THe IDEALISTIC FACTOR

[ezpace]

for your handicapping ; )
maybe some of you guys will
finally give up the chinese wheel
and the redboarders can say
"see i told you so" after READING lol
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/04/130422154923.htm#.UXb6SRpDsq8.twitter

[pondman]

Computers on their own will never be able to modulate information, compartmentalizing it without the help of the human brain. As I've said many times at PA, the Bell curve is the wrong tool for Handicapping horses. You can waste a great deal of time going down that road and have nothing to show for it. Observe something at 1 track. Study it. But don't try and broadcast it a generically to all tracks. Because what works at one track will suck money out of your wallet at another. It takes the human brain to see the small steps.

[dkithore]

for your handicapping ; )
maybe some of you guys will
finally give up the chinese wheel
and the redboarders can say
"see i told you so" after READING lol
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/04/130422154923.htm#.UXb6SRpDsq8.twitter

Ezpace

Thank you for posting. I am trying to understand what it means practically. Can you simplify a little for me? I will reread a couple of times to get it. In my reading of the book "success Equation", the author did use the baseball games as an example of a game with more skills than luck, hence more predictable but horse racing is different. May be I will seek researcher's view on it.

Thanks for taking the time to stimulate our thinking.

[raybo]

IMO, for racing, this approach is ridiculous. Obviously, in the training, the "idealistic" group only had access to a single factor, win ranking. Single factor prediction in horse racing doesn't work, and never will. Other factors will always have to be included, unless your goal is to reach the hit rate of the public while losing money.