Mr. Trifecta's Maywood Park Picks 4/11/13

[precisionk]

Testing out a new betting strategy and refocusing my game to see how it works out. Focusing on mainly the winner. This could be used to dutch, but tonight I am not. I put my 2nd choice in my small $1 2 horse exacta box to see how it play. Good luck!


R1: #4-Bust My Chops-8/5 TML......Exacta box 4,6 Mr. Trifecta's Pick of the Night!

R2: #2-I Don't Rember-4/5 TML......Exacta box 2,1

R3: #5-Buttered Noodles-6/1 TML......Exacta box 5,6

R4: #2-Jenna W Rivndel-6/1 TML......Exacta box 2,5 Mr. Trifecta's Longshot of the Night!

R5: #4-Reagans Conquest-1/1 TML......Exacta box 4,8

R6: #6-Game Belief-4/5 TML......Exacta box 6,4

R7: #1-Sports Scooter-6/5 TML......Exacta box 1,4

R8: #2-Furious Five-4/5 TML......Exacta box 2,4 Mr. Trifecta's Lock of the Night!

R9: #5-Fox Valley Touche-1/1 TML......Exacta box 5,1 Pick-4: 1,3,5 w 2,4 w 2,5,6 w 1,6, - $36

R10: #4-Wild Berry Muffler-7/2 TML......Exacta box 4,2

R11: #2-Little Sweethart-2/1 TML......Exacta box 2,6

R12: #6-Fancy Too-8/5 TML......Exacta box 6,1

[traynor]

The new format looks great! Good luck!

[precisionk]

R1: 6,4,8 Place $4.20....$2.80 $1 Exacta box 4,6......$18.10

[precisionk]

R2: 4,8,2 Show $2.20

[traynor]

R1: 6,4,8 Place $4.20....$2.80 $1 Exacta box 4,6......$18.10

Anyone following along should note that the price of a $1 two-horse exacta box is only $2, compared to the $6 cost of a three-horse exacta box. $18.10 is a nice return for a $2 bet!

[precisionk]

R5: 4,8,2 Win $3.00....$2.10....$2.10 $1 COLD exacta box 4,8......$4.50 Non-bet

[precisionk]

R6: 6,2,3 Win $5.40....$3.60....$2.80

[precisionk]

R7: 4,1,8 Place $3.20....$2.40 $1 Exacta box 1,4......$2.90

[precisionk]

R8: 2,4,5 Win $2.40....$2.20....$2.10 $1 COLD Exacta box 2,4......$5.00 Non-bet

[precisionk]

R9: 5,1,6 Win $3.60....$2.20....$2.10 $1 COLD Exacta box 5,1......$3.70

[precisionk]

R10: 5,6,4 Show $4.20

[precisionk]

R11: 6,1,2 Show $2.40

[precisionk]

Results:

R1: 6,4,8 Place $4.20....$2.80 $1 Exacta box 4,6......$18.10

R2: 4,8,2 Show $2.20 Non-bet

R3: Out

R4: Out

R5: 4,8,2 Win $3.00....$2.10....$2.10 $1 COLD exacta box 4,8......$4.50 Non-bet

R6: 6,2,3 Win $5.40....$3.60....$2.80

R7: 4,1,8 Place $3.20....$2.40 $1 Exacta box 1,4......$2.90

R8: 2,4,5 Win $2.40....$2.20....$2.10 $1 COLD Exacta box 2,4......$5.00 Non-bet

R9: 5,1,6 Win $3.60....$2.20....$2.10 $1 COLD Exacta box 5,1......$3.70 Non-bet

R10: 5,6,4 Show $4.20

R11: 6,1,2 Show $2.40 Non-bet

R12: Out

All Races: Win Rate 33%, Board Hit 75%, Wagered $48, Returned $48.60, ROI 1%
Odds Line: Win Rate 14%, Board Hit 57%, Wagered $28, Returned $26.40, ROI -6%

[traynor]

Results:

R1: 6,4,8 Place $4.20....$2.80 $1 Exacta box 4,6......$18.10

R2: 4,8,2 Show $2.20 Non-bet

R3: Out

R4: Out

R5: 4,8,2 Win $3.00....$2.10....$2.10 $1 COLD exacta box 4,8......$4.50 Non-bet

R6: 6,2,3 Win $5.40....$3.60....$2.80

R7: 4,1,8 Place $3.20....$2.40 $1 Exacta box 1,4......$2.90

R8: 2,4,5 Win $2.40....$2.20....$2.10 $1 COLD Exacta box 2,4......$5.00 Non-bet

R9: 5,1,6 Win $3.60....$2.20....$2.10 $1 COLD Exacta box 5,1......$3.70 Non-bet

R10: 5,6,4 Show $4.20

R11: 6,1,2 Show $2.40 Non-bet

R12: Out

All Races: Win Rate 33%, Board Hit 75%, Wagered $48, Returned $48.60, ROI 1%
Odds Line: Win Rate 14%, Board Hit 57%, Wagered $28, Returned $26.40, ROI -6%

I would say you are very definitely on the right track. A positive ROI is always impressive.