KidCapper
05-04-2013, 09:00 AM
Picks for Debry day 2013. Playing $10 WP on my selections. The picks:
Race -1 The :1: . Hard to argue with what this filly has done so far. Winner of last with a 105 Bris figure which is by far this field's high last out number. Stall hits at 26% off the short layoff and she reunites with the hot riding Bridgmohan. 8-5 seems about right.
Race -2 The :2: . Drops back in with friends today for Kenneally. Short break after the G3 attempt last out and trainer hits at 21% off the layoff. Bullet work best of 50 Apr 20th for this and Apr 27th work may have been better. Expect big effort here.
Race -3 The :3: . Dropping in off the G2 effort at Oaklawn. Trainer McPeek takes the blinkers off today for a 29% move. Returns to the turf for a 15% dirt-to-turf trainer angle. The class of this group at 4-1 on the line.
Race -4 The :5: . 2nd career race for Margolis hitting at 26% with the move. Goes from AW-to-dirt for another 19% angle. Has some nice works over dirt surfaces for this & Bridgmohan up for the re-ride. 6-1 the price is right.
Race -5 The :8: . Kentucky Derby hopeful lands here for the West's and trainer Baffert. Shipping in from Fg for 30% shipping trainer. Huge class drop alone gets this one home today.
Race -6 The :8: . Trainer Jones 27% off the freshening. Winner when last seen at FG in March. Rosie up for the ride today a plus. Stalker on the outside should sit a great trip here.
Race -7 The :1: . Speed and the rail usually a good spot on Derby day when the track seems to tighten up a bit. 3rd time off the layoff for Kenneally hitting at 16% with the move. 33% Aw-to-dirt trainer returns this one CD where she won wire-to-wire at this tricky distance. 5-1 is good here.
Race -8 The :5: . Won for fun in what was really a public workout in last. Jumps into a Graded Stakes today for Shug hitting 24% 2nd off the shelf. Owns the highest Bris figure at the distance today with Castellano up.
Race -9 The :9: . Hard to argue with what this Maggi Moss-Amoss runner has done this year so far. A 114 Bris figure last out would smoke these. Trainer 26% off the short layoff. Gets a little class test today for solid connections.
Race -10 The :8: . A two horse race with the 9 in here. Won last without really taking a deep breath over the Keeneland weeds. Bullet work April 24th for this. LoPresti 37% after winning last.
Race -11 The Kentucky Derby. I've landed on the :8: here. Winner of a fast Santa Anita Derby last out. 3rd time off the layoff for defending champ O'Neil hitting at 19% with the move. Goldencents...for the win!! (3-5-6-8 for the super)
Race -12 The :2: . Turns back to a sprint for Romans today who hit at 21% with the move. Highest last out Bris figure to boot. Stalker should get a good trip in here. Repeat of last takes this.
Race -13 The :5: . Last race of the day and we're taking this one home at 5-1 on the line. Gets Lasix for the 1st time today and stretches out to a route off 2 sprints a 13% trainer move. Bejarano up for the ride.
Good Luck N Good Racing From The KidCapper!!
Race -1 The :1: . Hard to argue with what this filly has done so far. Winner of last with a 105 Bris figure which is by far this field's high last out number. Stall hits at 26% off the short layoff and she reunites with the hot riding Bridgmohan. 8-5 seems about right.
Race -2 The :2: . Drops back in with friends today for Kenneally. Short break after the G3 attempt last out and trainer hits at 21% off the layoff. Bullet work best of 50 Apr 20th for this and Apr 27th work may have been better. Expect big effort here.
Race -3 The :3: . Dropping in off the G2 effort at Oaklawn. Trainer McPeek takes the blinkers off today for a 29% move. Returns to the turf for a 15% dirt-to-turf trainer angle. The class of this group at 4-1 on the line.
Race -4 The :5: . 2nd career race for Margolis hitting at 26% with the move. Goes from AW-to-dirt for another 19% angle. Has some nice works over dirt surfaces for this & Bridgmohan up for the re-ride. 6-1 the price is right.
Race -5 The :8: . Kentucky Derby hopeful lands here for the West's and trainer Baffert. Shipping in from Fg for 30% shipping trainer. Huge class drop alone gets this one home today.
Race -6 The :8: . Trainer Jones 27% off the freshening. Winner when last seen at FG in March. Rosie up for the ride today a plus. Stalker on the outside should sit a great trip here.
Race -7 The :1: . Speed and the rail usually a good spot on Derby day when the track seems to tighten up a bit. 3rd time off the layoff for Kenneally hitting at 16% with the move. 33% Aw-to-dirt trainer returns this one CD where she won wire-to-wire at this tricky distance. 5-1 is good here.
Race -8 The :5: . Won for fun in what was really a public workout in last. Jumps into a Graded Stakes today for Shug hitting 24% 2nd off the shelf. Owns the highest Bris figure at the distance today with Castellano up.
Race -9 The :9: . Hard to argue with what this Maggi Moss-Amoss runner has done this year so far. A 114 Bris figure last out would smoke these. Trainer 26% off the short layoff. Gets a little class test today for solid connections.
Race -10 The :8: . A two horse race with the 9 in here. Won last without really taking a deep breath over the Keeneland weeds. Bullet work April 24th for this. LoPresti 37% after winning last.
Race -11 The Kentucky Derby. I've landed on the :8: here. Winner of a fast Santa Anita Derby last out. 3rd time off the layoff for defending champ O'Neil hitting at 19% with the move. Goldencents...for the win!! (3-5-6-8 for the super)
Race -12 The :2: . Turns back to a sprint for Romans today who hit at 21% with the move. Highest last out Bris figure to boot. Stalker should get a good trip in here. Repeat of last takes this.
Race -13 The :5: . Last race of the day and we're taking this one home at 5-1 on the line. Gets Lasix for the 1st time today and stretches out to a route off 2 sprints a 13% trainer move. Bejarano up for the ride.
Good Luck N Good Racing From The KidCapper!!