Overlay in $1 Million Guaranteed Pick 6?

[Under Wraps]

No carryover heading in to today. Anyone think they might not hit the $1,000,000? It has never handled $1,000,000 without a carryover.

[Stillriledup]

I think the huge key to those that didnt hit the million is this. How hard is the sequence? The short(ish) fields early on (8 horses) and the Woodford which looked like you can get away with going 2 deep lets people feel like they actually have a shot.

I had some tickets worked out that went 2 deep in the Woodford and singled Orb, but when it rained, i didnt play into it and bet the pick 5 instead.

But, the key with these guarantees is how hard does it look. If there are a handful of 12 horse fields where anyone can win, a lot of people stay away from those really hard pick 6s unless there's a carryover.

This was one that looked hittable and that's why they easily made the guarantee.