROI, 31% winners in 72 RACES

WHEN FAV IS A BET: 1.06 ROI, 44% WINNERS IN 45 RACES.

WILL POST TODAY'S PICKS WHENEVER I CAN

GOOD LUCK

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 12:10 PM
"Belmont
Race
2

Post
12:07

MTP
0

$1 Exacta Pool
$425,110 "

LATE TO THE WINDOW WITH A LAY BET ON THE 5.. WHO DID INDEED LOOSE

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 12:39 PM
"Belmont
Race
3

Post
12:39

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$412,289 "


LAY #9

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 12:56 PM
"Parx Racing
Race
2

Post
12:53

MTP
0

$2 Exacta Pool
$14,523 "

lay 1.9-1 against 6

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 01:01 PM
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
1

Post
1:00

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$53,056 "

bet 46 on 2

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 01:12 PM
"Belmont
Race
4

Post
1:11

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$411,614 "

lay 4-1 on 9

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 01:30 PM
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
2

Post
1:28

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$58,920 "


lay 2.8-1 on 5

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 01:35 PM
so far, after 6 plays, ahead in both lay and back bets

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 01:53 PM
"Belmont
Race
5

Post
1:52

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$607,111 "

lay 2.8-1 0n 6

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 01:57 PM
"Parx Racing
Race
4

Post
1:56

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$13,249 "

lay 1.5 on 2

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 03:00 PM
"Parx Racing
Race
6

Post
3:00

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$21,588 "

lay 1.7-1 on 1

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 03:22 PM
"Belmont
Race
7

Post
3:15

MTP
0

$1 Exacta Pool
$610,926 "

#1 to win wrong call at 1st the 1 was the play

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 03:51 PM
"Arlington
Race
5

Post
3:50

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$34,440 "

back #5

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 03:59 PM
"Belmont
Race
8

Post
3:58

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$647,108 "
back 3

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 04:33 PM
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
8

Post
4:32

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$69,200 "

lay 2.7-1 #4

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 04:41 PM
"Belmont
Race
9

Post
4:41

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$853,401 "
lay 3.3-1 #11

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 04:46 PM
"Parx Racing
Race
9

Post
4:45

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$14,383 "

lay 1-9 # 2

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 05:17 PM
results through 12 races

win bets: 2 win in 4 plays returned a 1.07 roi

lay bets:
lost 2 of 8 lay bets
$3.51 returned to bettors. my net $6-$3.51= $2.49 profit

in those 8 races, the track offered odds totaling 17.85, my offeres totaled 21.75...21% greater than the track!!!

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 05:23 PM
"Arlington
Race
8

Post
5:23

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$56,184 "

back #9 for 24

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 06:37 PM
"Belmont
Race
11

Post
6:36

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$9,828,002 "

26 to win on 5 orb

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 07:51 PM
"Belmont
Race
13

Post
7:50

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$310,085 "
lay 1 2.4-1

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 09:14 PM
"Penn National
Race
8

Post
9:13

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$12,223 "


22 on #2

formula_2002
06-08-2013, 09:46 PM
a powerful day

full recap tomorrow

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 05:39 AM
results through 24 races

win bets: 4 win in 8 plays returned a 1.20 roi

lay bets:
lost 5 of 16 lay bets
$10.34 returned to bettors. my net $16.00-$15.34= $0.65 profit

in those 16 races, the track offered odds totaling $30.15, my offeres totaled $41.35..37% greater than the track.. and I still returned a profit !!!

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 11:00 AM
"UK Perth
Race
4

Post
11:00

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,637 "


40 on the 4

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 11:31 AM
"UK Perth
Race
5

Post
11:30

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$6,200 "

lay 5-1 on 11

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 11:46 AM
"UK Nottingham
Race
6

Post
11:45

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$4,075 "

lay 4.8-1 on 5

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 01:25 PM
"Monmouth
Race
2

Post
1:20

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$40,956 "


lay 2.3 on the 3--corrected

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 01:42 PM
"Churchill
Race
3

Post
1:42

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$54,248 "


43 to win #4

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 01:54 PM
"Monmouth
Race
3

Post
1:53

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$51,651 "

lay 2.5 on 6

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 02:01 PM
"Arlington
Race
1

Post
2:00

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$13,644 "


34 to win 1

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 02:10 PM
"Woodbine T-bred
Race
3

Post
2:09

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$74,289 "
lay 1.35-1 on 1

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 02:13 PM
"Churchill
Race
4

Post
2:12

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$45,831 "

bet 31 on 5

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 02:23 PM
"Monmouth
Race
4

Post
2:23

MTP
2

$1 Exacta Pool
$58,955 "
lay 3.1 on 8

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 02:33 PM
"Arlington
Race
2

Post
2:32

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$26,847 "


bet 24 on 3

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 02:54 PM
"Monmouth
Race
5

Post
2:53

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$46,035 "

lay 2.7 on 1

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 03:05 PM
"Arlington
Race
3

Post
3:04

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$36,762 "

lay #3 at 3.1-1

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 03:14 PM
"Churchill
Race
6

Post
3:12

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$53,014 "


no play, but say bet #2 lay #5

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 04:40 PM
"Arlington
Race
6

Post
4:39

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$28,333 "

lay 4-1 on 2

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 04:45 PM
"Churchill
Race
9

Post
4:44

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$39,115 "

lay 6 at 1.7-1

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 04:54 PM
"Monmouth
Race
9

Post
4:53

MTP
0

$1 Exacta Pool
$72,035 "
bet 22 on #11

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 07:10 PM
RESULTED FOR TODAY'S POSTED AND NOT POSTED USA RACES

win bets: 3 win in 7 plays returned a 1.16 roi


lay bets:
lost 1 of 10 lay bets
$2.33 returned to bettors. my net $10-$3.33= $6.67 profit

in those 10 races, the track offered odds totaling 21.20
my offeres totaled 28.18...33% greater than the track!!!

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 08:43 PM
"Mountaineer
Race
5

Post
8:42

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$10,459 "

lay 1 at .44-1

formula_2002
06-09-2013, 09:07 PM
"Mountaineer
Race
6

Post
9:06

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$11,061 "


lay 5 at 2.5-1

formula_2002
06-10-2013, 04:46 PM
"Delaware
Race
8

Post
4:45

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$9,487 "


lay 1 at 1.2-1

formula_2002
06-10-2013, 04:51 PM
"Delaware
Race
8

Post
4:45

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$9,487 "


lay 1 at 1.2-1


welll that was no big offer.
Perhaps I should have a "caviat". a min offer of 20% over trak odds :cool:

formula_2002
06-10-2013, 04:54 PM
"Finger Lakes
Race
9

Post
4:53

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$10,658 "

lay #2 at 2-1

formula_2002
06-10-2013, 05:00 PM
"Finger Lakes
Race
9

Post
4:53

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$10,658 "

lay #2 at 2-1


that was a better offer.. it went off at 1.5-1 ..and lost :)

formula_2002
06-10-2013, 07:25 PM
"Mountaineer
Race
2

Post
7:25

MTP
2

$2 Exacta Pool
$8,162 "


lay 2 at .53-1