formula_2002
12-30-2012, 08:59 PM
In a sample as small as 194 races, a proportional odds bet on the fav returned a .67 roi
A flat bet on the favorite returned .66 roi.
The second choice proportional odds bet returned a .94 roi, a flat bet roi of .96
The third choice proportional odds bet returned a 1.03 roi, a flat bet roi of1.04
If you dutched the 2nd and 3rd choices the roi would be .985, a flat bet roi of 1.00
The point is this, in a sample of only 194 races, it’s shown that a Dutch, proportional or flat bet, returns appox the same roi’s for the 1st, 2nd and 3rd choices.
In the same sample, a bet on all horses returned a .78 dutch bet roi and a flat bet roi of .81
The average book percentage in the above was 1.22
A flat bet on the favorite returned .66 roi.
The second choice proportional odds bet returned a .94 roi, a flat bet roi of .96
The third choice proportional odds bet returned a 1.03 roi, a flat bet roi of1.04
If you dutched the 2nd and 3rd choices the roi would be .985, a flat bet roi of 1.00
The point is this, in a sample of only 194 races, it’s shown that a Dutch, proportional or flat bet, returns appox the same roi’s for the 1st, 2nd and 3rd choices.
In the same sample, a bet on all horses returned a .78 dutch bet roi and a flat bet roi of .81
The average book percentage in the above was 1.22