Orleans Thorougbred Report

[mirageburbank]

I am posting live selections from our Thorougbred Report on twitter @racebookorleans. I had the four Isntlovejustgrand in the first at AQU. A pace advantage horse with little speed. It paid $21.40. Hopefully that is not our only winner :)

[mirageburbank]

A stalker ranked second on the sheets

[mirageburbank]

Carolyn Shines, huge 5 point advantage.

[mirageburbank]

Hot Roots -- Top selection and a plus stalker

[Robert Fischer]

Hot Roots -- Top selection and a plus stalker

i like the 2 there also. :ThmbUp:
I think the 4 smokin alice will run a pretty good race @ 15-1

[PhantomOnTour]

GP Race 5:

value here on the :7: at 7-1...improving horse.
Any shot for the turf bred :1: ?

[PhantomOnTour]

GP Race 5:

value here on the :7: at 7-1...improving horse.
Any shot for the turf bred :1: ?
Am i gonna get DQ'd here !?
Looks like the winner may have impeded the :5:

[lamboguy]

i was going to bet this race at Aqueduct #9 BIG BREEZY, but it seems like other people have the same idea. i am going to back off and wait for the next time when the weight of the world might not be on him.

[Robert Fischer]

i was going to bet this race at Aqueduct #9 BIG BREEZY, but it seems like other people have the same idea. i am going to back off and wait for the next time when the weight of the world might not be on him.

if you like him , he's live

[PhantomOnTour]

the :5: looks tough at Aqu but no play at 5-2

no change at GP! :ThmbUp:

[Robert Fischer]

wide into 1st turn and steadied twice into backstretch ^^ but really no excuses as Ortiz piloted the 10 2nd.

[PhantomOnTour]

GP Race 6

not a very good bunch...kinda like the :8: to improve for David Fawkes.
will likely be too late at 5.5f but can grab a slice...6-1 not much value though
any hope for the :1: at 8-1?

making a small ex box:1-5-8 and win bet on the 1

[Robert Fischer]

gp-6
tossing the 10 and spreading in multis from this leg. (db bet3)


:8: is logical, :9: looks surprisingly good on track, but spreading

[PhantomOnTour]

Aqu R7

tough race...gonna try with the :8: at 5-1 on the stretchout

ex: 3-4-6 w 8
win: 8

[PhantomOnTour]

GP Race 7

nice race...value is on the :2: and :6: imo.

tri: 3-7 w 2-3-6-7 w 2-3-6-7
ex: 2-6 w 2-3-6-7
ex: 7 w 2-3-6 (think the 7 is the most likely winner)
win: 6

[mirageburbank]

Top Orleans selection, will be flying at the end.

[PhantomOnTour]

very tight photo for 2nd at GP...praying for the 3-6 ex even though it won't pay much

...whew, got the 3-6 ex

Aqu R8
tri: 2 w 6 w ALL
win: 6

[lamboguy]

i was going to bet this race at Aqueduct #9 BIG BREEZY, but it seems like other people have the same idea. i am going to back off and wait for the next time when the weight of the world might not be on him.after watching this race, i am now going to bet out on this horse next out, he tried to make 3 moves during the race.

the horse that stunk up america today was Laurel 3rd race #3 BLACK FOREST. that horse burned up plenty of money and i see no chance of ever getting your money back with that one.

[PhantomOnTour]

GP Race 8

gonna try with the WO shipper :8: in his first dirt try at 8-1
will pay the price if he tangles with the Ness :6: early and i expect Lezcano to try to rate and finish
probably nees this one with only one work since Nov, but let's hope some others go willy nilly after this :6: and Lezcano can run by a few in the lane

tri: 6 w 8 w ALL
tri: 3 w 6 w 8
ex: 3-6 w 8
win: 8

[mirageburbank]

Second Orleans rating, A trainer, stalker and decent odds.

[mirageburbank]

Trying to beat the top selection and odds on favorite in 9th at AQU with second choice and early runner #6 Cousin Michael.

[mirageburbank]

Always hard to play closers in these mc races, but #2 Baby cindy is our second selection and currently 15-1. Have to play

[mirageburbank]

I have to wonder if that fourth race at SA should just be declared a non race. Ugly. And hopefully everyone is okay. In the 5th race at SA #4 There is No Limit is the top selection, while I'm going with the #5 in the sixth at SA Just Fishin.

[mirageburbank]

Very chalky but a plus pace horse and a seven point projected speed advantage.

[mirageburbank]

AQU 1 #2 Precious. An Orleans live longshot and a plus stalker. My favorite kind.

[Robert Fischer]

rough couple of days for Dominguez.
0 for 9! yesterday on low priced horses, 1st race today missed the break(may or may not have been fault).

[mirageburbank]

Odds are right on the Orleans second choice. #4 going off at 1-4 in second career start. Clever Cookie at 6-1 right now is the play.

[mirageburbank]

Another second place finish.

[mirageburbank]

At 9-2 currently decent value, Orleans second choice and a plus stalker

[mirageburbank]

Best of the closers according to the Orleans Report and 10-1 to boot

[mirageburbank]

Orleans live longshot, third on the projected speed charts and a stalker

[mirageburbank]

GP 7 #3, second choice on Orleans sheets, 5-1 or so, winning trainer/jockey

[lamboguy]

are the Orleans sheets similar to Ragozin or Thoroughgraph?

[mirageburbank]

They are a projected speed rating with running style customed made for us by Ken Massa and HTR with info from HDW.

They also have notes and specific plays along with trainer and clocker ratings.

The way I use them is to start from the top and work my way down. I want to make sure that my horse will not be compromised by todays pace.

It is a great tool to enhance your own handicapping but can certainly be used as a stand alone guide.

[mirageburbank]

Second Orleans pick, with the 11 on top, profitable trainer, wide open race

[mirageburbank]

Will try to beat the odds on favorite with a strong plus pace rating second choice.

If the pace falls apart the 3 could pick up the pieces.

[lamboguy]

They are a projected speed rating with running style customed made for us by Ken Massa and HTR with info from HDW.

They also have notes and specific plays along with trainer and clocker ratings.

The way I use them is to start from the top and work my way down. I want to make sure that my horse will not be compromised by todays pace.

It is a great tool to enhance your own handicapping but can certainly be used as a stand alone guide.sounds good to me

[mirageburbank]

They are a lot easier to read then I'm suggesting.

The #5 in the 5th at GG is a play. It is the second choice behind the one, but trails by just one point and is an A+ trainer and a stalker. Stalkers generally run their race. The 2 is the Orleans Power Play and I usually regret going against them, but a 4/5 it makes it a little easier.

[mirageburbank]

Third choice behind the 7 and 3, A stalker at decent odds

[mirageburbank]

Not getting much love, but looks much the best on paper. Looks like a 10-8-2 finish to me

[mirageburbank]

Looking for a stalker/closer type. It comes down to the 2-6-8 and we will go with the A rated trainer #8 The Big Whammy. I would box them just in case as they are 14-1, 15-1 and 18-1.

[mirageburbank]

Orlean Power Plays 5th at AQU #3 N Fs Destiny a plus early horse with little pace.

In the 8th at AQU #7Arlo a top rated pace play

[mirageburbank]

A B+ plus stalker and Orleans Power Play with a six point advantage

[mirageburbank]

Orleans Power Play, five pt advantage and early pace advantage.

[mirageburbank]

Romacaca Orleans Power Play and no speed in the race should be able to cruise.

[PhantomOnTour]

Aqu R6:

#5 will show better speed and can be dangerous at 13-1...using with the 6-10

[mirageburbank]

Orleans Power Play drifting up to 3-1. Decent price on a dropper

[mirageburbank]

at AQU 6th and clearly marked a plus early Bomb Throw horse, I am going witht the #1 in the 7th. The lone early horse although the #8 will take some beating.

[Jay Trotter]

Off topic here...but Mirage, how much are the Oilers to win the Stanley Cup at your book?

[mirageburbank]

Second Orleans rated

[mirageburbank]

Orleans Live Longshot, fourth choice on the sheets. Will play the 5-6-9 as well and try to beat the 7.

[mirageburbank]

Orleans live longshot and second projected speed rating.

[mirageburbank]

Hombre Hughes an A rated trainer and a stalking running style. 4-1 an automatic play.