Mr. Trifecta's Running Aces Picks 6/2/13

[precisionk]

Here go for tonight!

R1: 3,4,5

R2: 2,1,3,4

R3: 1,5,2,3

R4: 5,2,4,1

R5: 5,4,2,8 Mr. Trifecta’s Longshot of the Night! .50 Pick-6: 4,5 w 1,2,3,4,5 w 2,4,7 w 6 w 5,7 w 7 – $30

R6: 4,5,2

R7: 2,7,4,6

R8: 6,5,4,3 Mr. Trifecta’s Pick of the Night!

R9: 7,5,4,1

R10: 7,4,5,6

[precisionk]

Results:

R1: 5,3,2 Place $3.60....$2.10 $1 Exacta box 3,4,5......$28.60

R2: Out

R3: Out

R4: 5,4,6 Win $4.80....$3.00....$2.40 $1 Exacta box 5,2,4......$5.70

R5: Out

R6: 4,1,3 Win $4.20....$2.40....$2.40

R7: 2,7,6 Win $8.80....$5.20....$2.80 $1 Exacta box 2,7,4......$39.90

R8: Out

R9: 8,7,1 Place $3.60....$3.00

R10: Out


All Races: Win Rate 30%, Board Hit 50%, Wagered $164, Returned $92, ROI -41%

[traynor]

Results:

R1: 5,3,2 Place $3.60....$2.10 $1 Exacta box 3,4,5......$28.60

R2: Out

R3: Out

R4: 5,4,6 Win $4.80....$3.00....$2.40 $1 Exacta box 5,2,4......$5.70

R5: Out

R6: 4,1,3 Win $4.20....$2.40....$2.40

R7: 2,7,6 Win $8.80....$5.20....$2.80 $1 Exacta box 2,7,4......$39.90

R8: Out

R9: 8,7,1 Place $3.60....$3.00

R10: Out


All Races: Win Rate 30%, Board Hit 50%, Wagered $164, Returned $92, ROI -41%

That is precisely the pattern I was referring to in a previous post. I have no idea why, but it seems your best results follow poor results, and your poor results follow the best results. I think anyone tracking your selections more than superficially would concur.

That opens a door of opportunity for those given to tracking the performance of poublic selectors (for their own use). Do not zig when you should be zagging. Win a bundle on Mr. Trifecta's selections, sit out the next day, and just watch the action. Lose a few dollars for the day, keep slogging, because Mr. Trifecta will rebound soon.

Viewed as a field of values, consider the advantage overall of tossing out the day after a good ROI as a "pass day." It boots the bottom line substantially.

[traynor]

I should probably clarify that I don't regard the last Northfield results as "preceding" the opening night at Running Aces. New track, start over.