dnlgfnk
03-22-2013, 10:31 PM
Unusual run of very low probabilities over Santa Anita's last three "Pick 6" results...
Sunday produced 5 favorites, a roughly 1% occurrence...
Thursday and Friday produced 0 favorites, a 9% chance of happening each day, or cumulatively 8/100k?
A side question...Coming off a 5-favorite Sunday, and looking at the probabilities of a run of 18 races, could the non-favorites on Thursday/Friday be highly anticipated, or is that an example of "Gambler's Fallacy"?
Sunday produced 5 favorites, a roughly 1% occurrence...
Thursday and Friday produced 0 favorites, a 9% chance of happening each day, or cumulatively 8/100k?
A side question...Coming off a 5-favorite Sunday, and looking at the probabilities of a run of 18 races, could the non-favorites on Thursday/Friday be highly anticipated, or is that an example of "Gambler's Fallacy"?