FORMULA'S WIN BETS 01-09-2013

[formula_2002]

I'll assume I can get a 6% rebate plus a free suite and BLD in Vegas, for my win bets.
But before I make the, move I'll test the plays out here on PA before.:)

[formula_2002]

"Pompano
Race
2

Post
7:23

MTP
0

$2 Exacta Pool
$1,533 "

BET 4

[formula_2002]

LOST

DOWN $1

[DeltaLover]

can you please specify M/L and final odds for your selections?

[formula_2002]

"Gulfstream
Race
1

Post
12:45

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$63,524 "

bet #5

[formula_2002]

lost dn $2

[formula_2002]

can you please specify M/L and final odds for your selections?
can do it at this time.
If I can get to an roi of about .98 or better I do some dbase work and down load the bris xrd results file and put some stuff together

[formula_2002]

"Aqueduct
Race
3

Post
1:26

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$55,366 "


bet #4

[formula_2002]

winner

[DeltaLover]

can do it at this time.
If I can get to an roi of about .98 or better I do some dbase work and down load the bris xrd results file and put some stuff together


I think you are doing good and you will be close to this figure ( +- 0.05) which is an excellent starting point.... You should also consider your sigma which is equally important... I think you should start another thread focusing on middle range horses, something in the range of 5-1 to 10-1 so you will be able to draw easier to interpret conclusions...

[formula_2002]

"Golden Gate Fields
Race
4

Post
5:18

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$24,226 "

bet #1

[formula_2002]

# 1 lost

[formula_2002]

BET AND LAY PLAY RECAP

[formula_2002]

"Penn National
Race
8

Post
9:14

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$6,127 "


BET 4

[formula_2002]

"Delta
Race
7

Post
9:24

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$7,524 "


BET 4

[formula_2002]

WINNER

[formula_2002]

DAY 1, WIN BETS NET +.11, LAY BETS NET -1.75

[formula_2002]

"UK Huntingdon
Race
4

Post
9:19

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$1,962 "


#3 TO WIN

[formula_2002]

WINNER

[formula_2002]

"Golden Gate Fields
Race
4

Post
5:18

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$10,332 "


BACK #6

[formula_2002]

#6 PLACED

[formula_2002]

"Oaklawn
Race
8

Post
5:40

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$48,533 "


BET #3

[formula_2002]

#3 LOST

[formula_2002]

"Penn National
Race
2

Post
6:27

MTP
0

$2 Exacta Pool
$12,673 "

BACK #2

[formula_2002]

#2 LOST

[formula_2002]

"Charles Town
Race
4

Post
8:37

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$12,699 "


BET #10

[formula_2002]

THROUGH DAY 2
10 BACK BETS RETURNED A .74 ROI (THAT INCLUSE THE 6% REBATE)
14 LAY BETS PAYING TRACK ODDS +25% RETURNED A 1.00 ROI

[formula_2002]

"Aqueduct
Race
3

Post
1:26

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$51,962 "


BACK #2

[formula_2002]

"Gulfstream
Race
5

Post
2:37

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$109,769 "

BACK #8

[formula_2002]

"Aqueduct
Race
7

Post
3:18

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$81,928 "


BACK #6

[formula_2002]

"Aqueduct
Race
8

Post
3:48

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$129,310 "


BET #2

[formula_2002]

"Golden Gate Fields
Race
4

Post
5:18

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$22,637 "


back #3

[formula_2002]

"Los Alamitos
Race
1

Post
8:59

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$5,226 "

BACK#7

[formula_2002]

THROUGH DAY 3
16 BACK BETS RETURNED A .90 ROI (THAT INCLUSE THE 6% REBATE)
31 LAY BETS PAYING TRACK ODDS +25% RETURNED A .77 ROI

[formula_2002]

"Gulfstream
Race
1

Post
12:45

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$56,372 "


BET 8

[formula_2002]

"Fair Grounds
Race
3

Post
2:57

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$27,422 "


BACK 8

[formula_2002]

"Santa Anita
Race
3

Post
4:31

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$82,946 "

3

[formula_2002]

RECAP TO DATE

ROI'S FOR BOTH BACK ND LAY BETS ARE .83

[formula_2002]

"Golden Gate Fields
Race
7

Post
6:50

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$36,105 "


BACK 3

[formula_2002]

"Golden Gate Fields
Race
9

Post
7:47

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$18,992 "

BACK 9

[formula_2002]

"Balmoral
Race
3

Post
8:50

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$2,594 "


BACK 3

[formula_2002]

"Los Alamitos
Race
3

Post
9:03

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$14,231 "


BACK #7

[formula_2002]

"Yonkers
Race
5

Post
8:36

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$2,147 "


back 5

[formula_2002]

AFTER 24 RACES WITH A 6% REBATE .98 ROI

[formula_2002]

"Parx Racing
Race
1

Post
12:25

MTP
0

$2 Exacta Pool
$25,063 "


back #5

[formula_2002]

"Parx Racing
Race
2

Post
12:52

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$24,290 "

back #3

[formula_2002]

"Parx Racing
Race
3

Post
1:19

MTP
0

$2 Exacta Pool
$25,316 "


BACK 6

[formula_2002]

"Parx Racing
Race
8

Post
3:37

MTP
0

$2 Exacta Pool
$30,057 "


bet 6

[formula_2002]

"Dover
Race
6

Post
5:55

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$967 "

BACK 8

[formula_2002]

"Charles Town
Race
1

Post
7:15

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$10,162 "


BET 6

[formula_2002]

"Charles Town
Race
3

Post
8:10

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$7,922 "


BACK #3

[formula_2002]

"Aqueduct
Race
1

Post
12:30

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$50,282 "

BACK 1

[formula_2002]

"Aqueduct
Race
3

Post
1:26

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$48,247 "


back 3

[formula_2002]

"Aqueduct
Race
4

Post
1:55

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$69,080 "

back 1

[formula_2002]

"Aqueduct
Race
7

Post
3:18

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$55,919 "


back 1

[formula_2002]

"Turf Paradise
Race
3

Post
3:30

MTP
0

$1 Exacta Pool
$10,200 "


back 7

[formula_2002]

"Beulah
Race
7

Post
3:53

MTP
0

$1 Exacta Pool
$15,413 "


back 7

[formula_2002]

"Gulfstream
Race
8

Post
4:12

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$69,661 "


back 6

[formula_2002]

"Aqueduct
Race
9

Post
4:18

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$72,957 "

back 1

[formula_2002]

"Delta
Race
7

Post
9:24

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$8,746 "


BACK 7

[formula_2002]

"Charles Town
Race
7

Post
9:58

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$5,726 "


BACK #3

[formula_2002]

"Aqueduct
Race
1

Post
12:30

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$70,030 "


back 1

[formula_2002]

Without rebates for the back bets and w/o returing a 25% premium for the lay bets, the win bets have returned a a .80 roi, while the lay bets would have returned a 1.01 roi if played to win.


there were 41 back bets and 67 lays bets.

none of this is good news, just yet :)

[formula_2002]

"Charles Town
Race
1

Post
7:15

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$6,627 "

back 4

[formula_2002]

"Penn National
Race
4

Post
7:22

MTP
0

$2 Exacta Pool
$12,548 "


bet 1

[formula_2002]

"Penn National
Race
9

Post
9:38

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$7,041 "

BACK 2

[formula_2002]

"Gulfstream
Race
1

Post
12:45

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$56,449 "

BACK 4

[formula_2002]

"Aqueduct
Race
2

Post
12:58

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$66,741 "


BACK 4

[formula_2002]

"Aqueduct
Race
9

Post
4:19

MTP
0

$1 Exacta Pool
$89,503 "


back 5

[formula_2002]

"Penn National
Race
2

Post
6:27

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$9,038 "


back 6

[formula_2002]

"Charles Town
Race
4

Post
8:37

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$7,206 "


back 2

[formula_2002]

"Penn National
Race
7

Post
8:44

MTP
1

$2 Exacta Pool
$8,237 "


back 1

[formula_2002]

"Gulfstream
Race
9

Post
4:45

MTP
1

$1 Exacta Pool
$168,945 "


BACK #2

[formula_2002]

Time to close down these two threads "win bets and lay bets" and start anew.
50 back bets returned a .81 roi (.90 with a 6% rebate)0
72 lay bets returned .90 roi (thats after giving tarck odds +25%)