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Robert Fischer
01-08-2013, 07:41 PM
I have the 2 here as an overlay.

3 is good, but he hasn't been the most reliable horse. Last race margin was probably magnified by the track that day.

One of the keys will be the first turn. If Montano can slide up and keep the 3 wide, that can set the trend for the race. 3 has better early speed but will need to be asked early.

should be a close race

current odds

:2: = 9-1

:3: = 3/5

Robert Fischer
01-08-2013, 07:51 PM
:2: finishes 2nd @ 7-1 (:3: finishes out of the money)

$0.00Win $8.60Plc 4.80Shw

well... The 2 controlled the 1st turn, and dusted the heavily favored 3. Looked like I would be collecting $17.60 to win on the 2 as well, but the 1 ran a completely unexpected race to win paying $53. I am happy with the place and show regardless.

Sometimes you can be right and you still don't get the whole pot, but it pays to be right over the long run.

Robert Fischer
01-09-2013, 07:07 PM
new day / 1-9-13


Race 1

:4: stretches out to 6.5 after a much improved effort chasing in 4.5 furlong sprint.
WPS
and boxed with:5: (logical), and :9: (early pace)

Robert Fischer
01-09-2013, 07:24 PM
:4: finishes 1st @ 4-1.

$10.20 $5.20 $3.00

The 4 stretched out well off that effort chasing and had it easier today setting the pace. 9 flashed outside speed and held 2nd.

$1 ex :4:-:9: paid $27

The Spaniard
01-09-2013, 07:39 PM
race 2: Looks like (6)BELLA THE PRINCESS has found her right competitive level.

2nd ($3.40 - 2.40)

The Spaniard
01-09-2013, 08:06 PM
race 3: (6)BIG BRANCH improves with every workout, and lately they are above average

49.4 > 49.1 > 48.1 > 48.0

for a good MSWt trainer (23% win)

3rd ($3.40)

Maximillion
01-09-2013, 08:24 PM
race 4

:6: Sir Prize---actually held on pretty gamely routing in last and it was not a bad effort at all. Race should be hotly contested early giving this hard trying (and improving) 4yo a shot from off the pace at good odds.

The Spaniard
01-09-2013, 08:34 PM
Welcome to hell Max

race 4: style versatile (5)RAVENS TERMS with his A game is the best horse here. He ran 2nd and 1st after a layoff. Closer (7)Proper Move has improved his figures with his new trainer and here there is speed to close at.

win & exacta box

1st ($7.40 - 4.00 - 3.20)

$2 exacta (5-7) $37.80

Maximillion
01-09-2013, 08:36 PM
Welcome to hell Max

race 4: style versatile (5)RAVENS TERMS with his A game is the best horse here. He ran 2nd and 1st after a layoff. Closer (7)Proper Move has improved his figures with his new trainer and here there is speed to close at.

win & exacta box

I dont mind it here. I know others dislike it.

Vinnie
01-09-2013, 08:38 PM
R4 at Charlestown. How about an Exacta Box with the :5: :7: :8:

Race is pretty wide open, but taking a shot.

Maximillion
01-09-2013, 08:56 PM
Welcome to hell Max

race 4: style versatile (5)RAVENS TERMS with his A game is the best horse here. He ran 2nd and 1st after a layoff. Closer (7)Proper Move has improved his figures with his new trainer and here there is speed to close at.

win & exacta box

Nice call....good start in hell. :)

race 5

:1: Air Wolf---Hes been a victim of some bad trips and bad posts in recent runs.Imo he may be in better form than what is seen in the pps recently and Im gving him one more chance tonight.Should be no excuses here.

Vinnie
01-09-2013, 08:57 PM
R5. Kind of like the :9: to win. Sharper form from recent works and races.

How about a :3: :6: :9: Exacta Box..

Good Luck.

The Spaniard
01-09-2013, 09:00 PM
Vinnie, 18-1 were very good odds for that exacta.

race 5: favorite (3)DECOLATOR is running speed figures (66 > 67 > 63) well above the par for this level (58) since September. He's done it sprinting but is a route winner and here could control de pace. (8)D K's Wildcat ran a big race after the layoff and here he may rebound, exacta shot.

1st ($3.20)

A

The Spaniard
01-09-2013, 09:02 PM
for me (1)AIR WOLF is a closing sprinter who loses punch routing.

I was wrong, he ran his best race, but wasn't good enough to beat the favorite

Vinnie
01-09-2013, 09:04 PM
R5, I was on the wrong Race... :confused:

How about an Exacta Box on the :1: :3: :8:

Robert Fischer
01-09-2013, 09:04 PM
R5 is a little bit tricky

:3: - looks like much the best. However 3 turns could be a question. Better jock today but this one didn't gallop out last time. Shorter price.

:9: - is on the improve. Speed to burn, grinding style says he'll like the trip.


still a tough race to value bet. 3 could win for fun or tire late. 9 is a bit of a guess horse. Both are the betting choices.


$4 W-P-S :3:

$2 W-P-S :9:

Maximillion
01-09-2013, 09:15 PM
for me (1)AIR WOLF is a closing sprinter who loses punch routing.

I was wrong, he ran his best race, but wasn't good enough to beat the favorite

They could have run around another turn (lol) and he wasnt going by him.

GL to all.....hope Delta is back tomorrow.

Vinnie
01-09-2013, 09:21 PM
R6 Very interesting race. I really think the :9: is improving. I like him across the Board. Also, like the :3: and :6: who are seeming to like the distance of 7 furlongs.

Box the :3: :6: :9: in an Exacta... :)

The Spaniard
01-09-2013, 09:28 PM
race 6: tough puzzle. For me the improver could be (1)MEDAL AFFAIR who last time skipped a condition (NL2) and managed a good figure 2nd.

NP

The Spaniard
01-09-2013, 09:52 PM
race 7: (4)THE ELEVATOR NP is back with Jamie Ness. Last year he won 6 races in 9 months for this trainer. He's style versatile and arrives with a 5f bullet. Should improve the level of his last and winning performance. Regular (1)Wink at the Girls 1st for the exacta.

good night from France :sleeping: :sleeping:

Vinnie
01-09-2013, 09:56 PM
R7

Kind of a tough one. I was going to consider the 4 for the win, but, he is bet way down.

How about the :4: :6: :7: Exacta Box..

dansan
01-09-2013, 10:00 PM
#5 show

dansan
01-09-2013, 10:24 PM
8th 2 show

Vinnie
01-09-2013, 10:24 PM
R8 :3: :4: :7: very chalky... Pass. Possible live longshot in here in the :8:

dansan
01-09-2013, 10:32 PM
oh well damn donkey

Vinnie
01-09-2013, 10:43 PM
R9 :6: :7: :9: Exacta box in a race with a bunch of non descrips...If the :7: stays over 7/2 a win bet on him as well.

Good Luck and Good Evening folks!